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  1. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    EU wheat exports appear to slow, key data missing

    The EU has exported 8.67Mt of soft wheat by 17 October 2021, according to the EU Commissions weekly trade data report. Exports have been led by Romania, Bulgaria, and Germany. Although EU soft wheat exports are still 36% ahead of 2020/21, they are back in line with 2019/20. This comes as weekly...
  2. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    Wednesday 20 October 2021 Nov-21 and Nov-22 feed wheat futures slipped back a further £0.50/t yesterday to close at £206.50/t and £191.50/t respectively. Paris rapeseed futures (Nov-21) continue to climb, closing yesterday at €689.25/t, up €15.50/t from Monday. This follows strength in oil...
  3. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    Grain Market Outlook 2021

    Please feel free to contact us directly and discuss this further. We will of course be happy to share the content of the discussions with the wider Farming Forum. [email protected] - Economics and Analysis Director Kind regards James
  4. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    Grain Market Outlook 2021

    Good morning We aim to remove any question once answered from the screen to allow for more questions to be populated, some questions remained on screen as they were still receiving “thumbs up” on the PollEV software and so were pushed to the top. In June 2021 AHDB paused our annual funding...
  5. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB weekly market report

    Monday 18 October UK grain markets UK wheat prices tracked up with Paris wheat futures last week. The Nov-21 UK feed wheat futures contract gained £6.25/t, closing on Friday at £208.50/t. As highlighted last week, the UK production figures were published provisionally on Monday. Further...
  6. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    Grain Market Outlook 2021

  7. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    WASDE tightens wheat

    Yesterday, the USDA released, amongst other reports, its latest global supply and demand estimates. The report tightened the outlook further for wheat, taking the stocks-to-use of the crop to 35.2%, [1]still the tightest point since 2015/16. Excluding China, stocks-to-use is at the tightest...
  8. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    Wednesday 13 October UK feed wheat futures continued their recent climb yesterday. The Nov-21 feed wheat futures contract gained a further £4.00/t yesterday, closing at £208.50/t. The Nov-22 contract gained £3.30/t to close at £191.30/t. UK markets tracked European markets higher. Yesterday’s...
  9. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB weekly market report

    Monday 11 October Following requested feedback earlier in the year, we have amended our dials. The dials in this report reflect the analyst’s view of the possible direction in markets. The two-week (solid line) and six-month (dashed line) outlooks are based on the best available information at...
  10. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    Could energy prices reduce milling wheat supplies?

    In February, we speculated as to whether fertiliser prices could get to £300/tonne again, based on Chicago maize prices and demand for fertiliser, given their historic relationship. In July, they did just that. Ammonia nitrate (AN) fertiliser prices are driven not only by demand of course, but...
  11. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    Thursday 7 October 2021 Nov-21 UK feed wheat futures closed yesterday at £202.50/t, back up to the contract high seen on Friday and Monday. Paris rapeseed futures have continued to soar. The Nov-21 contract closed yesterday at €671.25/t, yet another contract high. Support comes from oil...
  12. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    EU rapeseed prices continue surging

    For the past six months, EU rapeseed prices have continued to surge. Yesterday, the Nov-21 Paris rapeseed contract closed at €662.00/t (£563.25/t). The strength in EU markets continues to be reflected in the UK market, with prices for domestic rapeseed, delivered Erith (Nov), quoted at...
  13. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    Wednesday 6 October UK feed wheat futures closed lower yesterday. The Nov-21 contract closed £2.45/t lower, at £200.05/t. The drop follows six sessions of gains, which have seen the contract move up from £194.15/t on 27 September. The move lower in UK prices followed a similar move in Paris...
  14. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    UK harvest reviewed as US stock reports pushes global wheat higher

    Thank you for the responses, we’re always happy to discuss the detail of the articles we publish. Happy to get in contact anytime, so give me an email ([email protected]) and we can arrange a time to talk, Thanks, David Eudall, Economics & Analysis Director, AHDB
  15. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    Will US harvest cap recent wheat gains?

    The US harvest continues at pace. Last night, the USDA crop progress report showed that the US maize harvest was 29% complete as of 3 October. This is 7 percentage points (pp) ahead of average, and 5pp ahead of last year. The soybean harvest has also been progressing at speed, now 34% complete...
  16. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    Tuesday, 5 October 2021 Nov-21 UK feed wheat closed yesterday at £202.50/t, flat from Friday’s close. All key global grains contracts drifted yesterday. Yesterday, OPEC+ announced that they would continue to gradually increase oil output. As, a result, brent crude oil (nearby) closed at...
  17. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB weekly market report

    Monday 04 October Following requested feedback earlier in the year, we have amended our dials. The dials in this report reflect the analyst’s view of the possible direction in markets. The two-week (solid line) and six-month (dashed line) outlooks are based on the best available information at...
  18. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    UK harvest reviewed as US stock reports pushes global wheat higher

    As the harvest now ends around the UK, we have our final harvest report to round up yields and quality. For wheat, in our final report yields are forecast close to average at 8.0-8.2t/ha. However, the real issue in the UK lies in variable quality. Specific weights are reported generally lower...
  19. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    Friday, 1 October 2021 Wheat markets continued their recent sharp gains as cuts to US production and lower than expected US stocks kept the upwards momentum going. UK ICE feed wheat futures for Nov-21 closed at £200.60/t, a gain of £3.35/t on the previous close. Nov-22 futures closed at...
  20. AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds

    AHDB daily market commentary

    30 September 2021 UK feed wheat futures (Nov-21) closed yesterday at £197.25/t, a gain of £1.65/t. Yesterdays close represented the highest point for the contract, eclipsing the previous high on 26 August. UK feed wheat futures have tracked gains in wider grain markets of late. Yesterday saw...
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