- Location
- North Wales
Ok i see where your coming from and i agree. I was looking at it from a different angle and to be honest from a sheep farming production point of view. e.g. better sheep management and increased scanning %. better lambing management and lamb survival. Now Mr Farmer has extra lambs for sale which will reduce his COP/ kg lamb sold but has also increased supply.No it isn't. What you are assuming is that the 'more efficient' producers always produce more from the same amount of land. Some for sure. But its also possible to be be 'more efficient' by producing less, but at a lower cost, so your profit is greater.
Efficiency is about cost of production, not getting the maximum amount of grain from a 10 acre field regardless of cost.
If I produce 2t/acre of wheat but my costs are £100, i'm in a better position to the man who produces 3t/acre but whose costs are £250/acre. He produced more, but I was more efficient (cost per tonne of production £50 vs £83). I also made slightly more overall profit (with grain at £140/t), and I had less capital at risk in the ground too.
This is farming blind spot. It's been living in the post war 'produce more at all costs' mentality for so long that it only measures 'efficiency' in output per acre. Its forgotten entirely about the profit margin on its operations, because the taxpayer has always supplied a healthy one at the end of the year.
Its entirely possible UK food production could halve eventually as a result of these changes, yet at the end of it everyone still in the industry will be making a profit, because they're farming larger areas more extensively, producing less but at far lower COP.