Fertiliser Price Tracker

[An Gof]

Let's see what the price is in March , 6 months is a long time

What the price is is only part of the equation. The other important bit is the logistics to get it on your farm. We start spreading in February.

 

[jackrussell101]

Well wheat will have to be £300 a tonne after all this

 

[Renaultman]

Yeah I completely agree. It's just having the balls to sit tight and wait.

I chickened out last Friday and bought a couple loads of 16.16.16 which was probably at the top of the market. Fudged up again. I wasn't sleeping at nights worrying about it. Now I'm waking up in middle of the night sweating thinking what I paid for it!

It's often better to regret the things you've done, rather than the things you haven't IMHO

 

[county down]

Yeah I completely agree. It's just having the balls to sit tight and wait.

I chickened out last Friday and bought a couple loads of 16.16.16 which was probably at the top of the market. Fudged up again. I wasn't sleeping at nights worrying about it. Now I'm waking up in middle of the night sweating thinking what I paid for it!

how much was it

 

[tullah]

Yeah I completely agree. It's just having the balls to sit tight and wait.

I chickened out last Friday and bought a couple loads of 16.16.16 which was probably at the top of the market. Fudged up again. I wasn't sleeping at nights worrying about it. Now I'm waking up in middle of the night sweating thinking what I paid for it!

I've done same with wheat going way too cheap

 

[Will Blackburn]

Well wheat will have to be £300 a tonne after all this

If wheat was likely to be £300 it would be £300. Fertiliser being so expensive should stymie yields and area and should be affecting futures, it's just a pure wager to expect it the futures to move in either direction.

 

[Chae1]

how much was it

605

 

[Hindsight]

If wheat was likely to be £300 it would be £300. Fertiliser being so expensive should stymie yields and area and should be affecting futures, it's just a pure wager to expect it the futures to move in either direction.

Devils advocate here! Will it stymie yield in UK? As a rule of thumb (do challenge me) I suggest 80% (could be a little more) of the yield response to applied Nitrogen fertiliser comes from the first 50% of applied Nitrogen. You may want to research the decades of trial results and associated dose response curves.

 

[DRC]

I can’t understand why anyone’s buying P and K products . Surely your farms will stand a years P and K holiday , especially if your a mixed farm .

 

[county down]

605

not simple is it

 

[county down]

I can’t understand why anyone’s buying P and K products . Surely your farms will stand a years P and K holiday , especially if your a mixed farm .

probably would but if the fertiliser was bought well you will maxamiseyields with some p and kbut at 600£plus its not cheap

 

[Chae1]

Guess everyone's lands different. We are 90% spring barley. If the drill runs dry of fert when sowing barley goes yellow and doesn't yield much.

I wouldn't want all our fields to look like that.

We would have plenty fertility soil sampling always shows high levels of P & K. It just seems to need that quickly available bagged stuff at the start.

Perhaps winter crops require less. Haven't seen any difference in run where I ran out yet.

 

[PSQ]

Makes you think if Putin saw this coming with the export taxes that they put on many months ago on wheat, also in full control of the gas taps.

The Russian wheat export tax is calculated by taxing the value of all export sales over $200 at 70%, it’s currently around $58/t.

The Big Issue for the coming year is that Russian farmers are not benefiting from the upside in world grain prices, but they are still having to buy their Nitrogen and P&K at world prices, which is expected to impact on their fertiliser use for the 2022 crop.

The ‘unintended consequence’ of Putins export tax is that it could well shoot next years Russian crop production in the foot.

 

[Will Blackburn]

Devils advocate here! Will it stymie yield in UK? As a rule of thumb (do challenge me) I suggest 80% (could be a little more) of the yield response to applied Nitrogen fertiliser comes from the first 50% of applied Nitrogen. You may want to research the decades of trial results and associated dose response curves.

A 4% yield drop due to fertiliser issues would be enough. There will be a swing to beans from corn in the Americas, there will be places fertiliser doesn’t get to. China and India have anticipated this, Russia is about to take action.

 

[nick...]

Wheat does need to be £300 ton but on weekly flier or email offered £170 at harvest yesterday
nick…

 

[crazy_bull]

 

[Bobthebuilder]

Only 7t still to come all on pre harvest order, also a couple of loads of N&S, MOP and TSP still to come, gonna be tight for space

 

[ajd132]

There was talk of the NFU lobbying for fertiliser subs, if this happend would the people who bought early (at significant risk and financial/cash flow strain) get the difference paid to them?

 

[David.]

Wheat does need to be £300 ton but on weekly flier or email offered £170 at harvest yesterday
nick…

If you can see a profit, grab it quick .

 

[Spencer]

There was talk of the NFU lobbying for fertiliser subs, if this happend would the people who bought early (at significant risk and financial/cash flow strain) get the difference paid to them?

Ask yourself how likely the NFU are in succeeding..?



at actually helping farmers..