Combinables Price Tracker

Hindsight

Member
Location
Lincolnshire
That’s certainly interesting

I also doubt 2018 average yields were as big as official figures. Very few farmers were talking about big yields at harvest and there were plenty of horror stories around what the dry grain fill period had done to wheat yields

Yes some areas had ok / normal yields but plenty would be below average and very few above to make up for that

No way in my eyes averages were as good as 2017

If areas were lower and yield were lower and Brexit dropped currency further I could be claiming utter genius in a few months time !!!

But unfortunately I’m more likely just be being hopeful and just read it wrong this year :-(

Thought that link might cheer you up a tad! Only time will tell and hindsight! In meantime best of luck.
 

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
Don't forget that for the moment, we're still a very small part of a very big global market with Chicago leading the prices. LIFFE is the same except for currency fluctuations. I've sold most of my 2018 harvest on the back of a weak £, not knowing which way the currency will go on deal or no deal. It has been at values I've turned a profit on. The size of the 2018 harvest will only make a small difference to the price if we are no longer part of that global market. Even then, the tariff is only €17/t. Good luck with your long position.
 

Clive

Staff Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lichfield
Don’t fall for the global market hype

Lower yield Uk years always seem to be better priced to me

It’s a factor of course but there is a local effect - stuff doesnt move around the world for free, And then there is currency ......... and brexit
 

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
Don’t fall for the global market hype

Lower yield Uk years always seem to be better priced to me

It’s a factor of course but there is a local effect - stuff doesnt move around the world for free, And then there is currency ......... and brexit

The difference between import parity & export parity is around £10/t. Yes, you'll get a wider spread when ocean freight rates are higher but it costs the same per tonne to get a 50,000t boat across the Atlantic in 4 days as it does to get a 29t artic 4 hours up the road. My malting barley is currently going 4 hours to Norfolk to be malted then another few hours to the brewery. If it was low enough in N it would be heading up to Scotland for whisky. The east/west spread is over £10/t i.e a West country feed mill has to pay at least £10/t more than one in Cambs. That's why there aren't many registered LIFFE futures stores in the west.

Where is the 2mmt of wheat no longer required by the ethanol plants going? That's 12% of the UK harvest demand gone. It's starting to look like it didn't exist in the first place. Interesting times. (y)
 

Farmer T

Member
Location
East Midlands
IMG_8054.JPG


IMG_8055.JPG


IMG_8056.JPG


Less soybeans than expected, and slightly lower wheat. However lots of corn to balance it out (even though it’s all in China somewhere).

Lower wheat plantings and they’ve trimmed the soy bean predictions.
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 101 41.4%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 89 36.5%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 36 14.8%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 5 2.0%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 3 1.2%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 10 4.1%

May Event: The most profitable farm diversification strategy 2024 - Mobile Data Centres

  • 469
  • 0
With just a internet connection and a plug socket you too can join over 70 farms currently earning up to £1.27 ppkw ~ 201% ROI

Register Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-mo...2024-mobile-data-centres-tickets-871045770347

Tuesday, May 21 · 10am - 2pm GMT+1

Location: Village Hotel Bury, Rochdale Road, Bury, BL9 7BQ

The Farming Forum has teamed up with the award winning hardware manufacturer Easy Crypto Hunter and Easy Compute to bring you an educational talk about how AI and blockchain technology is helping farmers to diversify their land.

Over the past 7 years, Easy Crypto Hunter have been working with farmers, agricultural businesses, and renewable energy farms all across the UK to help turn leftover space into...
Top