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Yes, but like Tesla said, not a huge one. Both bio ethanol plants running on 100% wheat at full capacity would consume 1.9 MMT of UK wheat but we have lost Roquette recently (450kMT) and a lot of livestock so the demand will be less than that.
sedalcol is looking to increase production so could take some of the roquet tonnage

the area of planted is still increasing
but the flooded out areas could weigh down on yield

in my experience well established crops can withstand a lot of wet in winter if it dries up early enough
although two wet years the second year does not recover as well especially wheat after bareland fallow

even if we get a 8.5 tonne per ha average the surplas will be out of the south of england which is set up for exports
the midland north will not have alot of spare wheat

with stocks so low an early harvest will see some 2021 grain used in july

all the talk is about stewardship and not cropping some land
if this is the case 1.5 million ha will be a normal wheat area and
14 million tonnes the most we will harvest and 12.5 the average
the land taken out should be the lower yielding land but some agents will not know which fields are the low yielding ones
 

e3120

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Northumberland
Is the scarcity starting to show? Up here ex-farm has been bumbling along £3-£5 below futures for a while, but now quoted at parity, the same for non-assured, with a 4 hour haul ahead of it.
 

4course

Member
Location
north yorks
For the first time in many a long year ive learnt something from the ahdb today in their daily missives that ive been struggling to find the answer to ,so here is my question
How much does it cost to transport a ton of grain from a loaded boat in the black sea i.e fob free on board to a destination wether store or end user close by to a uk destination ? im thinking a similar cost would be the case from north america possibly a tad more so without looking to make my question fair how much do you think?
 

homefarm

Member
Location
N.West
For the first time in many a long year ive learnt something from the ahdb today in their daily missives that ive been struggling to find the answer to ,so here is my question
How much does it cost to transport a ton of grain from a loaded boat in the black sea i.e fob free on board to a destination wether store or end user close by to a uk destination ? im thinking a similar cost would be the case from north america possibly a tad more so without looking to make my question fair how much do you think?
[/QUOTE]


£12/tonne
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

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