Coronavirus Humour (And conspiracy Theories)

Tim G

Member
Livestock Farmer
Screenshot_20200401_085053.jpg
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
So where does Farr's law of Epidemics fit into all this? Basically in 1840 he proposed that epidemics follow a bell shaped curve and die out of their own accord. Is there something special about Covid -19 which excuses it from this usual prognosis?
 

robs1

Member
So where does Farr's law of Epidemics fit into all this? Basically in 1840 he proposed that epidemics follow a bell shaped curve and die out of their own accord. Is there something special about Covid -19 which excuses it from this usual prognosis?
Probably very dense populations, huge amount and speed of travel
 

Poorbuthappy

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Devon
So where does Farr's law of Epidemics fit into all this? Basically in 1840 he proposed that epidemics follow a bell shaped curve and die out of their own accord. Is there something special about Covid -19 which excuses it from this usual prognosis?
Did he say what proportion of people die in the process?
 

Farmer Fin

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Aberdeenshire
So where does Farr's law of Epidemics fit into all this? Basically in 1840 he proposed that epidemics follow a bell shaped curve and die out of their own accord. Is there something special about Covid -19 which excuses it from this usual prognosis?
No. It will follow the bell shaped curve. We just might hopefully make it smaller and narrower through management and vaccination, as opposed to population reduction and herd immunity.
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
No. It will follow the bell shaped curve. We just might hopefully make it smaller and narrower through management and vaccination, as opposed to population reduction and herd immunity.
You might not be aware of it but Farr's law does in fact predict a bell shaped curve. He developed the idea during a smallpox outbreak in the 1830's, a disease far more devastating than covid 19, and it would appear that all such events follow the same pattern with or without intervention.
 

Farmer Fin

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Aberdeenshire
You might not be aware of it but Farr's law does in fact predict a bell shaped curve. He developed the idea during a smallpox outbreak in the 1830's, a disease far more devastating than covid 19, and it would appear that all such events follow the same pattern with or without intervention.
That’s what I have said is that it will follow a bell shaped curve. It’s the size of the curve that we can affect. If we left it to nature it would be a narrow and tall. We are trying to widen and flatten the curve so the NHS can cope.
 

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