French elections

[JohnGalway]

What is the reason for this fairly clear line dividing East and West France?

Was wondering the same thing.

 

[alex04w]

What is the reason for this fairly clear line dividing East and West France?

A split on the immigration issue - proximity to borders / neighbouring countries (immigrants more visual on arrival) versus distance from borders?

 

[Muck Spreader]

they do the same here, they ask people outside the bell weather polling areas who they decided to vote for, tally them all up and then work it out against the previous elections results and come up with what the swing to who might be

No the French don't do exit polls, as we have found people lie as to what they actually voted.. It's all to do with a sample of actual votes cast from representative polling stations across the country.

 

[Pivo]

Sanity prevailed... Viva la France!
However, who is going to shake-up soviet-style, central-planning-type burocrats in EU?
With GB out, who will be the voice of wisdom in Brussels? FR would be a good choice, if we had the right candidate.

 

[RobFZS]

No the French don't do exit polls, as we have found people lie as to what they actually voted.. It's all to do with a sample of actual votes cast from representative polling stations across the country.

Sounds like an exit poll to me, the bbc exit poll in 2015 was pretty much spot on for the last GE

You're mixing exit polling, up with conventional polling, but even then, if you look at all the different representative groups, you can essentially work out whats going to happen

 

[le bon paysan]

What is the reason for this fairly clear line dividing East and West France?

It's the North / South divide, except in France the East is the more industrial area. The west is more rural / tourist / hi-tech.

 

[le bon paysan]

Sounds like an exit poll to me, the bbc exit poll in 2015 was pretty much spot on for the last GE

You're mixing exit polling, up with conventional polling, but even then, if you look at all the different representative groups, you can essentially work out whats going to happen

No he's not. You are not allowed to ask people how they voted outside a polling station.

Estimations of the first-round result will be published by pollsters and their partners starting at 20:00 CEST on 23 April. These surveys will be conducted by Kantar Sofres-OnePoint for TF1 and RTL,[6][7] Ipsos-Sopra Steria for France Télévisions and Radio France,[8] Harris Interactive for M6,[9] Ifop-Fiducial for CNews, Paris Match, and Sud Radio,[10] Elabe for BFM TV,[11] and OpinionWay (without a media client).[12] Since the April 2016 passage of a law moving the closing times of certain polling stations from 18:00 CEST to 19:00 CEST to prevent leaks, survey institutes have raised concerns about the reliability of the first estimates, traditionally embargoed until 20:00 CEST.[13] Furthermore, given the small margins separating the candidates in pre-election polls, if it is still unclear which two candidates qualified for the second round, institutes may delay releasing estimates.[9] Ifop increased its number of representative polling stations checked from 150 to 300 and Ipsos from 200–250 to 500,[12]with the two institutes insisting that the doubling of scanned offices will mean that the results will be clear within an hour, after which the embargo on the estimations is lifted.[14] These estimations differ from exit polls in that they rely on actual results from hundreds of representative polling stations;[14] none of the nine major survey institutes will conduct traditional exit polls.[15] These estimations are denoted in the table below with a green background.

 

[RobFZS]

No he's not. You are not allowed to ask people how they voted outside a polling station.

Estimations of the first-round result will be published by pollsters and their partners starting at 20:00 CEST on 23 April. These surveys will be conducted by Kantar Sofres-OnePoint for TF1 and RTL,[6][7] Ipsos-Sopra Steria for France Télévisions and Radio France,[8] Harris Interactive for M6,[9] Ifop-Fiducial for CNews, Paris Match, and Sud Radio,[10] Elabe for BFM TV,[11] and OpinionWay (without a media client).[12] Since the April 2016 passage of a law moving the closing times of certain polling stations from 18:00 CEST to 19:00 CEST to prevent leaks, survey institutes have raised concerns about the reliability of the first estimates, traditionally embargoed until 20:00 CEST.[13] Furthermore, given the small margins separating the candidates in pre-election polls, if it is still unclear which two candidates qualified for the second round, institutes may delay releasing estimates.[9] Ifop increased its number of representative polling stations checked from 150 to 300 and Ipsos from 200–250 to 500,[12]with the two institutes insisting that the doubling of scanned offices will mean that the results will be clear within an hour, after which the embargo on the estimations is lifted.[14] These estimations differ from exit polls in that they rely on actual results from hundreds of representative polling stations;[14] none of the nine major survey institutes will conduct traditional exit polls.[15] These estimations are denoted in the table below with a green background.

Typical French to make something simple, complicated, other than the way it's counted, it's still the same idea.

 

[czechmate]

So with less than a week and the polls basically stuck at 65/35, to me the greatest threat is complacency.

 

[bluegreen]

With 5 minutes to go before the polls opened in the USA last November Hilary Clinton was declared an 98% certainty to win!!
And last June just before polling booths opened the bookies were offering 8/1 for a Brexit !!

77% of the French electorate didn't vote for the Rothschilds Banker and Globalist puppet "Macron" and 20+ % of French voters didn't even vote, so he is much less of a shoe in than Hitlery Clinton was.............unless your still naïve enough to believe polls carried out by the EU oligarch owned corporate media.

And on a final note I personally know that God hates Globalism!!

Le Penn wins

 

[czechmate]

With 5 minutes to go before the polls opened in the USA last November Hilary Clinton was declared an 98% certainty to win!!
And last June just before polling booths opened the bookies were offering 8/1 for a Brexit !!

77% of the French electorate didn't vote for the Rothschilds Banker and Globalist puppet "Macron" and 20+ % of French voters didn't even vote, so he is much less of a shoe in than Hitlery Clinton was.............unless your still naïve enough to believe polls carried out by the EU oligarch owned corporate media.

And on a final note I personally know that God hates Globalism!!

Le Penn wins

Most people hated Hillary Clinton

 

[bluegreen]

I did, still do..........she is one cold evil bi*ch, has a lot in common with her friends Merkel and Legarde

 

[bobk]

Macron maybe pro european but he has reservations on the EU project


"But at the same time we have to face the situation, to listen to our people, and to listen to the fact that they are extremely angry today, impatient and the dysfunction of the EU is no more sustainable.

"So I do consider that my mandate, the day after, will be at the same time to reform in depth the European Union and our European project.

 

[czechmate]

Macron maybe pro european but he has reservations on the EU project


"But at the same time we have to face the situation, to listen to our people, and to listen to the fact that they are extremely angry today, impatient and the dysfunction of the EU is no more sustainable.

"So I do consider that my mandate, the day after, will be at the same time to reform in depth the European Union and our European project.

Sounds good to me
Would of been a better plan for idiot Cameron

 

[will l]

Sounds good to me
Would of been a better plan for idiot Cameron

The context in which Macron said that was the justification for his programme of protectionism, for agriculture and industry, trade tariffs etc,
Une Europe qui protège avec une PAC ambitieuse et rénovée : nous souhaitons que le budget de la PAC soit préservé.
"Se battre pour une Europe qui protège." Il s'agit de "protéger les agriculteurs contre la volatilité des prix par la mise en place d'outils de régulation adaptés à chaque filière."

 

[Muck Spreader]

With 5 minutes to go before the polls opened in the USA last November Hilary Clinton was declared an 98% certainty to win!!
And last June just before polling booths opened the bookies were offering 8/1 for a Brexit !!

77% of the French electorate didn't vote for the Rothschilds Banker and Globalist puppet "Macron" and 20+ % of French voters didn't even vote, so he is much less of a shoe in than Hitlery Clinton was.............unless your still naïve enough to believe polls carried out by the EU oligarch owned corporate media.

And on a final note I personally know that God hates Globalism!!

Le Penn wins

I lot of the older French especially, still see the FN as the collaborationist party hence in our area (a Marquis stronghold) they only came third.

 

[le bon paysan]

I lot of the older French especially, still see the FN as the collaborationist party hence in our area (a Marquis stronghold) they only came third.

In our area , yes, but they won your commune!!

 

[Muck Spreader]

In our area , yes, but they won your commune!!

Must be David's vote.

 

[le bon paysan]

Be interesting which way the Mélenchon voters go.

He has asked his supporters to void their vote ! This will play into Le Pens hands.

 

[Billhook]

Makes you think about tomorrow's result!