CF

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
Everybody seems to assume we can rely on imported N. I think that’s highly unlikely. It will be a case of charity begins at home and we’ll be right at the back of a very long queue.
Those U.K. N plants need to be nationalised and up and running ASAP, not really to ensure affordable N but to ensure any N at all.
 

bobk

Member
Location
stafford
Everybody seems to assume we can rely on imported N. I think that’s highly unlikely. It will be a case of charity begins at home and we’ll be right at the back of a very long queue.
Those U.K. N plants need to be nationalised and up and running ASAP, not really to ensure affordable N but to ensure any N at all.
Totally agree , Boris needs to tell them put up or fuk off
 

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
The idea that wheat would be worth growing without a reasonable supply of N, at least 120 kgN /ha is laughable. There comes a point when a low yield and poor quality just makes it a completely unviable commercial proposition. Higher grain prices won’t make up for lower yields. They’ll just kill our pig and poultry industry dead. Time to get real and get those fertiliser plants back in British ownership and going flat out.
 

spikeislander

Member
Location
bedfordshire
It takes over 600kg (KILOS, mind, that's near 1000 m3) of natural gas to produce 1 ton of anhydrous ammonia.
That's 9500 kwh of gas at industrial large volume prices equalling £380/ton last december. ONS data shows the price almost doubled from 2.4p/kwh in july-sept, to 4.15p/kwh in oct-dec.

AND...
It then takes a load more gas for heating, steam etc to form into other products. Use ammonia to make nitric acid and then to make AN.
THEN add in P and K etc (which have their own energy intensive processes), and granulate it using steam generated from gas boilers.
I'd put a SWAG on the total energy price per ton of granulated NPK to be around £500+. That's before any other raw materials or running costs.... That's literally just the cost of the gas involved.

Is it any surprise that they're struggling to turn a profit?

Looking back I'm surprised we didn't all see this coming a mile off. Every single European country apart from France has been installing gas turbines like they're going out of fashion over the last 10 years... supply and demand.... Every industry that has always needed gas for heating/chemicals now has to compete with electricity generation for a slice of the same size pie...
I must admit I had no idea that these levels of energy were required per tonne of fertiliser?
Playing devils advocate and I know not of an answer, but it doesn’t seem right to use that much does it ?
 

Bruce Almighty

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Warwickshire
The idea that wheat would be worth growing without a reasonable supply of N, at least 120 kgN /ha is laughable. There comes a point when a low yield and poor quality just makes it a completely unviable commercial proposition. Higher grain prices won’t make up for lower yields. They’ll just kill our pig and poultry industry dead. Time to get real and get those fertiliser plants back in British ownership and going flat out.
Mr & Mrs Joe Public rely on cheap chicken as their main protein source -
and relatively cheap free range eggs.

where will that come from in future when nations have to feed their own population first ?
 

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
It takes over 600kg (KILOS, mind, that's near 1000 m3) of natural gas to produce 1 ton of anhydrous ammonia.
That's 9500 kwh of gas at industrial large volume prices equalling £380/ton last december. ONS data shows the price almost doubled from 2.4p/kwh in july-sept, to 4.15p/kwh in oct-dec.

AND...
It then takes a load more gas for heating, steam etc to form into other products. Use ammonia to make nitric acid and then to make AN.
THEN add in P and K etc (which have their own energy intensive processes), and granulate it using steam generated from gas boilers.
I'd put a SWAG on the total energy price per ton of granulated NPK to be around £500+. That's before any other raw materials or running costs.... That's literally just the cost of the gas involved.

Is it any surprise that they're struggling to turn a profit?

Looking back I'm surprised we didn't all see this coming a mile off. Every single European country apart from France has been installing gas turbines like they're going out of fashion over the last 10 years... supply and demand.... Every industry that has always needed gas for heating/chemicals now has to compete with electricity generation for a slice of the same size pie...
Absolutely spot on. This crisis is to a large extent of our making. Natural gas always did seem too good to burn. It’s a valuable raw material. We are also over reliant on it for fertiliser production and we need to wean ourselves off it. I’d say that will take decades to achieve without crashing food supplies.
In the short term we need to ensure we have sufficient ammonium nitrate for next years crops. Simple as. Priority number one.
Why isn’t somebody doing something? They seem to be fiddling while Rome burns.
 

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