Worlds gone f***ing mad!

JimAndy

Member
Mixed Farmer
talking of the world going mad


did you ever here the like of it. using TAX payers money to buy a house for someone else, Sorry if you cant afford to buy a house, they you rent and that house stay in the ownership of the government, so that when you move on you DON'T get to sell it for a hugh profit. and some other person who need it, get to rent it
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
I do think the science is understood, it's just that it's been based on very flawed thinking and that's created completely erroneous models and assumptions.

Trickle-truth, in action.

There are various reasons for this - firstly, as @Global ovine says, this was agreed upon several decades ago (the Bolger gov't, IIRC?) and in those days the global warming thing had a huge cult-like following, the warming potential of various gases and scenarios was based on this.

Therefore methane (a considerable "greenhouse gas") was singled out, and this was of course endorsed by the oil /manufacturing companies as it bought them time to ramp up the propaganda against ruminant agriculture, to hide their own impact on air pollution while technology caught up.

And, it worked.
Despite the advancement of understanding and revamping the modelling to a less incorrect state of being, the agreement still stands. Take away this basic flawed thinking that methane behaves just like CO² but worse and there really is no justification to target livestock farming.

Most countries had more sense than to sign on the dotted line, because of significant other industrial interests (eg gas, coal, oil) that would be severely impacted if they were to agree to reductions in emissions.

During this interim period, the concept of "offsetting" was conceived, to permit polluters to keep polluting, however the considerable offsetting available within the agricultural sector is denied for obvious-to-some reasons - it doesn't impact animal agriculture enough to reduce food supply to subsistence levels.
It doesn't impoverish whole nations, and it doesn't shift control away from individual producers towards conglomerates and corporations.

Private ownership of property just doesn't fit with the new agenda, and this is the tip of one of the Michelin bars under private property ownership.
You'll note many of the more socialist/communist-leaning TFFers like to howl "tax the wealthy more" without realising that they are the wealthy - you just have to laugh.

Most of a nations' true wealth lies in agriculture and primary industry, and the pitchforks look like this.
Very good post as always Pete. And I have huge amount of sympathy for you guys having to operate under this sad state of affairs.

However, how can you say that the science is understood? It may be understood to a degree by certain people on the IPCC but it clearly isn't understood by your politicians and civil servants. The science is getting to a better place at long last, granted, but the politicians' understanding is clearly decades behind.

The 30% drop in methane requirement as stated by the IPCC is certainly needed but govts aren't understanding which methane needs to be reduced. This is largely due to the IPCC not being specific enough in their output, but also due to people not understanding the output. It is clear that the methane that need to be reduced is fossil methane, and 30% is a pathetic target when viewed correctly. They should be aiming for 100% reduction and ASAP. And leave ruminant methane tf alone. Have NZ declared a tax on rice paddies? What about termite mounds? Wetlands?

Why have we (well you guys, but shortly us too) to be held to account for an agreement that was arrived at decades ago by people who barely even knew what the problem was let alone kept that agreement updated to allow for new knowledge? They are fighting last decade's war. History will not be kind to your govt. It will show them to be fekking idiots before too much longer. Some of us can see they're fekking idiots right now.
 

BrianV

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Dartmoor
talking of the world going mad


did you ever here the like of it. using TAX payers money to buy a house for someone else, Sorry if you cant afford to buy a house, they you rent and that house stay in the ownership of the government, so that when you move on you DON'T get to sell it for a hugh profit. and some other person who need it, get to rent it
Johnson making yet more off the cuff announcements that haven't been thought through or approved by the rest of the cabinet, he's just a prat who will say or announce anything if he thinks it will get him headlines in the press.
Can't believe 211 Tory MPs thought he was the very best they had to offer, tells you all you need to know of the state of the current Tory party doesn't it!
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
Spot on.
We don't know what we don't know, and for some reason it's "better" to pretend we do, than to simply accept that we don't know everything.

It's a function swimming in a sea of opinions, that we would rather not look bad - this phenomena destroys conversations and impacts people every day - this "being right", at any cost to self

That's why most of what is available is based on "modelling" rather than data, observation, critical thinking.

(Look at that whole conversation around covid/vaccine and what we might pretend that we know - it's not knowable yet but we may pretend in order to "be right" and "not look bad" - and then consider the impacts on conversations, relationships, and human health from that)

It's quite astonishing when you sit back and just look at the inauthenticity of what people speak as "fact", most of it merely stories
It's the need to appear to be doing something. Anything.
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
well now that depends on what emission you are most concerned by... The post specified breeding an animal that produces less methane, not the one that gave the lowest overall impact on climate. Highlights again why ruminant methane is really a very poor metric!
I find the "breeding" angle to be almost comical in its ability to be completely worthless in the overall debate. No credit will be given for it even if it was a worthwhile exercise in its own right ( and I'd argue it isn't if I could be bothered).
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
All methane is cyclical. Globally there is vastly more landfill not than 100 years ago but there are fewer ruminants on the planet than 100 years ago. The growth in landfill is a new source. But yes, ultimately it all comes down to our massive conversion of locked away fossil carbon into CO2
All methane is cyclical if your timescale is 000s of millions of years agreed. But that isn't the timescale we're operating on is it? So all sources of methane aren't cyclical, to say they are is just a bit weird. Landfill sources are relatively cyclical given how much food waste finds it way into landfill. I'd argue that landfill methane isn't as big a problem as fossil methane every day of the week. But landfill sources can be reduced and is therefore an area that needs action all things considered.
 

Yale

Member
Livestock Farmer
Just as an aside.

Current world temperatures are at the 30 year average. Funny enough haven’t seen that on the news.

Ice in the Arctic IIRC is at the same level over summer however winter temps have been slightly higher than average due to water vapour.

The science on climate change is not settled,global cooling is a far greater risk to humanity than warming.

If the poles warm relative to the tropics it means there is less contrast in temps therefore weather events become less extreme.

This was proved by last year’s hurricane season being relatively benign.

Facts are out there however they are buried under government agendas.
 

farmerm

Member
Location
Shropshire
All methane is cyclical if your timescale is 000s of millions of years agreed. But that isn't the timescale we're operating on is it? So all sources of methane aren't cyclical, to say they are is just a bit weird. Landfill sources are relatively cyclical given how much food waste finds it way into landfill. I'd argue that landfill methane isn't as big a problem as fossil methane every day of the week. But landfill sources can be reduced and is therefore an area that needs action all things considered.
Agree. My key point is ruminants are not responsible for the increase in atmospheric methane that concerns climate scientists and therefore livestock farmers should not be made to shoulder the cost in the way these ill conceived anti meat proposals demand.
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
When making an attempt to explain exactly where the methane issue lies I always find the following diagram explains what a million words can't seem to get across to people. Bear in mind that the numbers for fossil fuels are increasingly known to be quite a way out and the problem is actually bigger than shown in this graphic. But if you remove fossil fuel production and use from the atmosphere there is no problem.

So if there is no problem associated with ruminant methane how tf can any sane person justify taxing ruminants?
 

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delilah

Member
Unfortunately nations signed up to lower their GHG emissions over a specified time. They did not sign up to lower their warming contribution, that science has been developed much more recently. Therefore the NZ farming sector had to act, or would have been taxed out of existence.

I don't think that you believe any of that any more than I do.

Our respective national representative bodies could easily explain the flaws in our Governments thinking and get policy changed, but they don't. Why ? Partly because our representative bodies themselves don't understand the science, partly because they are being paid by the cartel to make sure we take the flak.

They could have given the middle finger to the current woke left leaning Gov't.

This isn't being driven by the left. They may, through naivety, be implementing it in your country, but it is being driven by global corporations, about as right wing as you can get. They are laughing at their good fortune that the left are doing their dirty work for them.
 

Kiwi Pete

Member
Livestock Farmer
Very good post as always Pete. And I have huge amount of sympathy for you guys having to operate under this sad state of affairs.

However, how can you say that the science is understood? It may be understood to a degree by certain people on the IPCC but it clearly isn't understood by your politicians and civil servants. The science is getting to a better place at long last, granted, but the politicians' understanding is clearly decades behind.

The 30% drop in methane requirement as stated by the IPCC is certainly needed but govts aren't understanding which methane needs to be reduced. This is largely due to the IPCC not being specific enough in their output, but also due to people not understanding the output. It is clear that the methane that need to be reduced is fossil methane, and 30% is a pathetic target when viewed correctly. They should be aiming for 100% reduction and ASAP. And leave ruminant methane tf alone. Have NZ declared a tax on rice paddies? What about termite mounds? Wetlands?

Why have we (well you guys, but shortly us too) to be held to account for an agreement that was arrived at decades ago by people who barely even knew what the problem was let alone kept that agreement updated to allow for new knowledge? They are fighting last decade's war. History will not be kind to your govt. It will show them to be fekking idiots before too much longer. Some of us can see they're fekking idiots right now.
Thanks. In this case it occurs to me that the conspiracy against humanity is much, much stronger than "the science".

The lies are apparent, but they are too important to cover the depopulation goals to give up.

What usually comes up is "Pete, you're crazy, that's just a conspiracy theory" but it's well past the theory stage.

This is enemy action.
 

Kiwi Pete

Member
Livestock Farmer
When making an attempt to explain exactly where the methane issue lies I always find the following diagram explains what a million words can't seem to get across to people. Bear in mind that the numbers for fossil fuels are increasingly known to be quite a way out and the problem is actually bigger than shown in this graphic. But if you remove fossil fuel production and use from the atmosphere there is no problem.

So if there is no problem associated with ruminant methane how tf can any sane person justify taxing ruminants?
They aren't sane. They're megalomaniacs.
 

Yale

Member
Livestock Farmer
They aren't sane. They're megalomaniacs.
Here‘s one of many articles on this megalomaniac and his agenda.


My take is we should be conserving fossil fuels and energy not be beaten by a crude carbon stick.

The earths climate is far more complicated than just carbon.
 

JD-Kid

Member
simple thing realy tax the livestock sector low numbers of voters so even if all the farmers voted for a diffrent party would not over turn. govt
and im not 100% sure if yer can off set the methane. with just carbon units have a funny feeling planting a few acres in pines out the back will not be paying the bill

the whole thing is a crock

but if yer a young fella and want to make big bucks yer heard. this here first
be a carbon and GHG auditor
a broker. trading carbon units
any machine that can make. wood chips for bio fuel .... I know one outfit already running 5 huge chippers


I just seen a big loop hole thats going to come in regarding damaged trees and the paying back of carbon
 

Ffermer Bach

Member
Livestock Farmer
Yep green washing and deflection, I could lay money on this, that it all stemmed from the oil and gas industry deflecting attention from themselves, the reality is the moment we stop using oil and gas is the moment we stop the cause of the problem, the fact we are worried about cow farts at all is, the world has dragged its feet for 30-40 years over the issue and now we are having to react more radically to slow down what is happening, by all means possible.
If we had pulled the breaks on oil and gas 30 years ago, we would not have to consider an emergency stop now that’s going to effect food production.
I personally think if there needs to be an emergency stop it’s in our use of oil and gas, the next ten years wants to cut that as hard as possible, the planet can absorb a lot of C02 it does now carbon neutral is not needed we just need to get production under what the planet can adsorb.
And I for one don’t want to starve me personally or the general population of the world, to avoid that we need animals eating grass we barely feed everyone now when we use poor land for grazing.

there are sensible solutions but, the people making money from selling oil and gas and things that use the oil and gas like cars etc are trying their hardest to slow down the push to cut oil and gas consumption.
Yes more PP and trees in deserts will help as will better husbandry of farming in general that includes arable and animal.
I would agree with another poster, don’t rush to sell carbon credits you may yet need them yourselves.
Do what you wish to make your self carbon negative so you can bank credits, and banking them is real, if you can prove they exist you can bank them, as others have said roll on 20 years they maybe worth 10 times or more the value they are today. And you will have saved up twenty years worth, and avoided paying any carbon taxes.
I read in one of the articles in the Telegraph, a flight from UK to USA used 1.6 tons of Carbon per person, the beef in the meal on the flight is 400grams of Carbon and that 1.6 tons is twice as much as the Carbon cost of the food for the average person for a year. Unless it is deflection from the Carbon costs of the fuel, I fail to see how 400 grams is causing the problem!
 

Cowabunga

Member
Location
Ceredigion,Wales
I read in one of the articles in the Telegraph, a flight from UK to USA used 1.6 tons of Carbon per person, the beef in the meal on the flight is 400grams of Carbon and that 1.6 tons is twice as much as the Carbon cost of the food for the average person for a year. Unless it is deflection from the Carbon costs of the fuel, I fail to see how 400 grams is causing the problem!
You fail to consider that the 1.6 tons used for the flight will be offset by the airline buying some ‘cheap’ Welsh land and planting a few trees on it. So that’s alright then… leaving the 400gms from the beef, a massive exaggeration in my opinion but hey-ho, to be the BIG ISSUE.
That’s how propaganda driven political manipulation works.
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
I read in one of the articles in the Telegraph, a flight from UK to USA used 1.6 tons of Carbon per person, the beef in the meal on the flight is 400grams of Carbon and that 1.6 tons is twice as much as the Carbon cost of the food for the average person for a year. Unless it is deflection from the Carbon costs of the fuel, I fail to see how 400 grams is causing the problem!
Twas Jayne Buxton wasn’t it? And the 400g was calculated wrongly anyway. It’s much less. What was included in the 0.8t figure? Presumably it’ll include the whole food chain, ie not just the farming part?
 

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