- Location
- Fife
Turns out it's all rubbish and there won't be a shortage at all. Thoughts?
Global Wheat Shortage due to Ukraine War
- Thread starter unlacedgecko
- Start date
Turns out it's all rubbish and there won't be a shortage at all. Thoughts?
- Location
- North Hampshire
Now all the rest of world needs is some fertilizer .....
Tarw Coch
Member
- Location
- Bottom of Wats Dyke
Thoughts.............time will tell but I wouldn’t bet on the Dr being right, although it would be a lot better for my buisness if she is
- Location
- Montgomeryshire
Any effect from Ukraine & Russian supplies is in addition to that from reduced fert use globally I suggest. Just the ‘N issue’ had the potential to create starvation in poorer countries, before the shenanigans in Eastern Europe kicked off. 
- Location
- somerset
wheat will be short, it was all needed before the war, it won't be there after the war, so, where else, do the people that used to eat it, get it from. It could be 1% or 30%, either creates a hole, that has to be filled.
If you’re an arable farmer, you’ll be dissing the Dr, if you’re livestock, you’ll be praying for a miracle!
- Location
- Limousin, France
Dr Taber wrote a great thread on fertilizer , it's long but worth the time...
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Steel
Member
- Location
- Finley, Riverina, Australia
I think she is optimistic. The exportable tonnes is what matters.
Captain Slack
Member
Would Dr Sarah Taber put her money where her mouth is, or is she just a keyboard warrior?
Hilly
Member
- Location
- Scottish Borders.
Surley they are still farming ? No doubt on urban fringes be hellish but will most wheat fields not be unaffected ?
Dave6170
Member
- Location
- Watten, caithness
Its diesel for their machines they are short of.
- Location
- Wiltshire
According to this https://www.statista.com/statistics/237908/global-top-wheat-producing-countries/
Ukraine produced 33 million tons of wheat in 2021, its not 25% but quite a big heap some of which has to be found elsewhere.
I seem to remember being told at college the useful number was the days supply, with combines rolling at different times across the planet that Ukraine figure is part of the northern hemisphere harvest and there may not be enough in store for it to be replaced by wheat from the Southern Hemisphere when it’s cut.
All this is a moot point for the countries that were buying all their wheat from Ukraine
Bg
Ukraine produced 33 million tons of wheat in 2021, its not 25% but quite a big heap some of which has to be found elsewhere.
I seem to remember being told at college the useful number was the days supply, with combines rolling at different times across the planet that Ukraine figure is part of the northern hemisphere harvest and there may not be enough in store for it to be replaced by wheat from the Southern Hemisphere when it’s cut.
All this is a moot point for the countries that were buying all their wheat from Ukraine
Bg
Kentishfarmer
Member
I used to follow her on twitter for quite a while. When you've read all of her output you realise whilst she does have some informative takes but she does talk some sh*t I think this could be an example of that
glasshouse
Member
- Location
- lothians
Wishful thinking
Russian wheat has put a lid on wheat prices since 1997
That lid is now off
serf
Member
- Location
- warwickshire
If they are that expert why not do the job them selves.....
Expertly ....
Bossfarmer
Member
- Location
- between Perth and Inverness
- Location
- somerset
if there's that much fert capacity about, why can't we get it, on farm, at a sensible price
the absolute truth is, the amount of N that gets on farm, and used, and the price of that N, if you cannot obtain it, or afford it, it isn't going to be used, with the resulting production drop.
but she is right on a few points,
N has been cheap, and a lot has been 'wasted'
many farms would be better run as part time holdings, better for the farmer and his family.
and she talks the type of crap, guvs like to listen to.
it has nothing to do with with any sh#t being talked,
the absolute truth is, the amount of N that gets on farm, and used, and the price of that N, if you cannot obtain it, or afford it, it isn't going to be used, with the resulting production drop.
but she is right on a few points,
N has been cheap, and a lot has been 'wasted'
many farms would be better run as part time holdings, better for the farmer and his family.
and she talks the type of crap, guvs like to listen to.
- Location
- Sedgefield
And the fact the ground is littered with bombs, schrapnel and I exploded cluster bombs ( from telly reports and pictures)
I wouldn’t fancy combining a field of wheat and hitting an unexploded bomb with the combine !