Euronext May-17 wheat hits contract lows

CRM AgriCommodities

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Arable Farmer
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Cereals - as of 27.03.17

  • Euronext May-17 wheat today hit contract lows after 8th consecutive day of trading lower.
  • US weekly corn export were above analysts estimate at 1.56MT.
  • As forecast rains are providing relief to wheat crops across the US plains with further rains forecast this week.
  • Traders will likely spend this week taking position and adjusting risk exposure ahead of Friday USDA stocks and prospective plantings report.
  • Money managers increased short position on US grain last week (See chart of the day)
  • March MARS EU Crop report overview(full report here):
    • Wheat yields rising to 6.2T/ha, an increase of 7.7% on last year;
    • Barley yields rising to 5.81T/ha an increase of 5%.
    • Crops in generally good shape despite cold conditions in January and early February.


Oilseeds

  • Oilseeds prices remain under pressure ahead of Friday's US quarterly stocks & plantings report and as South American soybeans output grows.
  • Soybeans continue to test support levels at 5-month lows.
  • Canadian canola makes a recovery from October support levels.
  • US oil rig count continues to rise to 652; currently more than double the number seen in 2016 lows.
  • MARS see EU rapeseed yield recovering by 6.8% to 3.29T/ha.
Chart of the Day#1: CFTC Managed Money - US Grains


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