Combinables Price Tracker

Chae1

Member
Location
Aberdeenshire
Talk on the BBC this morning about wheat! Shock/horror.

With Ukrainian harvest due to start in 4-6 weeks they need grain moved out of ports to make space for this year's harvest.

Trying to do deals with Russia to move grain out of black sea ports.

Is this going to bring the market into free fall if allowed?
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
Talk on the BBC this morning about wheat! Shock/horror.

With Ukrainian harvest due to start in 4-6 weeks they need grain moved out of ports to make space for this year's harvest.

Trying to do deals with Russia to move grain out of black sea ports.

Is this going to bring the market into free fall if allowed?
What do the Russians gain from helping Ukraine / the rest of the world? Those doing the asking are merrily supplying weapons for ukraine to use. Why do you think they would allow it without concessions?
 

Chrisw

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Cornwall
Talk on the BBC this morning about wheat! Shock/horror.

With Ukrainian harvest due to start in 4-6 weeks they need grain moved out of ports to make space for this year's harvest.

Trying to do deals with Russia to move grain out of black sea ports.

Is this going to bring the market into free fall if allowed?
Unlikely
 

Chae1

Member
Location
Aberdeenshire
Last edited:

Widgetone

Member
Trade
Location
Westish Suffolk
20 million tonnes of Ukrainian old crop to shift before harvest by all accounts. 70% of their spring crop area is sown too, so pressure to find storage prior to harvesting...storage space is short

But dont accuse me of being a bear!!
 

Chrisw

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Cornwall
They released soldiers from steel works in Mariupol, created humanitarian corridors to let civilians leave.🤷‍♂️

We'll see what happens over coming weeks.
They let the solfiers surrender to be loaded into coaches to be taken to prisons. And im sure they will be tried "fairly" once in russia!
 

radu

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
romania
Maybe they needed that to be able to claim a win. I don't think they will want lower grain prices and releasing 20+ tons of grains in the market will undoubtedly give prices quite a haircut
 

lloyd

Member
Location
Herefordshire
20 million tonnes of Ukrainian old crop to shift before harvest by all accounts. 70% of their spring crop area is sown too, so pressure to find storage prior to harvesting...storage space is short

But dont accuse me of being a bear!!
There are a lot of what ifs floating about but what if the Ukranians
have little storage and no feasible way of moving vast tonnages come harvest?
£400 t plus possible?It could go either way !
 

4course

Member
Location
north yorks
20 million tonnes of Ukrainian old crop to shift before harvest by all accounts. 70% of their spring crop area is sown too, so pressure to find storage prior to harvesting...storage space is short

But dont accuse me of being a
bear in mind even if the ukraine has 20m ton of grain in port stores to move it is made up of wheat maize barley rye etc not just wheat as oft quoted , nobody knows how much is of merchantable quality plus their harvest is projected to be down by possibly this 20m figure .Other grain exporting countries or major prducers usa, india china etc are forecasting lower production .The world produces 760m tons of wheat/year so the amount in ukraine even if it is readily available is not going fulfill the annual demand also bearing in mind the amount of grain as overyeared stocks is down
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
They let the solfiers surrender to be loaded into coaches to be taken to prisons. And im sure they will be tried "fairly" once in russia!

Russia had a moratorium on capital punishment while in the Council Of Europe....which they were kicked out of. Now it's likely that they will be designated as terrorists and war criminals. Held in an internment camp in "Russia". I'd suggest that the prognosis for them is not good.

Anyway, non-government forecasts for India are sub 95m t. That's from the 116mt they expected back in march.
 

Steevo

Member
Location
Gloucestershire
Ok….so a year ago before harvest wheat was £200/t and fert looked overpriced at £350-400/t.

But that same crop a year later is now worth over £300/t.

Fert is now priced at £650/t.

I don’t know about anyone else but I really cannot see any point selling grain from this harvest until March 2023 onwards. Until then I can almost only see it undervalued.

Fert costs today of almost double on 12 months ago are an obvious signal that next years crop will be more expensive, and also less plentiful.

Dangerous words I know, and a lot of money to lose if it did fall. The risk is based much more on fear rather than facts though I would suggest.
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 79 42.0%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 66 35.1%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 30 16.0%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 3 1.6%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 3 1.6%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 7 3.7%

Red Tractor drops launch of green farming scheme amid anger from farmers

  • 1,291
  • 1
As reported in Independent


quote: “Red Tractor has confirmed it is dropping plans to launch its green farming assurance standard in April“

read the TFF thread here: https://thefarmingforum.co.uk/index.php?threads/gfc-was-to-go-ahead-now-not-going-ahead.405234/
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