Hilly
Member
- Location
- Scottish Borders.
I will stick to reality and the reality at the moment is less subs for most and store cattle never been dearer, predicting the future is a waste of time there are factors no one knows about, anything could happen good or bad.Look at the store cattle trade the last few years in Oct/Nov/ Dec, every year without fail the price ends up on the floor in these months, as soon as the BPS payment lands in the majority of accounts the trade will suddenly jump £100/200 head which then puts it on a good footing for the next few months until the cycle starts again.
Also if subs go then a lot of smaller farmers will either quit or scale back their farming unless the deadweight price goes up to cover the lost BPS income.
Reality is that if all subs went the industry would be in for one hell of a shape up 2/3 years down the line and the likes of what hasn't been seen since the depression of the 1930's.