Milk price for next spring/summer

[Jdunn55]

What is everyone's crystal ball saying for next year, is it unrealistic at this point to expect a minimum of 35ppl? Pushing towards 40ppl?
Considering arla are already at 33.5 and saputo only a penny behind with milk as short as it is and I think from what I'm hearing that's only going to get worse?

Just concerned about the price of inputs as I'm sure everyone is and trying to keep on top of finances is becoming more and more crucial

 

[Manney]

We will get a higher ppl than we are currently on but input prices are strong so our margins and profits will probably be static at best.

 

[Will Blackburn]

Is milk short? 25% dairy input inflation, that means 6ppl to stand still. IMO milk needs to be shorter.

 

[Beef farmer]

Our spring herd we are planning to cut numbers by 20% and spread less fert and feed less cake.
It will result in less milk, but with less costs so will be interesting to see the results.
Ag inflation at 22%, but minus the feed and the fert and its probably nearer 7%. So cut out the expensive inputs and hopfully enjoy a higher milk price.
Will be stocked at 2.3 on a grassy farm.
Autumn flat out as usual.

 

[Devon lad]

Our spring herd we are planning to cut numbers by 20% and spread less fert and feed less cake.
It will result in less milk, but with less costs so will be interesting to see the results.
Ag inflation at 22%, but minus the feed and the fert and its probably nearer 7%. So cut out the expensive inputs and hopfully enjoy a higher milk price.
Will be stocked at 2.3 on a grassy farm.
Autumn flat out as usual.

Snap here

 

[Beef farmer]

This year with plenty of fert and 800kg cake it supported 3.7

 

[Beef farmer]

Snap here

Less cows, less stress, less milk, more/same money.
Let's hope the high input boys don't see 35p and bang on another 30%.

 

[lazy farmer]

Dairy futures are running at 36p through out 2022.
could be a hell of a yr.

 

[Beef farmer]

Dairy futures are running at 36p through out 2022.
could be a hell of a yr.

Your going to help put the country right in 2023 when HMRC catch up with you.

 

[bigw]

Freshways are going to be paying a minimum of 33ppl from January

 

[lazy farmer]

Must admit I was thinking of adding a few more in January

do the exact opposite of everyone else.

 

[Beef farmer]

Freshways are going to be paying a minimum of 33ppl from January

Market swings they will be 28p in feb.
A real statement would be them saying a minimum 33p throughout 2022

 

[lazy farmer]

Your going to help put the country right in 2023 when HMRC catch up with you.

Gotta love a limited company!

 

[Beef farmer]

Must admit I was thinking of adding a few more in January

do the exact opposite of everyone else.

You'll need to change your name

 

[lazy farmer]

You'll need to change your name

I would only be to change out a few poorer cows and add in a small safety net as we can’t afford to lose any next spring with current numbers.

 

[pappuller]

Must admit I was thinking of adding a few more in January

do the exact opposite of everyone else.

I'm with you

 

[pappuller]

Less cows, less stress, less milk, more/same money.
Let's hope the high input boys don't see 35p and bang on another 30%.

 

[Jdunn55]

We will get a higher ppl than we are currently on but input prices are strong so our margins and profits will probably be static at best.

That's what I'm hoping for though, static is absolutely fine by me, what scares the crap out of me is inputs up by a quarter and milk moving by 10%
I need a good year next year as this one has been underwhelming to say the least

Now next question for everyone I have a load of fert in the shed atm, that will get me through until mid April, do I buy another load now at £600/t or do I wait until the spring and risk not getting it? Dad and I are currently arguing about this, he says wait I say buy now

 

[Jdunn55]

Our spring herd we are planning to cut numbers by 20% and spread less fert and feed less cake.
It will result in less milk, but with less costs so will be interesting to see the results.
Ag inflation at 22%, but minus the feed and the fert and its probably nearer 7%. So cut out the expensive inputs and hopfully enjoy a higher milk price.
Will be stocked at 2.3 on a grassy farm.
Autumn flat out as usual.

How much fert would you be spreading on your spring block? What sort of growth rate would you be hoping for in comparison to normal? This is my other option but I need the milk really in order to build litres for the following year

 

[Jdunn55]

Another question I've just remembered, for those with arla and saputo, have they given away any inklings about next year yet? Roddas won't say anything because they depend on those 2 and Crediton to make up their price and obviously I don't get informed by arla or saputo as to what they're thinking