Gleadell Daily Grain Comment - 18 January 2017

ADM Agriculture

Member
Trade
Location
Lincolnshire
  • US markets – soy up on excessive rains in Argentina leading to speculation of significant reduced production – corn up on lower Argentine production forecasts – wheat up influenced by spread money flow rather than any fundamental news.
  • Société Generale reports that the rain threatening Argentina’s soy crop may push up prices in the short-term, but are likely to spur additional production down the line, as farmers in the US seek to profit from the gains.
  • Tunisia purchased around 100,000t of durum wheat, purchased on optional - origin basis.
  • China will produce 4% less corn in the 12 months ending Sept 17, and imports will plunge 69% in the same period, according to forecasts from the Ag Ministry – production seen at 215.3mln t.
  • Russian exports of wheat increased to 22.9mln t in the Jan-Nov16 period, up from 18.2mln t a year ago.
  • Ukraine’s Ag Ministry reported 2016 total grain harvest at 66mln t, of which 26mln is wheat, which is up 10% y/y and the largest crop since 1991.
  • Egypt’s GASC purchased 235,000t of wheat for Feb 15th-25th shipment over the weekend – 3 cargoes from Russia and 1 from Romania.
  • India is expecting to achieve a bumper feed grain output this season thanks to increases in the crop sowing area, aided by favourable weather conditions.
  • Brexit – UK to leave single market says Theresa May. PM promised to push for the ‘freest possible trade’ with EU countries, also says that Parliament would vote on the final deal that is agreed.
Last Trade Settle:
London May ’17 Settle £149.75/t – down £0.50/t from previous close
Paris May ’17 Settle €173.00/t – up €1.50/t from previous close
CBOT Mar ’17 Corn Settle $3.6550/bushel – up 7.00c/bushel from previous close
CBOT Mar ’17 Wheat Settle $4.3350/bushel – up 7.50c/bushel from previous close

Currency Today:
GBP EUR 1.1515
GBP US$ 1.2315
EUR GBP 0.8680
EUR USD 1.0690
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 103 40.4%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 93 36.5%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 39 15.3%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 5 2.0%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 3 1.2%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 12 4.7%

May Event: The most profitable farm diversification strategy 2024 - Mobile Data Centres

  • 1,478
  • 28
With just a internet connection and a plug socket you too can join over 70 farms currently earning up to £1.27 ppkw ~ 201% ROI

Register Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-mo...2024-mobile-data-centres-tickets-871045770347

Tuesday, May 21 · 10am - 2pm GMT+1

Location: Village Hotel Bury, Rochdale Road, Bury, BL9 7BQ

The Farming Forum has teamed up with the award winning hardware manufacturer Easy Compute to bring you an educational talk about how AI and blockchain technology is helping farmers to diversify their land.

Over the past 7 years, Easy Compute have been working with farmers, agricultural businesses, and renewable energy farms all across the UK to help turn leftover space into mini data centres. With...
Top