When Will It Rain In The South East and East

Frank-the-Wool · Sep 16, 2018

All this talk of the weather for the winter I am not particularly concerned about as I am sure there will soon be talk of a white Xmas and a big freeze.
What I need is a period of sustained rainfall before we go into the winter.
While we have had small amounts of rain, enough to just keep the grass growing, we have a massive soil water deficit which has been accumulating month by month since April. August having been the only month with close to average rainfall.
Yes we have had a very warm June & July with temperatures that stopped grass growth but the winter coming, without above average rainfall which usually brings higher temperatures then we are going to struggle for feed.

So all you weather experts when is it going to rain in East Sussex and Kent?

hally · Sep 16, 2018

Jeez it’s badly shared out, had to stop spreading slurry yesterday too wet and moving calf creep feeders every third day to stop them resembling the Somme

Badshot · Sep 16, 2018

Frank-the-Wool said:
All this talk of the weather for the winter I am not particularly concerned about as I am sure there will soon be talk of a white Xmas and a big freeze.
What I need is a period of sustained rainfall before we go into the winter.
While we have had small amounts of rain, enough to just keep the grass growing, we have a massive soil water deficit which has been accumulating month by month since April. August having been the only month with close to average rainfall.
Yes we have had a very warm June & July with temperatures that stopped grass growth but the winter coming, without above average rainfall which usually brings higher temperatures then we are going to struggle for feed.

So all you weather experts when is it going to rain in East Sussex and Kent?

It'll break, and when it does it'll likely be biblical.
Hurricane season is here again, my guess is one or more will hit us with enough energy left to make us wish it would stop again.

Frank-the-Wool · Sep 16, 2018

Badshot said:
It'll break, and when it does it'll likely be biblical.
Hurricane season is here again, my guess is one or more will hit us with enough energy left to make us wish it would stop again.

What if you don't go to Church though?
Seriously though we do need a more consistent period of rainfall to keep the grass and forage crops growing.
So far this month we have only had 7 mm and no sign of any rain this week and some high temperatures for the time of year which will only increase the deficit!

Badshot · Sep 16, 2018

An inch or two would be handy enough now. But to address the smd it definitely needs sustained rainfall over winter, steady rain that will soak in, not flood and run off, or straight down drains.
A lot of osr is in desperate need of moisture.

jondear · Sep 16, 2018

When will it rain in the southwest only had 2.5 mm in September so far .Thurs might get a bit Hopefully.

Goweresque · Sep 16, 2018

Badshot said:
It'll break, and when it does it'll likely be biblical.
Hurricane season is here again, my guess is one or more will hit us with enough energy left to make us wish it would stop again.

It did occur to me that the current dry spell could be the flip side of the very wet years we've had over the last decade or so. We constantly look forward rather than back, what if we've already had the very wet spell to match this dry one?

Badshot · Sep 16, 2018

Goweresque said:
It did occur to me that the current dry spell could be the flip side of the very wet years we've had over the last decade or so. We constantly look forward rather than back, what if we've already had the very wet spell to match this dry one?

That's possible of course.
If so, we are in the sh!t. There's not enough moisture to establish any wheat here currently, and that's on my unmoved stubbles for DD. Cultivated ground is literally devoid of moisture.
Osr is hanging in there, DD, I doubt I'd have any if I used my old establishment system. It's a bit patchy as it is now.

Wombat · Sep 16, 2018

Goweresque said:
It did occur to me that the current dry spell could be the flip side of the very wet years we've had over the last decade or so. We constantly look forward rather than back, what if we've already had the very wet spell to match this dry one?

That was Oct last year to April this year wasn't it?

Goweresque · Sep 16, 2018

Wombat said:
That was Oct last year to April this year wasn't it?

Not for us here it wasn't. Last Autumn was dry, most of winter was dry, March this year was wet, but because it had been dry before the ground took the rain, since then been bone dry. In fact its been largely dry here for several years.

METJEFFUK · Sep 16, 2018

To answer your question you will see some rain though the week but over the next 7 days I'm only expecting around 25mm or 1 inch in the SE compare that with 100mm or 4 inches of rain over northern Ireland.

Metjeffuk
Hope the sun shines( or not) for you but….
Whatever the weather enjoy it!

Badshot · Sep 16, 2018

METJEFFUK said:
To answer your question you will see some rain though the week but over the next 7 days I'm only expecting around 25mm or 1 inch in the SE compare that with 100mm or 4 inches of rain over northern Ireland.

Metjeffuk
Hope the sun shines( or not) for you but….
Whatever the weather enjoy it!

If we see an inch on romney Marsh I'll be amazed.

Fiveospades · Sep 17, 2018

We are in desperate need of rain east of Norwich , drilling is upon us and no moisture to speak of. Rape is struggling and needs a good shower to get it away from the early vulnerable stage. Sugar beet are very green but are wilting by day again . Going through sub surface cultivation metal like nobody's business.
Had a sneaky peak at a neighbours very large irrigation resevoir and it was breathtaking how low it was, certainly need lots of wet if he is to fill that again over winter. Nature is a great leveller and at some point a thread of when is it going to stop raining will be posted.

7610 super q · Sep 17, 2018

When will it stop raining..... weather broke in Crapweathershire at the end of July.

Wombat · Sep 17, 2018

Goweresque said:
Not for us here it wasn't. Last Autumn was dry, most of winter was dry, March this year was wet, but because it had been dry before the ground took the rain, since then been bone dry. In fact its been largely dry here for several years.

From mid Jan to Mid April we had 200mm and that doesn’t include beast from the east snow melt.

I thought after spring 2016 it would be a while before we had another crap spring but spring 2018 was our worst spring in decades

bobk · Sep 17, 2018

Flew in to Stanstead last night , balmy , cloudless and warm to the east ..... huge bank of cloud to the west . that's the UK

Y Fan Wen · Sep 17, 2018

7610 super q said:
When will it stop raining..... weather broke in Crapweathershire at the end of July.

58mm last week, 50mm the week before.

Frank-the-Wool · Sep 17, 2018

Very hot here today and a very warm night. The ground is as hard as iron and crop growth is struggling, even grass.
No rain down here this month, unless all the Gurus can tell me different.

wanderer · Sep 17, 2018

Balmy here in Norfolk. Just overseeded my large back lawn in the hope of rain but none expected for a week or so. Looks like the water bill will take a hit having to use the hose every day.

Princess Pooper · Sep 17, 2018

About 9 inches of rain all year here according to local amateur online weather station. Somewhat dry to say the least.

When Will It Rain In The South East and East

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