Do Aircraft vapour trails form clouds?

Pilatus

Member
Location
cotswolds
Do aircraft vapour trails form clouds? I ask this, as this evening ,the sky out to towards Wales had lots of vapour trails,that looked to be expanding to form small clouds,if this is so surely they must be effecting our weather.
 

Getnthair

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
SW Scotland
A climate change programme - so time ago - noted that after 9/11 the temperature around USA rose slightly. The arguement was that as most aircraft were grounded there was no shading from the vapour trails. Maybe not big enough to form clouds but they must be blocking the sun. Somewhat ironic that burning fossil fuels should cool the planet?
 

linga

Member
Location
Ceredigion
Do aircraft vapour trails form clouds? I ask this, as this evening ,the sky out to towards Wales had lots of vapour trails,that looked to be expanding to form small clouds,if this is so surely they must be effecting our weather.

I think there is some evidence they do (or can) form clouds and therefore they will affect the weather
 

Deereone

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Dorset
After the eruption of the Eyjafjallajokull volcano and the subsequent grounding of aircraft, the skies over Dorset were the clearest I've seen before or since. It would be interesting to see the increase in solar radiation figures from solar farms around that time.


 

grumpy

Member
Location
Fife
After the eruption of the Eyjafjallajokull volcano and the subsequent grounding of aircraft, the skies over Dorset were the clearest I've seen before or since. It would be interesting to see the increase in solar radiation figures from solar farms around that time.
they weren't very clear over northern Europe,
 
Aha! The old chestnut.

One of my students a few years back led a research programme and found that contrails do have an impact on global temperatures.

It's a fascinating area.

Simon
 

Paul_P

Member
Location
North Cheshire
yes...except it says nothing about ocean heat energy accumulation and the 15 years taken is cherry picked data.

Seems to me that this 'cherry picked data' is valid ie it's the last 15 years. If that's not valid, given all the recent spin by stupid politicians and not so stupid but disingenuous scientists jumping on the bandwagon in search of grants and funding, then I don't know what is!
 

linga

Member
Location
Ceredigion
Thought we were talking climate not weather. Yes the rise in global land temperature has levelled off but thats because the oceans are accumulating heat instead...at some point it is likely to transfer that heat to the land giving rise to another spike as in 1998. Then after another 15 years you will be saying it hasnt warmed.

Incidentally if you believe there is not, has not nor will be any warming bearing in mind the CO2 we have dumped into the atmosphere then those scientists will have plenty to research anyway .
 

Paul_P

Member
Location
North Cheshire
Thought we were talking climate not weather. Yes the rise in global land temperature has levelled off but thats because the oceans are accumulating heat instead... .

So what's suddenly made that happen - the great sweeping hand of Almighty God perhaps? If you ask me these 'scientists' will invent any old barmy theory to perpetuate the global warming myth no matter how much contradictory evidence lands on their doorstep.

Sorry for calling it Global Warming, I see that as they have discovered that there's no such thing the scientists have re-named it 'Climate Change.' Did anyone notice how the scientists and politicians swapped from calling it global warming to climate change overnight? That must have been the result of many emails flying around :)
 

linga

Member
Location
Ceredigion
So what's suddenly made that happen - the great sweeping hand of Almighty God perhaps? If you ask me these 'scientists' will invent any old barmy theory to perpetuate the global warming myth no matter how much contradictory evidence lands on their doorstep.

Sorry for calling it Global Warming, I see that as they have discovered that there's no such thing the scientists have re-named it 'Climate Change.' Did anyone notice how the scientists and politicians swapped from calling it global warming to climate change overnight? That must have been the result of many emails flying around :)

Well its quite a complex system with many positive and negative feedbacks acting at the same time but I was wrong to say the oceans are accumulating heat instead. The oceans have always been absorbing heat energy at a greater rate than the land I think.
The point about the scientists is that , as physical laws suggest that warming should occur as CO2 is dumped into the atmosphere, if it does not then they would be investigating why not. They have no need to perpetuate your so called global warming myth. They would get much more funding to investigate why no warming is happening.
The phrase "global warming" seems to have been misinterpreted by some who appear to think that air temperatures at all point on the earth will rise. This is not the case , some places will get hotter and some colder but with an overall global temperature increase.The term "climate change" better describes the result. Seems reasonable enough to me.

When it comes to global warming/climate change it seems everyone manages to consider only the evidence to support their own point of view (me included probably) and its a never ending debate so the only thing that will prove anything is time.
Give it 50 years or so and if warming has not happened I will give you a tenner !
 

Exfarmer

Member
Location
Bury St Edmunds
A climate change programme - so time ago - noted that after 9/11 the temperature around USA rose slightly. The arguement was that as most aircraft were grounded there was no shading from the vapour trails. Maybe not big enough to form clouds but they must be blocking the sun. Somewhat ironic that burning fossil fuels should cool the planet?
Sorry this is wrong
The diurnal difference rose, not the actual temperature.In fact the temperature dropped, but not by a factor of any significance.
But then 3 days is not long enough for any real test
 

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