Gleadell Daily Grain Comment 02/05/17

ADM Agriculture

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Trade
Location
Lincolnshire
  • US markets – all markets higher on reports of weather storms hitting US mid-west (Colorado / West Kansas) – also heavy rains increases flooding in parts of the corn belt.
  • NASS reports US winter crop ratings unchanged on the week, still seen as 54% good/excellent (61% last year). Winter wheat 42% headed vs 40% last year. Spring wheat 31% planted vs 52% last year and 46% as 5-yr average.
  • NASS reports US corn plantings 34% complete a/o 30th Apr, up 17 percentage points on the week, lower than the 43% planted at the same time last year, but in line with the 5yr average.
  • CFTC reports showed a/o 25th April managed funds increased their short Chicago wheat position by another 20201 contracts – now seen 162327 short (22.1mln t) – also extending short in Kansas (hard winter wheat) but trimmed exposure in Minneapolis (spring wheat).
  • US Kansas wheat tour starts this week – talk that recent storms and severe weather may have damaged a third of the state’s wheat crop (state’s 2017 projected acreage is 23% of the total US winter wheat planted area).
  • Ukraine’s Ag Ministry reports farmers have sown 3.8mln t ha with spring grains so far, or about 52% of the expected planted area of 7.2mln ha, including 164000ha wheat (92% of planned area) 1.5mlmn ha maize (33% of planned area) and 2.3mln ha of sunflower.
  • Russian Ag Ministry reports government will start buying grain in August from the domestic market for state reserves.
  • BAGE reports stronger-than-expected yields across Argentina on Soybeans could more than offset for the 1mln ha lost to flooding and drought – harvest has advanced to 32% of the planned area completed.
  • Egyptian government has procured 237,000t of wheat from local farmers so far from the local harvest, expects to purchase about 3.8mln t during the harvest that runs through to July.
  • Algeria purchases around 250,000t durum wheat – optional origin but likely to be sourced from Canada – shipment first and second half June.
  • Morocco has raised its soft wheat import custom tax to 135% from 30% until Dec 30th – government cites strong harvest and low international prices.
  • AgriMer reported another sharp drop in the condition of the French soft wheat crop – estimates 78% in good/excellent condition a/o Apr 24th , down from 85% last week – Corn plantings put at 76% of the expected area completed, against just 24% last year.

Last Trade Settle – please note we have now stated reporting the 2017 crop year – also US movement covered 2 days (as markets were open yesterday)

London Nov ’17 Settle £138.25/t – up £0.65/t from previous close
Paris Dec ’17 Settle €172.75 – up €1.25/t from previous close
CBOT Nov ’17 Corn Settle $39450/bushel – up 7.75 cents/bushel from previous close
CBOT Nov ’17 Wheat Settle $4.9000/bushel – up 22.50 cents/bushel from previous close

Currency Today:
GBP EUR 1.1800
GBP USD 1.2885
EUR GBP 0.8470
EUR USD 1.0915
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

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Red Tractor drops launch of green farming scheme amid anger from farmers

  • 1,292
  • 1
As reported in Independent


quote: “Red Tractor has confirmed it is dropping plans to launch its green farming assurance standard in April“

read the TFF thread here: https://thefarmingforum.co.uk/index.php?threads/gfc-was-to-go-ahead-now-not-going-ahead.405234/
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