Daniel
Member
- Location
- Mildenhall, Suffolk
In terms of importing, presumably there's a limit to what UK ports could handle per year.
Combinables Price Tracker
- Thread starter Jerry
- Start date
Of course, but if the price is right they will have boats in one after another if the trucks can take it away fast enough. If they aren't hauling grain from UK farms they will be hauling it from the ports instead. The truck drivers would love that - loaded in 3 bucketfuls of a big loading shovel, good road network and no 4" auger fill ups from a snotty farmer who wanted to be out shooting that day...
lloyd
Member
- Location
- Herefordshire
What are you reading, Clive? I know this is a month old but USDA haven't said anything otherwise.
Here's the graph just for wheat, suggesting a building of wheat stocks at the end of the coming marketing year, again. Stocks to use ratio of 38% does not create volatility. STU of less then 20% does, depending on maize (STU 24%).
Link
lloyd
Member
- Location
- Herefordshire
Buy the rumour sell the fact.
Hoping there might be some more weather rumours this week abroad.
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you believe anything g the USDA say ? usa weather has been less than great this season - i was there at planting time and most of the mid west was under water
eastern europe hasn’t been great (drought) and a lot of northern europe suffered the same wet autumn that we did in the uk
- Location
- Lincolnshire
USDA only reflects reality after harvest. If you're holding it will be December before they realise.
John Slejpner
Member
- Location
- Brick clay near Bedford
Regardless what the USDA says, the serious You-tube US farming vloggers, taken as a whole, are off to a great start. Especially up north in MN.
They WERE wet, then dry but cold, now drilled up and v happy. On the whole. N dakota is a problem area iirc. S dakota is so so. NE just had heavy rains and loving it. (sandy and pivots)
Canada was in all sorts of dry trouble this time last year. All fine now.
They WERE wet, then dry but cold, now drilled up and v happy. On the whole. N dakota is a problem area iirc. S dakota is so so. NE just had heavy rains and loving it. (sandy and pivots)
Canada was in all sorts of dry trouble this time last year. All fine now.
Whatever happened to last years non or very late sown US Maize crop?
Doesn't seem to have been a shortage of it or major price rises off the back of it.
A more normal crop there this year will surely see plenty enough of it to export here and keep our wheat sub £200
Doesn't seem to have been a shortage of it or major price rises off the back of it.
A more normal crop there this year will surely see plenty enough of it to export here and keep our wheat sub £200
lloyd
Member
- Location
- Herefordshire
Trade deal likely with the USA by early next year
so their maize probably wont be restricted in volume like at the moment.
Happy days .
so their maize probably wont be restricted in volume like at the moment.
Happy days .
Yes, definitely roots taking moisture
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
The big issue for grain buyers will be quality
ie kg weight flour yield protein and micotoxins
milling wheat either bread hard ,biscuit Soft or other milling batter will be in short supply if crops die off and grain is pinched
animal feed grain will be barley or imported
in the middle there will be the non milling wheat users who have to use wheat Ie distilling or brewing
if it stays dry for another month then turns wet there could be even less high hagburg low micotoxin wheat
any wheat in the shed now with low don high hagburg high kg weight could be very valuable in 2021 especially inland near to mills
french price plus £ 20 minimum is the base
Edit just had a look at Ahdb marketing for french Wheat then at mid May crop condition
now in late May and I have had rain in April and May but with very little wheat around here
the condition now below the mid May report For all crops
no rain on the horizon For 2 weeks
ie kg weight flour yield protein and micotoxins
milling wheat either bread hard ,biscuit Soft or other milling batter will be in short supply if crops die off and grain is pinched
animal feed grain will be barley or imported
in the middle there will be the non milling wheat users who have to use wheat Ie distilling or brewing
if it stays dry for another month then turns wet there could be even less high hagburg low micotoxin wheat
any wheat in the shed now with low don high hagburg high kg weight could be very valuable in 2021 especially inland near to mills
french price plus £ 20 minimum is the base
Edit just had a look at Ahdb marketing for french Wheat then at mid May crop condition
now in late May and I have had rain in April and May but with very little wheat around here
the condition now below the mid May report For all crops
no rain on the horizon For 2 weeks
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The markets move with the USDA reports, yet the trade love to rubbish them. Their agenda is not to spook the market, so big news is released slowly. They didn't paint the same picture of the US maize crop that you did 12 months ago and they were right. It wasn't as bad as you (and many of us) thought.
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
The market follows the USDA as that is their most reliable information some farmers some of the time can be ahead
cargil are usually ahead but their risk management is always on the safe side they want to be here next year
John Slejpner
Member
- Location
- Brick clay near Bedford
Where are you?
Horn&corn
Member
Wiltshire m4
- Location
- Cirencester
Not a bad price for harvest I would have thought, friend told me he sold 3 loads @ £150/t harvest, I told him he was stupid! I wouldnt be in a rush to sell anything, think it maybe a year to see what you get in the shed, quality and quantity before selling, cant believe prices will be dropping between now and then any great amount.
Nothing forward sold here, rightly or wrongly
Nothing forward sold here, rightly or wrongly
fieldfarmer
Member
They heard that @Clive is waiting for £250 and are trying his nerve, they allways say more sold on a falling trade.