Combinables Price Tracker

[Shropshirebuller]

Any prices for winter feed barley, old stock, June movement.

 

[Flat 10]

Wish I hadn’t sold some forward at £119!

I have some done at less than that

 

[DrWazzock]

As usual my best prices this year are old crop "sweep up" loads sold to feed merchant.

But by selling every 3 months I have at least made a decent average and without the benefit of crystal balls that's the best I can do.

 

[David.]

I have done a couple of loads of barley at £136 Sept movement, if that helps.
If it makes anyone feel better, I did about 1/3 of wheat (feed base price) £141 same day.

 

[crazy_bull]

Trump and China spat is spilling over into soft commodities, could be a rough few days.

C B

 

[Grain Buyer]

is it not!!!!

 

[shakerator]

Looks like no rain until harvest

Domestic matters will trump international politics (no pun intended)

 

[crazy_bull]

Looks like no rain until harvest

Domestic matters will trump international politics (no pun intended)

I agree S & D will always win through in the end, however it doesn't stop the fact that international politics will affect the job in the short-medium term.

C B

 

[Happy]

Looks like no rain until harvest

Domestic matters will trump international politics (no pun intended)

Indeed.
This latest EU revision downwards should still apply even after Trump moves on to his next spat with someone else.

https://cereals.ahdb.org.uk/markets/market-news/2018/june/19/grain-market-daily-190618.aspx

 

[Iben]

I note it says UK crops largely positive!

There you go, surpluses all round with only export to save us.

 

[yellow belly]

Small crops get smaller
The last Russian drought did not really hit till the end of July
We should not ignore any possibility in the next 8 weeks

 

[Bramble]

Feed wheat £150 ex farm September, Warwickshire

 

[balerman]

Locally they are quoting £136 for feed barley off the combine in July,would be madness selling for that given the weather,winter barley is looking good compared to what it was in April,but I don't see how any of the spring barley can do more than about 1.5t,acre with no moisture.Needs to be £150 to make me think about selling any.

 

[Chae1]

They'll get cheap barley/wheat at harvest from all the farmers that don't have driers or shed space to hold it all and just want it shifted.

 

[Surgery]

They'll get cheap barley/wheat at harvest from all the farmers that don't have driers or shed space to hold it all and just want it shifted.

Or the silly sods paying big rents and financing big shiny kit

 

[average farmer]

Just sold the last 4 loads of old crop feed wheat @ £165 ex July. Should take the average closer to 150 than 145

Think there might even be another one left to sell

 

[shakerator]

something i cant quite understand is how trade wars is bearish for grains.

yes i understand tariffs protectionism etc etc but this is within the context of record demand, which is i would say fairly inelastic. my prediction with all these concerns over trade terms and market access is one day soon there is going to be a tipping point where even the great and good realise SH*T we got too caught up on the intricacies of the deals, and now we actually need the stuff .........we need to import it, to hell with putting off cheap imports, they are now not so cheap as other governments are realsing the same and bidding everything up!!

wishful thinking??

 

[yellow belly]

Some factors for the market are short term even as short as seconds
Others are long term
As farmers we are generally interested in long term except in the hour we sell

This week short term have lowered prices but long term factors chive bounce back
Dry hot weather next week will test the buyers resolve to keep their costs down
Still holding for new crop

 

[Hindsight]

something i cant quite understand is how trade wars is bearish for grains.

yes i understand tariffs protectionism etc etc but this is within the context of record demand, which is i would say fairly inelastic. my prediction with all these concerns over trade terms and market access is one day soon there is going to be a tipping point where even the great and good realise SH*T we got too caught up on the intricacies of the deals, and now we actually need the stuff .........we need to import it, to hell with putting off cheap imports, they are now not so cheap as other governments are realsing the same and bidding everything up!!

wishful thinking??

https://cereals.ahdb.org.uk/markets/market-news/2018/june/22/grain-market-daily-220618.aspx

I thought this a useful explanation yesterdays email.

 

[Billboy1]

Osr going up ?