Combinables Price Tracker

[teslacoils]

where are you ? i thought most areas had seen some rain the last 2 weeks ?

We've had no more than an inch since mid march, and a very dry winter.

 

[Chrisw]

Join the club. The “easterly wind blows all the rain away club”. It’s getting tiresome. Third year in a row of spring drought and each time worse. Can see grain production moving north and west. What do we grow? Wine and olive oil.

Tea?

 

[Hampton]

700g of wheat to make a standard loaf of bread. (white)
1428 loaves from a ton.
At 180/t = 12p.
At £400/t = 28p.

I reckon that the cost of running my breadmaker has gone up 7p a standard loaf just from the electricity side.

Contrast this to the cost of running a car or filling up the kero tank and it really is nothing for us in the affluent west. Could cut the cost of bread by mandating everyone buy brown bread. I wouldnt like to hazard a guess at how many households throw away the end crusts of a loaf of white sliced....

There is no point in raising rates. This is all external factors and the only way through is to tighten belts.

For reference, a "strawberry and mint iced tea" at Costa Coffee is £3.20 for almost zero nutritional value. Throw in a cheese toastie and a chocolate tiffin and youve spaffed £9.70 on some fancy water; two slices of bread with some cheese in the middle; and sugar you dont need.

You’re always quoting Costa, you must be a big fan!
Are you a breast feeding Mum?

 

[Will Blackburn]

Further to run before the big crash.

Going to crash on the basis of new supply from Mars?

 

[EJS]

Join the club. The “easterly wind blows all the rain away club”. It’s getting tiresome. Third year in a row of spring drought and each time worse. Can see grain production moving north and west. What do we grow? Wine and olive oil.

Exactly same here in east Kent - strong winds no rain - my extase is out in ear and no rain in forecast

 

[Gill Horse]

Ears are emerging in a neighbours wheat here.

 

[glasshouse]

We wish. About 8mm total in east Cambs. You’d barely know we had had it. I’ve got some spring barley that will struggle to get to 5t/ha and some ww that will struggle to teach 7

Thats ok at £350/ t

 

[glasshouse]

The upside (if you can call it that) is it’ll be £400 by harvest.

Its £700

 

[Flat 10]

Thats ok at £350/ t

If you weren’t a pr*ck who hadn’t sold 3t/ha ww at around £200

 

[glasshouse]

If you weren’t a pr*ck who hadn’t sold 3t/ha ww at around £200

Plenty in that club

 

[PSQ]

Going to crash on the basis of new supply from Mars?

At some point in the future Russia is going to be let back into the fold. It might be through ‘regime change’ or to mitigate the horror of 3rd world hunger. But when the ports open they will ship as much excess wheat as they could store, and the global price will nosedive.
The big imponderable is will they cut future production for a crop they can’t export, and which they won’t have enough warehouse space to store? Especially as they will struggle without embargoed agchem, though I’ll bet the Brazilian fertiliser boats won’t be heading back empty..,

 

[Surgery]

At some point in the future Russia is going to be let back into the fold. It might be through ‘regime change’ or to mitigate the horror of 3rd world hunger. But when the ports open they will ship as much excess wheat as they could store, and the global price will nosedive.
The big imponderable is will they cut future production for a crop they can’t export, and which they won’t have enough warehouse space to store? Especially as they will struggle without embargoed agchem, though I’ll bet the Brazilian fertiliser boats won’t be heading back empty..,

Exactly , hungry mouths will lead to serious political and humanitarian issues which will lead to exports from where ever it can be sourced from , is on the other hand it will become an issue over here for Wayne and waynetter can’t afford 40 fags , a new iPhone , Netflix and dog food for the pit bull along with trainers and tracksuit bottoms

 

[teslacoils]

At some point in the future Russia is going to be let back into the fold. It might be through ‘regime change’ or to mitigate the horror of 3rd world hunger. But when the ports open they will ship as much excess wheat as they could store, and the global price will nosedive.
The big imponderable is will they cut future production for a crop they can’t export, and which they won’t have enough warehouse space to store? Especially as they will struggle without embargoed agchem, though I’ll bet the Brazilian fertiliser boats won’t be heading back empty..,

Its quite a European viewpoint. There are many nations still trading with Russia. Their grain / fert / oil / gas will simply go there and displace grain elsewhere. The concern is not so much getting grain from A to B, but that there will be enough grain in the first place. And if youre used to spending 50 percent of your income on food, and food prices double.

 

[glasshouse]

Its quite a European viewpoint. There are many nations still trading with Russia. Their grain / fert / oil / gas will simply go there and displace grain elsewhere. The concern is not so much getting grain from A to B, but that there will be enough grain in the first place. And if youre used to spending 50 percent of your income on food, and food prices double.

The russians cannot ship out of the black sea either

 

[teslacoils]

The russians cannot ship out of the black sea either

Yet.

 

[fieldfarmer]

Which will be on the first boat out though, grain to feed people or fert to feed a struggling crop?

 

[teslacoils]

Where there's a will, there's a way.

 

[Humble Village Farmer]

Join the club. The “easterly wind blows all the rain away club”. It’s getting tiresome. Third year in a row of spring drought and each time worse. Can see grain production moving north and west. What do we grow? Wine and olive oil.

The only year without serious lack of water since 2016 was 2019. Every other year has been short.

 

[farmerm]

Wheat in freefall??

 

[bobk]

Wheat in freefall??

View attachment 1036979

Can't like that but not unexpected , who's for 800 quid urea now @Planet Bee