Anybody considering suspending production for a year?

Anybody considering suspending production for a year?

  • Yes

    Votes: 72 28.8%
  • No

    Votes: 178 71.2%

  • Total voters
    250

Wombat

Member
BASIS
Location
East yorks
Its a nice set of figures Adam but either you are on excellent fertile ground that requires no p and k or lime and as little as 70 odd units of N to get over the 3 ton acre or youre over optimistic ....
Try running the figures at 6 ton a ha at that fert input and see how it looks .
Maybe im wrong but even though in theory theres money to be made at 2quid a kilo and yes there is but when you factor in everything else that could go wrong its getting to be a very high stakes game .

it is but it certainly makes it more interesting than wheat at £60 a tonne.
 

Farmer Roy

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
NSW, Newstralya
I’m starting to think that demand is going to outstrip any wiffle waffle defra or natural England come up with. People loose their minds when they can’t fill there car , imagine what it will be like when they can’t fill there belly

demand for what though ?
there is only a very limited amount of fresh food that the average household can store.
If there is any panic buying of food, it will be canned, dry goods, non perishables etc . . .
A lot of which I’m guessing would still be imported ?
 

glasshouse

Member
Location
lothians
demand for what though ?
there is only a very limited amount of fresh food that the average household can store.
If there is any panic buying of food, it will be canned, dry goods, non perishables etc . . .
A lot of which I’m guessing would still be imported ?
I dont think thats what he meant
Grain demand worldwide is what he meant
Prices are going to stay up and govt rewilding nonsense will be ignored quite rightly.
Bit like the titanic captain telling passengers not to worry, the ships unsinkable but they get off anyway
 

4course

Member
Location
north yorks
out and about this last couple of days ,there are a few but not that many crops that look short of nitrogen , it could be the benign winter effect but most look to have had more or less the same as usual and a fair % look outstanding, where it does look as if applications have been cut back a bit is on grass
 

Humble Village Farmer

Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Essex
If the NFU had a single modicum of sense, that is exactly what they should be advising members to do and advise Defra that if they don't like it, they should get off their arses and do something.

But no, Minette Batters has told us that a contraction in production is " the worse possible thing that could happen".

Really?

The rest of the world is promoting production in every conceivable way and this government are hell bent on importing anything as cheap as possible.
You need to be very brave or extremely naïve to 'plough on' as normal.
It's nothing to do with the government. The corporate food system has every intention of paying low prices while they can for as long as they can. They don't have to though, but farmers just keep giving stock away.
 

Ffermer Bach

Member
Livestock Farmer
I’m starting to think that demand is going to outstrip any wiffle waffle defra or natural England come up with. People loose their minds when they can’t fill there car , imagine what it will be like when they can’t fill there belly
I hope if food gets short, people remember who has been advocating tree planting for carbon offsetting and rewilding. Of course they won't. They will blame whichever party is in government. First two jobs of any government are:
* Stop the country being invaded.
* Keep food available for the population.
Not getting the police to question people who offend others by using the wrong pronouns on social media posts!
 

MrNoo

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Cirencester
The only ones who can really mothball production are those with a fully bought and paid for farm, probably with old and paid for kit.
No staff or can re deploy them somewhere else, can get a job or work on a diversification themselves.
But saying that unless you are in really rubbish ground there is plenty of money to be made at current fert prices and futures prices, so why wouldn’t you crack on?
Marginal ground, no staff, no mortgage and diversified income and it's a no brainer. The money I spend growing crops I could spend on more buildings/conversions etc, no nonsense RT to deal with either.
Your idea that and average of 8t/ha is normal is a way off the mark for here on brash, be more like 6-7, 7 in a good year.
Trouble is that we are the ones taking a much larger risk for not a greater reward (although we do not know what prices will do) so I guess it comes down to the fact do you feel lucky or not, all the spreadsheets in the world wont tell you what will happen!! But I guess you can run through various scenarios to see where you're at
 

GeorgeK

Member
Location
Leicestershire
The Heads of the World Bank Group, IMF, WFP and WTO Call for Urgent Coordinated Action on Food Security.

"We call on the international community to urgently ... increase domestic agricultural production"


Meanwhile the UK government reveal an artists impression of their long awaited agricultural land policy:

0402768_unicorn-forest-ii_420.jpeg
 

ajd132

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Suffolk
Marginal ground, no staff, no mortgage and diversified income and it's a no brainer. The money I spend growing crops I could spend on more buildings/conversions etc, no nonsense RT to deal with either.
Your idea that and average of 8t/ha is normal is a way off the mark for here on brash, be more like 6-7, 7 in a good year.
Trouble is that we are the ones taking a much larger risk for not a greater reward (although we do not know what prices will do) so I guess it comes down to the fact do you feel lucky or not, all the spreadsheets in the world wont tell you what will happen!! But I guess you can run through various scenarios to see where you're at
Can’t disagree with that
 

ajd132

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Suffolk
Its a nice set of figures Adam but either you are on excellent fertile ground that requires no p and k or lime and as little as 70 odd units of N to get over the 3 ton acre or youre over optimistic ....
Try running the figures at 6 ton a ha at that fert input and see how it looks .
Maybe im wrong but even though in theory theres money to be made at 2quid a kilo and yes there is but when you factor in everything else that could go wrong its getting to be a very high stakes game .
We don’t need lime, we’ve used a lot of chicken muck over the last 8 years so it is fertile. Our average wheat yield is about 9.7t/ha with 200kg/n.
it is a high stakes game, but then planting a crop always is!
 

Jackov Altraids

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Devon
It's nothing to do with the government. The corporate food system has every intention of paying low prices while they can for as long as they can. They don't have to though, but farmers just keep giving stock away.

Who is responsible for food security and availability?

The "corporate food system" is only responsible for making money for its shareholders.

Just because the government are doing nothing, doesn't mean its nothing to do with them.

It should be nothing to do with the NFU. The have rather mistakenly, put the interests of everyone else over that of their members.
 

Humble Village Farmer

Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Essex
Who is responsible for food security and availability?

The "corporate food system" is only responsible for making money for its shareholders.

Just because the government are doing nothing, doesn't mean its nothing to do with them.

It should be nothing to do with the NFU. The have rather mistakenly, put the interests of everyone else over that of their members.
Good point. We are where we are because of a lack of controls, profiteering and restrictive practice for the benefit of everyone who buys from or sells to farmers. Finally the penny is dropping, just as supplies are starting to look a bit shaky, at the same time farmers are planning significant cuts in production.

It's going to be an interesting ride.
 

Ffermer Bach

Member
Livestock Farmer
Good point. We are where we are because of a lack of controls, profiteering and restrictive practice for the benefit of everyone who buys from or sells to farmers. Finally the penny is dropping, just as supplies are starting to look a bit shaky, at the same time farmers are planning significant cuts in production.

It's going to be an interesting ride.
if the penny is starting to drop, why is the Welsh Government still giving grants to plant trees on Welsh farmland?

 

Humble Village Farmer

Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Essex

Ffermer Bach

Member
Livestock Farmer
Up to individual land owners to decide what they do on their land.

That's a sign of a loss of confidence in the future of farming in the UK.
we don't have the up to individual land owners in the UK, on the one hand government tilts the playing field with incentives and grants, and if it was up to the individual landowners the countryside would be covered in bungalows, which isn't allowed.
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 101 41.4%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 89 36.5%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 36 14.8%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 5 2.0%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 3 1.2%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 10 4.1%

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