Don't suppose you've bought very much land, recently.
Correct, but I do pay rent on what I’ve got.
Combinables Price Tracker
- Thread starter Jerry
- Start date
Correct, but I do pay rent on what I’ve got.
Don't suppose it's much more than £200/acre.
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
Scenario
Take 155 for next crop now then brexit goes well we leave with deal
Harvest 2019 is big 15.5 million tones leaving 1.5 million ethanol stay shut big grass yield £ gains 20%
Spot wheat £120 so have 2 t at 155 2t at 120 total £530
Or
Take 155
Brexit nodeal or second referendum inconclusive or Corbin becomes pm
Harvest 2019 European drought including uk bigger than 2018 more like 1976 with 35 days in June July over 32 c
Best yield 2.5 t an acre
Wheat 225 but only 2 tonne which is sold at 155 Total £310
How to reduce the risk at a reasonable cost
Sellpart ?
Option
Do nothing Which is 4 tonne at £480
Or. 2 t at. £ 450
I see the worst option is to sel now and harvest to be below average or worse
Take 155 for next crop now then brexit goes well we leave with deal
Harvest 2019 is big 15.5 million tones leaving 1.5 million ethanol stay shut big grass yield £ gains 20%
Spot wheat £120 so have 2 t at 155 2t at 120 total £530
Or
Take 155
Brexit nodeal or second referendum inconclusive or Corbin becomes pm
Harvest 2019 European drought including uk bigger than 2018 more like 1976 with 35 days in June July over 32 c
Best yield 2.5 t an acre
Wheat 225 but only 2 tonne which is sold at 155 Total £310
How to reduce the risk at a reasonable cost
Sellpart ?
Option
Do nothing Which is 4 tonne at £480
Or. 2 t at. £ 450
I see the worst option is to sel now and harvest to be below average or worse
Farmer-George
Member
Probably a good year to look at doing a bit in pools?
Quite so, yellow belly.
Unfortunately, for some strange meteorological reason as yet unexplained, damaging droughts hereabouts tend to come in pairs.
'59,'60 : '70,'71 : '75,'76 : '95,'96 : '10,'11 : '18, ?
For those many on this forum who didn't have a drought in 1960, 1971, 1975, 1995, 2010 or 2011, this may seem a very specious argument.
However, the possibility of the scenario should be factored in to any sensible calculation of one's 2019 crop sales risk.
Obviously, as it now happens, anyone who didn't have a drought in 2018 can probably well afford to finance a bit of a one in 2019.
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You forgot '83 , '84.Quite so, yellow belly.
Unfortunately, for some strange meteorological reason as yet unexplained, damaging droughts hereabouts tend to come in pairs.
'59,'60 : '70,'71 : '75,'76 : '95,'96 : '10,'11 : '18, ?
For those many on this forum who didn't have a drought in 1960, 1971, 1975, 1995, 2010 or 2011, this may seem a very specious argument.
However, the possibility of the scenario should be factored in to any sensible calculation of one's 2019 crop sales risk.
Obviously, as it now happens, anyone who didn't have a drought in 2018 can probably well afford to finance a bit of a one in 2019.
You forgot '83 , '84.
I don't like to remember '84.
We ran a rain-gun experiment all that summer which gave us 1100 tonnes more wheat had we been farming anywhere in Wilts, Hants or Dorset.
'83 was damp in May and June (good) but exceptionally dry in July and August (good for grain, bad for grass).
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Correct. Mostly AHA tenancy land, not at that level!
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
96 and 11 very good years here along with 84Quite so, yellow belly.
Unfortunately, for some strange meteorological reason as yet unexplained, damaging droughts hereabouts tend to come in pairs.
'59,'60 : '70,'71 : '75,'76 : '95,'96 : '10,'11 : '18, ?
For those many on this forum who didn't have a drought in 1960, 1971, 1975, 1995, 2010 or 2011, this may seem a very specious argument.
However, the possibility of the scenario should be factored in to any sensible calculation of one's 2019 crop sales risk.
Obviously, as it now happens, anyone who didn't have a drought in 2018 can probably well afford to finance a bit of a one in 2019.
Devon James
Member
- Location
- Devon
A trailer load (estimate 12 tonne) of feed oats available in Mid Devon if anyone is looking
Best Bidder
Member
I saw some sold on Sellmylivestock.co.uk ( https://bit.ly/2VXa66T ) would be worth posting on there to reach buyers.
SilliamWhale
Member
Sold last of my wheat for feb £172
Cant get local mill interested in pricing me for 2019 yet
Cant get local mill interested in pricing me for 2019 yet
- Location
- In the middle.
I was quote £165 Feb movement yesterday.
Farmer-George
Member
Still good money compared to where it has been for a long time!
- Location
- In the middle.
171 for april here ,, and 151 for october .
I think your quite a bit closer to the mills than I am.
- Location
- Bedfordshire
Thoughts on feed barley, harvest movement? Sub £100???
Warp Land Farmer
Member
- Location
- Hazzard County
Why that low?