One of the best posts on TFF ever

devonbeef

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Devon UK
we are all getting the line, from all involved supplying farming, we are just going to pass it on to you, well that you might , but by heck by not taking a bit of the hit your going to lose out a hell of a lot more, very few people are going to be drawing from me now, if i keep a third less stock this year and go off farm to work which is the way i am thinking at moment, i am not subsidising everyone else while i live in total poverty.
 

Barleymow

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Ipswich
Most sane business proprietors know the price of the produce before they start to produce it.

They don’t have the weather to contend with either.
And they don't buy their raw materials months before they use them ,or get paid for the resulting products they have produced for months after
 

Humble Village Farmer

Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Essex
And they don't buy their raw materials months before they use them ,or get paid for the resulting products they have produced for months after
If you think of milk or bread as a classic example, the money is in the till within hours of arriving in the supermarket.

They then keep that money for weeks if not months. Meanwhile the producer of said wheat or milk, started investing in that product 2 to 5 years previously.
 

Ffermer Bach

Member
Livestock Farmer
I will be forced out of milk production and farming within two years or so if not sooner. This by legislation that will prohibit the stocking rate that I have used to farm for over forty years and which will force massive investment in facilities which will have zero economic payback, only adding to my cost of production. It’s only a matter of timing now. Since the confirmation of a Wales-wide NVZ it is inevitable. I’m in the process of deciding on the most cost effective way of disposing of farming assets, which will mostly probably go to someone looking for a certain lifestyle rather than food production.

It makes no difference to me, other than to the value of assets, whether farming becomes more profitable or not, because there is nothing on earth that will persuade me to waste my money on investing in infrastructure while the law and red tractor cripples my ability to farm efficiently.
very sad post to read, I am still thinking of the clip from Wales news, where the reporter talked to the climate change minister and said isn't this like the depopulation on the Epynt, with land going for planting with trees (and his anger and denial of that saying my grandfather was from The Epynt). Suddenly we will find that the UK is even less self sufficient with food, and the world market will not be selling food to export for us to buy, China realises that empty bellies cause social unrest (hence they have been buying Wheat), I wonder how come our politicians (of all parties) don't?
 

steveR

Member
Mixed Farmer
Great post @DrWazzock

For livestock farmers it's harder to just shut down but the same decision making process should surely take place

Recall many telling me about farms that just couldn't get farmed in the 1920 ag depression - and why there's so many Scottish families farming (and farming well) in my area

Having seen at first hand the mental anguish and crippling pig economy especially for independent pig producers, I still maintain there's enduring mental stress on many that cannot be healthy
My old chap was a specialist farming accountant, born into a large farming family in 1912.

This place that I now farm, survived the early 20C recession using family labour and spending little or no money. Grain was mostly "walked off the farm" with added value as porkers to mainly local butchers and abattoirs. Cattle were effectively Dog and Sticked, using cheap Irish cattle brought by train from Holyhead, then running out on the grassland. Sugar beet started here in 1927, which I would assume was a huge plus, expecially as the factory was only 3 miles away!

He knew John Cherrington in passing, meeting him at a number of events I believe, and Dad recommended my reading of Cherrington's books on farming at that time when I was a young man decades ago. I then discovered the likes of AG Street.... Both writers are worth reading still, not for advice or guidance but to give a better understanding of where we have been before....

For livestock producers, it is I believe necessary to sit down and work out stocking potential with zero N in a bad year, the era of being able to "chuck a few cwt of Nitram" to get some quick Spring growth are gone... As I have found out this time!! ;)

Sucklers are going, sheep numbers have increased ,and I'll will buy weanlings if they stack up... as in dirt cheap! Else I will simply make a bit of hay and go from there. Arable is in the hands of the Contract lads... and 1/3rd of the farm growing birds and bees. Essentially, anything that keeps the pennies coming in a bit.

Recession proof, possibly not, but we'll see!!
 
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JP1

Member
Livestock Farmer
My old chap was a specialist farming accountant, born into a large farming family in 1912.

This place that I now farm, survived the recession using family labour and spending little or no money. Grain was mostly "walked off the farm" with added value as porkers to mainly local butchers and abattoirs. Cattle were effectively Dog and Sticked, using cheap Irish cattle brought by train from Holyhead running out on the grassland. Sugar beet started here in 1927, which I would assume was a huge plus, expecially as the factory was only 3 miles away!

He knew John Cherrington in passing, meeting him at a number of events I believe, and Dad recommended my reading of Cherrington's books on farming at that time when I was a young man decades ago. I then discovered the likes of AG Street.... Both writers are worth reading still, not for advice or guidance but to give a better understanding of where we have been before....

For livestock producers, it is I believe necessary to sit down and work out stocking potential with zero N in a bad year, the era of being able to "chuck a few cwt of Nitram" to get some quick Spring growth are gone... As I have found out this time!! ;)

Sucklers are going, sheep numbers have increased ,and I'll will buy weanlings if they stack up... as in dirt cheap! Else I will simply make a bit of hay and go from there. Arable is in the hands of the Contract lads... and 1/3rd of the farm growing birds and bees. Essentially, anything that keeps the pennies coming in a bit.

Recession proof, possibly not, but we'll see!!
"On the smell of an oily rag" by John Cherington

I truly miss proper agricultural commentators and journalists ; John(and Dan) Cherington, Oliver Walston, Philip Wrixon
 

Northern territory

Member
Livestock Farmer
we are all getting the line, from all involved supplying farming, we are just going to pass it on to you, well that you might , but by heck by not taking a bit of the hit your going to lose out a hell of a lot more, very few people are going to be drawing from me now, if i keep a third less stock this year and go off farm to work which is the way i am thinking at moment, i am not subsidising everyone else while i live in total poverty.
I think you have hit the nail on the head a lot of these businesses are going to kill the golden goose if they don’t absorb some of the costs. Easy to say put 15-20% on but you might not have anyone to sell to soon enough.
 

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