Change or wait

icanshootwell

Member
Location
Ross-on-wye
Almost doing a deal but very tempted to wait the winter out see where all this mess takes us. Obviously price to change will probably increase.
Anyone else being cautious?
Dealers always cracking that old chestnut,"prices going up next month" the trouble is these prices can,t keep rising can they?but saying that good 2nd hand kit is flying off the shelf, I rang up about 5 mc hale feeders in the last few days, all sold.
 

upnortheast

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Northumberland
If the time is right for your business to change a machine just do it.
Sods law says if you keep it too long you will end up with a big repair bill then still have it to change
 

ACEngineering

Member
Trade
Location
Oxon
Dealers always cracking that old chestnut,"prices going up next month" the trouble is these prices can,t keep rising can they?but saying that good 2nd hand kit is flying off the shelf, I rang up about 5 mc hale feeders in the last few days, all sold.

Pretty much everything we buy is going up like it or not! Only a major crash is gonna stop that.
Covid has been a factor too because of supply and demand. Supply is less as factories are curning out stuff slower but demand for many things is still high hense high prices.

For example I had a good deal on a new van back start march.
Now for many a new factory order for van there talking about delivery in February!
Prices gone up and if you do a deal now but delivery is 2021 you will have to pay about 10% import tax on it depending what happens with Brexit of cause!

🤷‍♂️ Economy isnt looking great long term for anyone imo

Who ever Finds a cure to covid first will be rich!
 

Victor

Member
Location
Devon
Went past couple of dealers yesterday and noticed their yards were fairly empty ( new and second hand)
Is everything selling or dealers being cautious?
 

An Gof

Member
Location
Cornwall
If it was me I’d just wait a little longer until I knew the outcome of the EU trade deal and the passing of the Ag Bill (I think in reality we already know that).
Failing that crack on as fortune favours the brave
 

beltbreaker

Member
Location
Ross-shire
Looking at a forklift. I was planning waiting until March April but yr end May and if there is a delay then might have more tax to pay.. Got offered a couple of better than expected deals so might jump earlier. Is price jump going to be worth more in 5yrs time, I doubt it, you want to change JFDI..

Everything is up in the air best dig your crystal ball out as whatever you do on reflection will be wrong this time next year
 

thesilentone

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Cumbria
March delivery, if it was available now I'd be bit braver and say sod it and go for it but a lot can happe before march.


I understand you're concern, allot could happen between now and March. The main one being the exchange rate, the £ has been weak against the euro, however that has suited us for exports, but if we do make a deal, I have a feeling it will creep up, the effect being nothing. In theory import prices should fall, however all a strengthening will do is stop them going up. The worst case is the £ weakens further and you have to pay more in March.
 

Dry Rot

Member
Livestock Farmer
I am wonderimng where interest rates and inflation are going to go. Boris is flinging it around as if there's plenty, so maybe he is printing it? Maybe spend money on repairs rather than buy new while people are looking for work? Of course, they could get even hungrier and prices will come down!
 

thesilentone

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Cumbria
I am wonderimng where interest rates and inflation are going to go. Boris is flinging it around as if there's plenty, so maybe he is printing it? Maybe spend money on repairs rather than buy new while people are looking for work? Of course, they could get even hungrier and prices will come down!

The whole World is borrowing money, however, unless they make a special one off case, and right the debts off, (which is unlikely) then income tax directly, or indirectly will have to go up. This may drive up incomes, if so, then inflation will follow. A period of controlled inflation will not be a bad thing, as prices and incomes have been fairly stagnant for sometime. The World will change, some Asian Countries are well placed to take advantage as they have not been as affected. Post BREXIT deal or no deal, we will need to make deals quickly to maintain momentum on exports and prove we made the right decision. EU goods are expensive compared to others, this may help us.
 

Clive

Staff Member
Moderator
Location
Lichfield
I am wonderimng where interest rates and inflation are going to go. Boris is flinging it around as if there's plenty, so maybe he is printing it? Maybe spend money on repairs rather than buy new while people are looking for work? Of course, they could get even hungrier and prices will come down!

Interest rates are not going up that's for sure, probably go negative within the next 12 months, cost to borrow won't fall much though as bank margins are most of the current "rate" anyway

Asset inflation is high, it's a good time to buy if you have ability to borrow
 

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