£200/t wheat ...

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
yes - they even have cartels (opec) to make sure of that
OPEC also had fairly flat oil prices from the late 1970s until Saddam Hussein marched into Kuwait. Thanks to OPEC, we had North Sea oil, tar sands in Canada, biofuels and USA is now the biggest oil producer in the world. They also struggle to agree with each other now the likes of Russia and Venezuela are in OPEC+.

Cartels are ultimately self defeating because they create room for alternatives. Even Apple cannot dictate the smartphone market.
 

EddieB

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Staffs
The OP is saying what a farce the official inflation figure is.

A couple of years ago when Wheat was £140/t you could of bought for example 50 bags of cement, today a ton of wheat (£200) would buy you approx. 40 bags of cement.
When I went away to school aged 13, a 29 t lorry load would have paid a years fees. Even with wheat at £200/t it would take nearer seven lorries today. That’s how poor farming has become.
 

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
How many people have actually sold wheat at £200? Forward feed prices nowhere near. You lot as bad as land agents
Too right. They seemed to be bunged out with poor quality wheat of low bushel weight. So slow movement to limited number of more forgiving homes, no export boats and some hefty deductions. Yes better prices are welcome but it’s hardly a bonanza here.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
yes - they even have cartels (opec) to make sure of that

Given the price of oil has fluctuated between $110 and $20 per barrel over the last decade, I think we can safely say the oil cartel is not very successful in controlling the oil price. Not least because oil was $20 a barrel in the 1970s and isn't much above that today 40+ years later, much like grain prices really.

Ever since the development of fracking technology and its widespread adoption in the US, OPEC has struggled to control the oil price at all. Every time they agree to reduce production in order to drive the price up the US frackers turn the taps on and flood the market with oil, driving it back down again.
 
Ever met any actual farmers?

A night after working the streets, three prostitutes who lived together were sitting around having coffee and discussing the tricks from the night before.
The first one said " I had a fireman the night before and the other two said "How could you tell?" and she replies "That's easy ... his hose was over his shoulder and he smelt like like smoke."
The second one said "I had a policeman ... "The other two said "How could you tell?" and she replies "He pulled out his handcuffs and used his baton on me."
The third one said I had a farmer last night and the other two said "A farmer are you sure?" and she said "Yes, first he complained it was too wet, then it was too dry and then he wanted to wait until spring to pay me."



How many people have actually sold wheat at £200? Forward feed prices nowhere near.

I've had two prices on the same day (from 2 different merchants), both over £200 for May '22.

Ex North Midlands, just FW, no premium.
 

jackrussell101

Member
Mixed Farmer
Anyone else understand how £200 /t wheat buys £140 wheat two years ago?
Correct, me neither and I have a degree in Economics.

It works out at £189 a tonne...

Screenshot_20210904-140704_Calculator.jpg
 

jackrussell101

Member
Mixed Farmer
I think that the OP was making the point that a ton of wheat at £200 today buys less general inputs than a ton at £140 two years ago
I agree with that but he uses 2.8% as his yardstick.

Agree ag inputs are certainly going up by more than 2.8%... unfortunately 😔
 

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