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Combinables Price Tracker

Discussion in 'Cropping' started by Jerry, Feb 14, 2013.

  1. wellingtonfarmer

    Location:
    Herefordshire
    Has everyone started selling something from 18 harvest yet? Or some holding on for brexit?
     
  2. Billboy1

    Billboy1 Member

    Baled out in December rightly or wrongly apart from osr
     
    Brisel and JCfarmer like this.
  3. Renaultman

    Renaultman Member

    Location:
    Darlington
    Get them through a Masters drier and they'll fly through BW test
     
  4. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    Waiting on wheat, everything else went a while ago at good prices ! But probably have got it wrong this year I suspect. I’ve had a decent run of being near the top the last few years which had to end eventually I guess

    Not over yet though, some big events possible through the next few volitile months
     
  5. bobk

    bobk Member

    Location:
    stafford
    I'm thinking no deal is odds on and then the pound will dive .
    We're missing Vivergo.
     
  6. silverfox

    silverfox Member

    I was at a Cofco seminar today, where the advice was flog it now. They were expecting further falls towards new crop values. They did get it right on their harvest pool to be fair, which averaged £174.20 for feed wheat. A lot higher than competitors .
     
  7. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    I’ve always said it would be no deal

    I hope it is, best chance for my lack of 18 wheat sales but I also believe no deal is the best outcome of brexit (longer term) and certainly better than a bad deal
     
  8. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    Who knows ! I don’t see it falling much but I’m also not sure it will get back to previous highs

    No deal currency is factored in mostly already I think

    This time of year is always historically a bad time to sell though

    Still sitting on my hands (and probably wrong !)
     
    Chae1, parker and silverfox like this.
  9. Chae1

    Chae1 Member

    Location:
    Aberdeenshire
    Selling oats at moment. Getting frustrated waiting for movement, but at £200/t trying not to complain too much.

    Still waiting on high n barley. Might just hold it till harvest 2019 and grow some low N to blend it with and sell it. Germination still good at moment.
     
    whiteford likes this.
  10. bobk

    bobk Member

    Location:
    stafford
    That's usually a sign to hold in my book .
     
    fieldfarmer, lamb89, RmfJ and 2 others like this.
  11. silverfox

    silverfox Member

    Plenty of wheat in the world. Compounders haven’t used anywhere near the amount in rations this winter. An early spring and that ship will have sailed. Barley is looking a bad job too, as it largely got replaced by grain maize and there was no big push on exporting it . What’s it worth now, about £175, which isn’t the end of the world is it. Certainly better than the £150 for next November .
    I think there will be a deal of sorts, so a stronger pound is more likely . If it moves from £1.14 to say £1.30, that’ll knock a tenner off.
    It’s all a gamble though !
     
    bobk likes this.
  12. bobk

    bobk Member

    Location:
    stafford
    All very feasible , but what if we have another dry summer ? we haven't got the moisture reserves this year
     
    Flat 10, silverfox and lamb89 like this.
  13. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    I still have doubts over official Uk 2018 harvest tonnage
     
    Andrew K, Chae1, lamb89 and 1 other person like this.
  14. bobk

    bobk Member

    Location:
    stafford
    Me too , might give Ed Hartley a bell and see what's left , not exactly bursting last september .
     
    Clive likes this.
  15. Renaultman

    Renaultman Member

    Location:
    Darlington
    My gut says sell new crop, if you get a decent price, and hold old. I think, even without Ensus and Vivergo, stocks will be short and without the big buyers the attraction of picking the phone up and ordering a boat won't be there. As ever this is just a peasant farmer's hunch with no basis on research or intelligence.
     
    Clive likes this.
  16. jon9000

    jon9000 Member

    Location:
    yorkshire
    Sold my last few loads of ww for march at 172. But should average high 180s overall so happy enough and I get my shed back. Osr sold well in August for 350ish happy again sold feed barley for 168 in December. Now a pile of high n malting barley been offered 155 for Feb.. going to hold. Barley must be short?
     
  17. turbo

    turbo Member

    Location:
    lincs
    Plenty of wheat but who holds it?never known china sell any.If you take the stock that China is holding things look very tight
     
    silverfox likes this.
  18. Hindsight

    Hindsight Member

    Location:
    Lincolnshire
    Clive likes this.
  19. Brisel

    Brisel Member

    Location:
    Dorset
    Be careful of reading too much into BPS data. My form stated 5% more wheat than I actually planted because most fields have environmental features not worth notifying separately. The wheat code is the predominant crop but not all of it. I'm not saying that everyone else is the same, but I can't be the only one declaring the whole field as wheat yet haven't sown the entire area.
     
  20. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    That’s certainly interesting

    I also doubt 2018 average yields were as big as official figures. Very few farmers were talking about big yields at harvest and there were plenty of horror stories around what the dry grain fill period had done to wheat yields

    Yes some areas had ok / normal yields but plenty would be below average and very few above to make up for that

    No way in my eyes averages were as good as 2017

    If areas were lower and yield were lower and Brexit dropped currency further I could be claiming utter genius in a few months time !!!

    But unfortunately I’m more likely just be being hopeful and just read it wrong this year :-(
     

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