Wheat into orbit

B'o'B

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Rutland
All new kit, tractors, combines, drills, spreaders and sprayers come with singing and dancing electrics, much of it unnecessary but designed to bring the dealer in a fortune for repairs.
Those who are prepared to ride it out on well maintained 90s stuff will have way lower costs per acre.
Get you with your modern '90s kit!🤣🤣
 

Nitrams

Member
Location
Cornwall
the reality of the number are higher than that for me

2x more 240 hp tractor at say £15-20k per year - £40k
2x more employees costing 35-40k per year - £70k
2x ploughs - no idea really but say £10k each in depreciation/finance

so 110k plus fuel and metal per year ? - no idea what price to put on that but I suspect it's significant

12 m drill would need to go as could pull that on ploughing with existing 240hp tractors - x 2 4 m combi drills would replace reducing output by at least 25%

maybe 150k extra added to my fixed cost structure, a significant extra % of current - an extra 1000t of wheat at £150 / t ............... we really are getting as good if not better yield than neighbours that plough so I'm not sure where that 100t extra would come from

I would also lose my ability to sell carbon and access the advanced SFI standards - probably worth another 50-80k per year


I have no issue with ploughing, as you say its a reliable establishment method - if it made any financial sense for us we would do it make no mistake
Is there a thread about carbon trading on here?
 

ajd132

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Suffolk
Not disagreeing you clearly make the system work well. Theoretically 0.33tpa wheat would cover the plough and combi cost minus your current cost. Potential for more reliable establishent in challeging conditions?? What you make work
That’s not how to cost it out. That it costs you to plough in your current overhead system. It’s not the cost of a single operation, it’s about restructuring a business to be zero till. A 2000 acre zero till farm needs a lot less machinery and men than the same area plough and power Harrow. Probably in the realm of £100/150/ha lower overheads. Then add in stuff like future sfi payments and carbon selling your getting in the realms of £300-400/ha net gain and then their is the harder to quantify longer term stuff in zero till/regen system of reduced inputs.
 

JCfarmer

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
warks
Forward selling physical grain hasn’t really been a good idea for a few years now ? I have a long held belief it benefits buyers much more than sellers

Downside always seems greater than potential upside, this season I had a merchant pestering me to sell at £150 convinced it was a good ideas I should “ lock into profits“ , if I had that individual would have cost me a lot of money this year

why are farmers so keen to do it ? It’s particularly high risk as well to sell something physical before you actually have it ! “locking into profits“. far too high risk for me anyway
Clive if I remember correctly you have sold a few loads of physical grain for October 21 at £190t?
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
How much N do you use to get 4.8t/ac?

As a 4th cereal after chopped oat straw I used:

200kg urea so 92N
45 cube digestate supplying 137kg available N
150kg urea so 69N

298kg per hectare. 11.9t/ha at 12.5 percent protein.

Wheat as a first cereal after grass did about the same yield but at 11.8 protein from 225kg/ha bagged nitrogen.
 

Spencer

Member
Location
North West
As a 4th cereal after chopped oat straw I used:

200kg urea so 92N
45 cube digestate supplying 137kg available N
150kg urea so 69N

298kg per hectare. 11.9t/ha at 12.5 percent protein.

Wheat as a first cereal after grass did about the same yield but at 11.8 protein from 225kg/ha bagged nitrogen.
So LOTS then..
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
So LOTS then..

Lots in, lots out. I'm sure I'd use less on grade 1 silt after veg. Wet January didn't help - dry January would have meant happier roots and probably 50kg less urea. Chopped oat straw never helps - that's probably another 50kg of urea to cover the lock up and general sadness of the crop as it grows through it.

But over the rotation, silage grass is still the highest use of nitrogen. And in a three cereals in seven, including stewardship fallow and clover stuff I don't think my total nitrogen per tons of wheat is high at all.
 

Fat hen

Member
As a 4th cereal after chopped oat straw I used:

200kg urea so 92N
45 cube digestate supplying 137kg available N
150kg urea so 69N

298kg per hectare. 11.9t/ha at 12.5 percent protein.

Wheat as a first cereal after grass did about the same yield but at 11.8 protein from 225kg/ha bagged nitrogen.
Wow thats more than I expected. You put a lot on to account for the N lock-up...Maybe I should be putting more on.

Usually I put on 180kgN, and get 12.5% sold as low grade or full spec, 7.5-10 t/ha
This yr it was 170kgN, got 11.5% sold as feed. 8-10t/ha
Crusoe.
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
There are lots of variables and I will feed a good crop.

1) soil type here is deep, cold clay. It's likely to be "drains running" and cold well into April.

2) fert type is urea. Given the above it's unlikely to get rapidly into the crop.

3) break crop is only grass. No osr, beans etc. So there are often long runs of cereals depending on the grass Vs wheat economics. And extra year of grass may result in less herbicide cost and greater yield for less nitrogen. I'd happily aim for 10t/ha from 200kgn after osr. But I can't grow osr now, so it's moot.

4) straw. I chopped in 2.6t/AC of wheat straw - clearly some nitrogen went into that for crop output. But it's not going to recycle itself based on point one. It's mixed into the top 2" of soil. I'd say a normal crop of straw wants 30kgn to break it down. A big crop or oats wants 50. If it were allowed I'd spray that on as liquid with mollases onto the chopped straw. I just ploughed up a grass ley I planted in 2012 and the quantity of chopped straw that has barely begun to break down was large.

I think the thing for me about your post was the 7.5 to 10 range. For me, 3t/AC won't pay the bills and but the kids shoes. I've 260ac, a big rental equivalent, and no additional income. What I'm after is shifting that range and reducing the variability. I don't really want protein. What I'm after is a repeatable 11t/ha base. Would I like that at one percent less protein and 50kg less nitrogen? Yup. Can I repeatably do that? No, I'd risk ending up with lower yield. Also, don't underestimate the value of fresh potash in spring.

So over say three wheats and a crop of spring oats I'm looking at say 200,300,300,140kg of fert to produce say 40t of grain? Out of that only half is fert out of a bag.

I looked at the yield meter on the fert and spray overlaps and thought "hey, let's do this to the whole field".

It does sound awful, but here are some more awful things:

Any crop where you think fert prices are high so you buy new expensive seed and end up with cruddy yields / problematic harvests so golden linseed, lupins, spring beans. Done those.

Dry peas for combining.

Looking at a decent crop of winter barley absolutely hit the buffers in a cold February, turn lemon yellow, refuse to tiller and produce 2t/ac.

I grew 13.77t/ha or Crusoe at 13 percent from 300kgn. 2014 maybe. First wheat after osr.

The rb209 guides are pretty solid - 25kg for a ton of feed. 30kg for a ton of 13 percent milling. From that you'll use less on better ground as it's more efficient; less after a break crop; less (my opinion) if you plough. Heavy grade 3 clay, min till, chopped straw, 4th cereal needs more than silty loam ploughed after peas.
 

Flatlander

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lorette Manitoba
usa now starting to talk next years crop yields down due to the impact of high fert prices causing a reduction in use , wonder what mr putins views are regarding his own farmers usage and his availability of gas to make it
Every one I’ve talked to here is crying about fertilizer prices and waiting to see if it drops,all while saying they are going to use less because it’s not economic to apply. All while stood next to a new pickup. I’ll keep the same fertility program even with high prices. Yes it’s a bitter pill to swallow but grain prices are high to buffer that. No reason to miss out on a good crop next year fir a few bucks. Forward prices are historically good even if not at today’s levels but if everyone cuts back on inputs you can bet it’s not going to be a record breaking crop.
 

Flatlander

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lorette Manitoba
Heard that too about brazil so figure maize won’t be the crop of choice. Soybeans will be plentiful. Ten percent won’t make or break a crop but the situation here is some further west DONT have the money to buy inputs. After three dry years they are tapped out and looking at legumes to get them a crop to sell.
 

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