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<blockquote data-quote="som farmer" data-source="post: 7954684" data-attributes="member: 86168"><p>fert is not going down in price, anytime soon. Unless Putin is going to back down, which means he would lose face, which he is not going to like. So NATO and other European countries are moving troops and hardware about. Sweden, the ultra neutral country, has moved it's troops, to re-garrison a strategic island, of its coast, as a direct result of increased soviet interest in it, and would like to join NATO. The danger of things rapidly escalating, are very real. On top of that, China is looking to divert attention away from its rapidly declining economy, and likely to invade Taiwan, if Putin kicks off.</p><p></p><p> So, all sorts of things will change, even if nothing happens, Germany in particular, relies on energy from Russia, as do many others. They realise that Putin has them firmly grasped, by the short and curlies, they will want to alter that. Alternative sources of energy will need to be found, re-commissioning of coal power stations, is, and will occur. Climate change commitments will not be honoured, they cannot be.</p><p></p><p>So the unthinkable is now very real, and very close, whether that is by severe sanctions against Russia, or military action, the results will be the same, massive disruption of 'normal' trade routes, already severely compromised by covid. We are certainly going to have a roller coaster year ahead, which will alter food trade routes, ironically in our favour.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="som farmer, post: 7954684, member: 86168"] fert is not going down in price, anytime soon. Unless Putin is going to back down, which means he would lose face, which he is not going to like. So NATO and other European countries are moving troops and hardware about. Sweden, the ultra neutral country, has moved it's troops, to re-garrison a strategic island, of its coast, as a direct result of increased soviet interest in it, and would like to join NATO. The danger of things rapidly escalating, are very real. On top of that, China is looking to divert attention away from its rapidly declining economy, and likely to invade Taiwan, if Putin kicks off. So, all sorts of things will change, even if nothing happens, Germany in particular, relies on energy from Russia, as do many others. They realise that Putin has them firmly grasped, by the short and curlies, they will want to alter that. Alternative sources of energy will need to be found, re-commissioning of coal power stations, is, and will occur. Climate change commitments will not be honoured, they cannot be. So the unthinkable is now very real, and very close, whether that is by severe sanctions against Russia, or military action, the results will be the same, massive disruption of 'normal' trade routes, already severely compromised by covid. We are certainly going to have a roller coaster year ahead, which will alter food trade routes, ironically in our favour. [/QUOTE]
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