Combinables Price Tracker

Hampton

Member
BASIS
Location
Shropshire
When I sold some at £252, both I and the rep agreed there were "limited downsides" but selling a bit when the money looked good was never a bad thing.

Last week I did two loads at £225 because "homes were getting booked up".

So really, who knows anything anymore?
No one knows. It sheer, unadulterated guess work. Particularly on new crop. How many of us will turn down £230 as acaialable and end up loading it out of the shed at £160. This has happened before (although it was £160 we turned down and got £120)
I’m not saying we should be pessimists, but this is all totally different unprecedented, and the hedge fund guys are making it up as they go a long like we are.
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
Yup. I offered a merchant gp4 hards yesterday afternoon at £253 for may. They said no....

....I'm guessing they will be ringing me in an hour or two.

But then, two can play the "prices pulled" game. Not sure my last 120t will make much difference, but if everyone's last 120t gets held then things get interesting.
 

T C

Member
Location
Nr Kelso
There has not been any encouragement to sell forward this season, the carry has been a pound a month. Not sure that homes will be as full as they claim.
 

Hampton

Member
BASIS
Location
Shropshire
selling physical crop forward is a VERY dangerous game imo at the moment
Of course it is, because we are guessing in the dark based on the whim of people we know to be unpredictable.
by that value, selling is no more risky than not selling.
Let’s face it, we are all talking about the Ukraine situation based on what we have read in the news, and we have all seen the same news, whether we are farmer, traders, financiers or bin men. None of us have access to govt intell, and let’s face it, the govt doesn’t have a great recent record on interpreting intell
 

Clive

Staff Member
NFFN Member
Location
Lichfield
Why do you think that? Not disagreeing just curious. Imo there is a risk for those of us that have harvest cash flow requirements that all homes will be booked for harvest?

selling crop you don’t have yet is always risky

but imagine having sold harvest 22 at 190 ish and being short in a market that could quite possibly be north of £300 at delivery time

……… bankrupting stuff potentially
 

Clive

Staff Member
NFFN Member
Location
Lichfield
I would also say, it’s palpable how vocal you are in a bull run, but how silent you are when the market turns bearish and slides


markets are far more exciting when bullish - i don’t do short selling so have nothing interesting to say when markets are falling

this thread in general gets far more views and posts when things are actually happening
 

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Man fined £300 for bonfire-related waste offences

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Written by William Kellett from Agriland

court-640x360.jpg
A man has pleaded guilty at Newtownards Magistrates’ Court to waste offences relating to a bonfire next to the electrical sub-station on the Circular Road in Newtownards, Co. Down.

Gareth Gill (51) of Abbot’s Walk, Newtownards pleaded guilty to two charges under the Waste and Contaminated Land (Northern Ireland) Order 1997, for which he was fined £150 each and ordered to pay a £15 offender’s levy

On June 25, 2018, PSNI officers went to Gill’s yard, where they found a large amount of waste consisting of scrap wood, pallets, carpet and underlay.

Discussion with Northern Ireland Environment Agency (NIEA) officers confirmed the site...
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