Fertiliser Price Tracker

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
The tricky part for everyone will not only be whether the price is right or wrong....but how much do you buy at that price. To work out the logical payback ratio (and thus the rate to apply to your crop in one year time!) you'd need to know the fert price you'd be paying and the wheat price you'd be selling.

My point is I guess that at £900/t you might buy 50% of usual rate....with the plan to just apply that.....but if the fert price falls perhaps buy a bit more to top up. But if the wheat price rises, the fert price won't drop and may rise so you wouldn't buy any more.

Depending on how things go, by May 2023 some may wish they had bought more and applied that.....some may wish they hadn't bought so much at a high price.....and hopefully a good few will be happy with the decisions they have made and have (by luck and judgement combined) bought the right amount, at a sensible enough price to mean their yields won't suffer too much, and but they won't have to carry too much high priced fert over.


Or......it could skyrocket again this time next year and anyone who bought at £900/t that has some left over might be sitting pretty when they bring out the June '23 price list at £1200/t! 😂

Ah well, there's always the year after......
It’s an aside but as a small farmer, the suppliers requirement to only supply full loads means I can’t spread purchases through the year. I only need one load. It’s a casino.
 

farmerm

Member
Location
Shropshire
That's come down massively.
Last I heard was still around £900
It is complicated that £695 was a feb offer which I didn't actually agree on but could have had this week... whilst i ended up paying more for AN it did at least arrive! having this Urea arrive 5 weeks too late would have been worse than having bought nothing!!
 

Badshot

Member
Location
Kent
It is complicated that £695 was a feb offer which I didn't actually agree on but could have had this week... whilst i ended up paying more for AN it did at least arrive! having this Urea arrive 5 weeks too late would have been worse than having bought nothing!!
Ah.


I think I'd take delivery then.

Unless hmgov do something, I can't see the price dropping massively.

There is a global issue with energy and fertiliser which is going to take time to correct.
 
Used to be like that here ….. in 1975.
Yea, was the same around here.
Back in the days of small bags we used to collect pallets on a old scammel bogey trailer, the old wag tail spreader would back underneath it so was downhill handling to fill it.
Wasn’t worth fetching once big bags came in, could get it delivered on 6 or 8 wheelers.
Getting pushed towards full artics now, was the only orders they would take in the autumn although one local merchant will put together small orders delivered to one farm for collection, I had 3 bags of maize fert delivered here along with quite a few other orders a couple of weeks ago, some of its still here, most have collected, they all like a talk.
 

Planet Bee

Member
Trade
Govt intervention is the last thing we need ,

Fert will drop as no one is buying any .
one big catalyst will be if India can source Russian tonnes in a significant way avoiding any sanctions.

If yes, then we'll likely see a sizeable downward price correction

If no, and sanctions are strong enough, the supply side is short and prices will stay firm

Either way, it's a tough humanitarian call. On one side, India without enough fertilisers will be a catastrophic disaster. Hungry people = angry people. On the other, nobody is doubting the need for sanctions against Russia.

Damned if you do; damned if you don't scenario.
 

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Red Tractor drops launch of green farming scheme amid anger from farmers

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As reported in Independent


quote: “Red Tractor has confirmed it is dropping plans to launch its green farming assurance standard in April“

read the TFF thread here: https://thefarmingforum.co.uk/index.php?threads/gfc-was-to-go-ahead-now-not-going-ahead.405234/
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