An American trade deal? What will the effect be on British farming?

Mr Trump is very sharp, I very much doubt he will.agree to tariffs he will work in the American farmers best interest.

Time will tell, there's nothing we can do about it so pointless worrying.

Yes, he will stick up for the U.S. farmer, any American business, that is why he was elected.
At the same time he wants a deal with the U.K.........with Boris.
If it can be done in a fair and equitable way then everyone wins, hopefully Boris will stand up for Britain in similar fashion......President Trump will respect him for that.
 

Frank-the-Wool

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
East Sussex
Are we sure American farmers cost of production is lower than the UK?
They don't look to be having an overly good time of things at the moment and seem to need a lot more acres to make a living.

This is an interesting point and while scale and cheaper inputs make cereals more competitive, the livestock sector as a whole must be trading at close to world price (whatever that is!).
If as looks likely that grain prices rise significantly then the grass fed livestock sector will do very well again.
Low grain prices and cheap oil have undermined our red meat sector but it will not continue with poorer harvests throughout the world and grain reserves falling.

There will also I believe be a reappraisal of Soya with great pressure being applied to prevent the Rain forests from being cut down and hopefully a revival in homegrown peas and beans.
 

fgc325j

Member
Are we sure American farmers cost of production is lower than the UK?
They don't look to be having an overly good time of things at the moment and seem to need a lot more acres to make a living.
Interesting question - how much cheaper is a kilo of meat, cheese, butter in the USA compared
to the Uk. A few months ago, unlacedgecko posted an article about beef feedlots in the mid-west,
and it mentioned there the current price they were getting on the hook, from what i remember
it was similar to ours. Would there be enough margin, taking into account currency fluctuations,
and transport costs to make it worth their while. I know that a lot of Usa and Canadian meat
goes to Asia, and i think that would be a more profit/wider market for them.
 

R J

Member
Location
Herefordshire
Was reading in the farmers weekly yesterday about US mega dairy farm and it stated the get the equivalent of 28p per kilo for milk so not dissimilar to ours ?
 
Interesting question - how much cheaper is a kilo of meat, cheese, butter in the USA compared
to the Uk. A few months ago, unlacedgecko posted an article about beef feedlots in the mid-west,
and it mentioned there the current price they were getting on the hook, from what i remember
it was similar to ours. Would there be enough margin, taking into account currency fluctuations,
and transport costs to make it worth their while. I know that a lot of Usa and Canadian meat
goes to Asia, and i think that would be a more profit/wider market for them.
What’s worth thinking about is that currently our beef price is low and currently theirs is high so when things settle the gap will appear bigger
 

Highland Mule

Member
Livestock Farmer
aren’t US sold Landrovers still made here?

Could be, but the numbers aren't huge, last time I checked.

Current import tariff on cars from EU to USA is 2.5%, vs. 10% for cars going the other way, which doesn't leave much positive room for manoeuvre in any negotiations anyway. I wouldn't be counting on things getting better for UK motor manufacturers.
 

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