Poll Arable Scotland Poll - how far sold are you for 2020?

[Arable Scotland]

 

[Chris F]

Results so far from Twitter:

 

[Hampton]

0% sold

 

[Chris F]

0% sold

I'm guessing you are pretty happy about that decision now?

 

[7610 super q]

0%. I think I'll see what I get first........

 

[MrNoo]

0% here, think there's a bit of milage in it

 

[Brisel]

60% sold a while ago. Values ok by recent standards but I'm also now bullish to 2020 harvest wheat. Still bearish on barley but the recent USDA report took quite a lot off the balance sheets.

Looking to do a chunk of 2021 once I can get £150/t ex for Nov 21 for feed wheat. There will be a big wheat crop going in the ground this autumn if we have a more "normal" drilling period.

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[DRC]

Who benefits most from knowing what % we’ve sold ?
Better off keeping things to ourselves maybe .

 

[Chris F]

Update from Twitter where there has been 2 votes in the 76%-100% category only:

 

[DRC]

Update from Twitter where there has been 2 votes in the 76%-100% category only:

View attachment 891758

What are you trying to prove or disprove from this poll. Does it matter and is it anyone’s business

 

[MrNoo]

What are you trying to prove or disprove from this poll. Does it matter and is it anyone’s business

It's pretty meaningless really unless you know tonnage being produced by members, you could produce 10,000t or 100t a year, much like myself.

 

[Chris F]

 

[DRC]

It's pretty meaningless really unless you know tonnage being produced by members, you could produce 10,000t or 100t a year, much like myself.

Yes @Chris F . Shouldn’t the tonnage that you produce come into it. 100% of mine, would be a small percentage of someone like @Brisel .
What’s the poll trying to prove . Is it to help the trade beat us down on price.?

 

[Chris F]

Yes @Chris F . Shouldn’t the tonnage that you produce come into it. 100% of mine, would be a small percentage of someone like @Brisel .
What’s the poll trying to prove . Is it to help the trade beat us down on price.?

Did you listen to the Webinar - the reasons were discussed? If not it will be on here to watch on demand.

 

[DRC]

Did you listen to the Webinar - the reasons were discussed? If not it will be on here to watch on demand.

No thanks . I’d rather watch football, even if it’s behind closed doors .
Summarise it for us .

 

[Brisel]

It's pretty meaningless really unless you know tonnage being produced by members, you could produce 10,000t or 100t a year, much like myself.

It's just a poll to get an idea of forward sales. The sample will be too small to draw meaningful conclusions from. I doubt anyone has much confidence in yield forecasts this year anyway.

 

[beltbreaker]

I would be one of the higher % sold, too much risk and potential over supply in the market I know I can make money and I can buy back some if harvest doesn't go as planned. Also sold 1/3 of 2021 harvest on same basis.

 

[Daniel]

No thanks . I’d rather watch football, even if it’s behind closed doors .
Summarise it for us .

I can't imagine the viewing figures for these endless webinars and online shows have been too strong! I myself have watched precisely 0 minutes of any of them.

There are a lot of underemployed ancillary staff in the supply industry though, got to give them something to do.