Lili
Member
- Location
- Aberystwyth hinterland
Youve still not explained any advantage to sheep farmers of having apex predators or why they should be reintroduced in the first placeApologies, I wasn't aware I had to.
However, I would say that due to the disparity of everyones own business models, along with the differences of accounting costs, plus reading certain debates on here about what is considered real costs or not, and other sources, it goes without saying that there is a high percentage of businesses that are obviously returning a significant loss and basically are running with a non viable platform for the long term without the benefit of payment schemes unless they can find a way to either reduce significantley their CoP to a far lower level, which is the same as with any other industry - whereby if your input costs are already too high and they keep going north vs your competition, then you will eventually hit the wall and have nowhere to go, unless you can potentially find a way to diversify somewhere / somehow.
To this end, the data I can see only reflects a small percentage of farms inputting data and shows a sector of the industry averaging out at somewhere around 94 - 95% base cost recovered covered in a prior year collectively, which has potentially seen numbers rise to > 100% mark for a time recently. These numbers are obviously being helped through the inclusion of the better performing businesses with the obvious lower CoP etc and more favourable prices vs the other end of the scale.
Putting the line in the sand on the lower performing busines models, it looks to show they have been running around the mid 70's of costs recovered with the returns gained if the information submitted is an accurate refelction on true costs. So extrapolating this further, I would hazard a guess that the industry has a breakdown that shows circa 60% collectively either losing significant amounts of money, or just manafing to break even, and I would propose that some of the lower performing businesses may be be reflecting circa 50% or lower, in ability to cover the real CoP unfortunately.
So I stand by what I said, whereby that I doubt the real issue to the industry is going to be the releasing of a BoP into the area in question, due to the existing issues already present.
I fear the downfall to certain areas within the industry will be more aligned with the potential loss of or a reduction of payment schemes into the industry if that ever happens, real world Brexit Impacts and peoples perceptions of the industry and how they value local produce, and sadly the inabilty of the businesses struggling being able to make the necessary changes needed.
If the 'inefficient' businesses fold and there are no sheep what do the predators eat or are we supposed to keep farming to provide food for something that you've decided would be a good idea to reintroduce. Your arrogance is beyond belief.