Gleadell Daily Grain Comment - 14 June 2018

ADM Agriculture

Member
Trade
Location
Lincolnshire
  • US markets close – soybeans traded c. 18c/bu lower yesterday, with July18 contract trading at a 22-month low overnight, on media reports that US tariffs on China are likely. Corn held relatively unchanged yesterday, as soybeans and wheat shed post-USDA gains, as a reflection of the tighter stocks reported in the USDA. Wheat traded down 18c/bu, lower overnight, ahead of tomorrow’s US tariff announcements.
  • Weekly US wheat export sales reported today are expected to be low @ 150-450k bu, with corn @ 600-900k bu, and soybeans @ 100-400k bu for both old & new season.
  • Losses in US markets followed through into EU wheat markets yesterday, as 1-week forecast shows a drier/warmer outlook for W Europe, which will be welcomed, and continues to be hot/dry in Ukraine/SW Russia.
  • US ethanol report yesterday showed stocks up 1% as production saw a similar rise.
  • US tariff announcements will take place on 15/6/18, which now is focus for the trade at large. Media reports are that a tariff on soybeans is very likely.
  • UK wheat saw a choppy market yesterday, with trade ending lower, but dragging its feet vs the losses seen in other markets. Market has traded lower again by £1.250 at the time of writing.
Last Trade Settlement:

London Nov ’18 Settle £160.50/t – down £1.20/tonne from previous close

Paris Dec ’18 Settle €184.25 – down €2.75/tonne from previous close

CBOT July ’18 Corn Settle - $3.7600– down 1.25 cents/bushel from previous close

CBOT July ’18 Wheat Settle – $5.1650 – down 18 cents/bushel from previous close

Currency Today:

GBP EUR 1.1362

GBP USD 1.3432

EUR GBP 0.8797

EUR USD 1.1822
 

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