Long term forecasts

[MrNoo]

Back in the winter @MrNoo also mentioned that he uses the Netweather forum section in a similar way to yourself.

Yes, a good forum, plenty of views, some more accurate than others!!!

 

[METJEFFUK]

For a FREE Long Range forecast go to metjeffuk Spring and Summer forecast 2019
https://www.metjeffuk.com/metjeffuk-spring--summer-forecast-2019.html

 

[Northernlights]

Yes
I use www.netweather.tv
Go to forum section , then model output ,need to sort the wheat from the chaff but some very intellectual posters including people who work at Exeter ,bbc and teach meteorology

Have to back this up as a member of netweather myself but with a very meridional weak jetstream due to less of a thermal gradient between the arctic (less ice) and the equator, long range forecasting is becoming more and more difficult with more frequent locked and blocked patterns giving rise to more extreme weather events be it dry or wet, cold or hot..One thing that can probably be said is that the UK has probably lost its mostly benign weather patterns. Usually read a lot of opinions on netweather, then form my own ideas and then finally run it past my daughter who has a Phd in Astrophysics .Even then we can be wildly wrong.!

 

[Breakthru]

Read recently that new programme written that when going back over last 20 years was very accurate in forecasting what happened with the data put in.
Interesting to see if they can do it in real time especially as stated above different set of jet streams etc. They have forecast another two very dry years. 35 Years here, driest but not hottest. Calendar year 462mm 18.5".
Crop year (old English New year 25th March) 412mm 16.5".
Fortunately distribution was probably best in UK and without the extreme heat resulted in best potato crops in UK according to a National grower.