Robert Forster: Supermarket demands

JP1

Member
Livestock Farmer
Supermarket demands already drive top commercial cattle prices and will soon include whole of life farm assurance too.

Critics of the adoption of whole of life assurance for beef cattle blame suited men in supermarkets for creating what they see as a problem at farm yard level – and have made no secret of their distaste for this retail led intervention.

26382284.jpg


However they have overlooked the benefits of the newly created UK supermarket specification for prime cattle, which first and foremost demands assured cattle of UK origin, on ex-farm prices and ignored the impact it has already had on regional pricing structures.

Indeed there is an irony that the UK region that objects most loudly to whole of life assurance, South West England, would be likely to benefit most from whole of life cover – and that farmers’ representatives in the region that has enjoyed the biggest price lift since supermarket specification was adopted, Northern Ireland, have objected to whole of life assurance too.

The creation of supermarket specification by retailers and mainline processors after the January 2013 horsemeat scandal marked a watershed in prime cattle purchasing in the UK the implications of which many feeders and finishers, as well as organisations that represent them, have still to grasp.

Essentially it means that feeders who produce commercial suckler or dairy cross steers and heifers (not scheme cattle like Herefords or Angus) will make most money if the cattle they present to processors contracted to supermarkets are UK-origin, farm assured, UTM, deliver carcases weighing 280kg-380kg, classify E, U. R, 3, 4L and O+3/4L and have not moved through more than four farms. Some young bulls can qualify if they are sold before they are 16 months old.

There is nothing remarkable about these animals - apart from the fact they account for almost all the non- speciality (not Angus, organic etc) stock processed by mainstream companies, which include ABP, Dawn, 2Sisters, Dunbia, Woodheads, Foyle, Scotbeef, or Dovecote Park, and command higher prices than similar commercial stock sold to other companies

Just 18 abattoirs account for 65 per cent of GB’s cattle kill.

There are of course other outlets but they are minor in comparison. In 2012 the GB-wide Cattle Health and Welfare Group (CHAWG) confirmed that just nine abattoirs, each killing over 50,000 cattle a year, averaged 72,388 head and accounted for 41.86 per cent of GB throughput.

Furthermore another nine abattoirs processed between 30,000-50,000 cattle a year, averaged 40,739 head and handled 23.56 per cent of the GB kill.

This means that only 18 abattoirs, most of them owned by just six companies, processed 65 per cent of GB’s cattle.

These figures include some cows but the message is that supermarkets, which dominate fresh beef sales in the UK are themselves served by only a handful of processing companies – each of which demands supermarket specification cattle so it can meet its supermarket customer’s orders.

These demands are real. Feeders who filter out of specification cattle (usually overweight, over finished, or poor confirmation) into their deliveries are heavily penalised and should an animal that is not farm assured turn up in the lairage the penalty is anything from 30p-70p a carcase kilo - and in some cases no payment at all.

The move to supermarket specification began after January 2013 when supermarket demands that their contracted processors pay even more attention to the origin and provenance of the cattle they handled were fuelled by fear of the discovery of even more horsemeat in mince.

Then they were refined by processors themselves at the peak of the 2014 prime cattle price plunge after they conceded they were hoisting too much unnecessary cost on their operations by purchasing cattle they did not want and then burdening themselves with avoidable expense when selling off this beef at a huge discount through the secondary wholesale system.

More medium sized cuts off medium sized cattle needed for multiple retailers.

Over 2013 and early 2014 supermarket demands for tightly specified carcases increased. They wanted more medium sized, medium priced, cuts off medium sized cattle but more than anything else they wanted to avoid being caught out by something (like horsemeat) which could undermine both their reputation and their sales.

Their answer was to work through the shortest possible supply chain – and for the majority that meant concentrating exclusively on tightly specified cattle of UK origin whose beef could be sold under a British label.

These buyers include Morrisons/Woodheads, Waitrose/Dovecote Park, Aldi/ABP, M&S, the Co-op and Lidl.

Tesco, Asda, and Sainsburys, which alone among the UK’s multiples buy beef from the Republic of Ireland (RoI), reacted by buying less and also by keeping their Irish supply chains as tight as possible by insisting they would only purchase beef taken from cattle that their contracted suppliers had bought and processed themselves.

To protect themselves further all the supermarkets, whether they bought only UK origin beef or included some from the RoI, demanded it was taken only from assured cattle.

Retailers concentrating on UK-only beef fared best because UK consumers overwhelmingly prefer UK-processed beef sold in packs carrying the Red Tractor label and are not obviously impressed with RoI beef – even if it carries Irish Quality Assurance Scheme (QAS) credentials.

Just 18 per cent of imported Irish beef sold through supermarkets

Nothing has happened since to soften this determination. Indeed it is estimated that less than 18 per cent of beef imported from the RoI into the UK is sold through supermarkets.

Processors made their move to reinforce UK-origin, farm assurance, and tight specifications in mid-2014 when they realised that one of the reasons they were paying so little for UK-produced cattle was that they were wasting money buying too many they did not want.

The main reason for the crash in the market was a simultaneous over-supply of cattle in the UK and the RoI but processors, who were worried that unusually low prices were endangering long term supplies, realised they could pay more for the cattle they did want, and therefore give more encouragement to on-going deliveries, if they refused to handle cattle that were outside their specification.

This meant taking a tougher approach with suppliers. Until then it had been practice for feeders to include stock, like an awkwardly shaped dairy cross or a steer that was marginally overweight, in the load.

And this was accepted by buyers who until then had considered the cost and effort of re-distributing non-supermarket specification beef at discounts of up to 30 per cent was justified if it meant a regular supplier was more likely to continue to send cattle to them and not to a competitor.

But from June 2014 this was no longer the case. Penalties for non-supermarket specification cattle became so extreme they were no longer worth sending in and regular suppliers were told that the tolerance on out of spec cattle in a load was just five per cent when previously it may have been 20 or even 30.

As a result feeders drew their cattle more carefully, purchased their replacements more carefully, and processors with supermarket contracts were able to pay more than they otherwise would have done for in-specification cattle because they were not wasting money elsewhere.

UK prime cattle enjoy the highest price in Europe by a country mile.

Another result is that the UK’s prime cattle continue to enjoy the highest price in Europe by a country mile with commercial steers and heifers currently selling for around £180 and £160 a head more than similar cattle from the RoI.

A recent cross-EU price comparison on R3 heifers (all types including organic and Angus) confirmed a British average of 366p and a Northern Ireland average of 359p compared with an EU average of 300p and an RoI average of 312p.

What this list does not show is that the Northern Ireland average has improved dramatically since British supermarket purchasing concentrated more heavily than it had done on UK-origin cattle carrying Red Tractor credentials.

As recently as 2013, before demand for assured cattle of UK origin strengthened, Northern Ireland’s average invariably hung mid-way between GB and the RoI while the regional price table within GB was, as usual, headed by Scotland, followed by the North of England, the English Midlands and Wales, and finally the South of England.

This situation is outlined in the table covering the average prices for R4L steers (including Angus, organic and other scheme cattle) recorded over w/e May 11th 2013 which is printed immediately below.

Region

Price

Scotland

412p

North of England

409p

Midland and Wales

396p

South of England

394p

Northern Ireland

378p

However after supermarket demand focussed even more heavily on assured UK-origin steers and heifers the Northern Ireland average leaped into third position leaving the South of England trailing in bottom place.

This fundamental shift, and its far reaching implications, are confirmed by the regional R4L steer averages recorded over w/e December 27th 2014 which are printed immediately below.

Region

Price

Scotland

376p

North of England

370p

Northern Ireland

361p

Midland and Wales

357p

South of England

354p

There will always be variations but a primary feature of post horsemeat scandal trading, and retail/processor concentration on assured UK-origin prime cattle has been a surge in Northern Ireland values because the determined search for fully specified supermarket cattle extended to all parts of the UK.

Supermarket concentration on farm assurance not expected to relax.

Also important to note is that supermarket concentration on farm assurance is not expected to relax because the multiples are keen to do all they can to make sure they do not fall foul of the newly installed Groceries Supply Code of Practice (GSCOP) - which is yet another strategy that has been introduced to reinforce food chain integrity after the horsemeat scandal.

It is policed by Groceries Adjudicator, Christine Tacon, and supermarket bosses have reacted by shortening as many supply chains as possible, not just meat’s, and bolstering their insistence on product provenance – which in the case of beef means farm assurance.

Or to be more exact – whole of life assurance.

It is indeed a retail approved move – although it is also backed by the Farm Animal Welfare Committee, the Food Standards Agency, the big beef processors and many others, including farmers, who believe that beef is a food, and its production, like that of other foods, should be scrutinised and certificated.

This being the case suckled calf breeders, and dairy beef rearer/feeders should be able to sell more cattle for more money than they would otherwise have been able to if they invest in a Red Tractor certificate and reinforce the drive for regular and reliable supplies of UK-origin, whole of life assured, supermarket-specification, commercial cattle.

They will deny themselves the opportunity to increase their incomes if they do not.

(Robert Forster produces Beef Industry Newsletter, which is the best single source of beef industry information available in the UK. It includes an informed, prime cattle price forecast and can be found on the www.rforster.com website. Access is by subscription only. If TFF members email [email protected] they can be sent a complimentary copy of the latest issue.)
 
Location
Devon
How much did the supermarkets pay Robert Forester to write the pack of lies above??

The beef price has NOT gone up in South West England due to farm assurance..

And as for out of spec supermarket cattle.. well St Merryn are paying nearly as good a price for FRI steers as supermarket cattle... the FRI steers do not go into the supermarkets but places like Macdonalds etc... so all that rubbish he wrote in that piece above about non spec cattle that supermarkets wont buy being worth 70pk/less and in some cases not being paid for at all is a pack of Lies....
 

Baker9

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
N Ireland BT47
We can moan and bitch all we want to but the major retailers call the tune and they are demanding whole of life assurance with only four moves because they think farmers are as crooked as they are.
We have a choice, we can all fall into line or we can find alternative markets for our beef. If we find an alternative market for the beef produced then we can tell the major retailers that we are not playing by their rules but until that happens we are stuffed and will have to bend over for the retailers.
It is getting to the stage where the retailers will not allow processors to slaughter stock for a different market, they want to turn beef into the same type of processed plastic as the rest of the food they sell.
 
Location
Devon
We can moan and bitch all we want to but the major retailers call the tune and they are demanding whole of life assurance with only four moves because they think farmers are as crooked as they are.
We have a choice, we can all fall into line or we can find alternative markets for our beef. If we find an alternative market for the beef produced then we can tell the major retailers that we are not playing by their rules but until that happens we are stuffed and will have to bend over for the retailers.
It is getting to the stage where the retailers will not allow processors to slaughter stock for a different market, they want to turn beef into the same type of processed plastic as the rest of the food they sell.

Very few large scale slaughter houses now so actually the power is in farmers/ plants hands and not the supermarkets..
 
Hang on lads. No one paid me to write this. So please don't be insulting.

Now you tell me which commercial cattle processed within the UK earn the most money?

Is it Irish, overweight, non-assured, overfinished or OTM?

Or is it UK-origin, farm assured, UTM, 280kg-380kg and EUR-34L?
 
Location
Devon
Hang on lads. No one paid me to write this. So please don't be insulting.

Now you tell me which commercial cattle processed within the UK earn the most money?

Is it Irish, overweight, non-assured, overfinished or OTM?

Or is it UK-origin, farm assured, UTM, 280kg-380kg and EUR-34L?

If you write such rubbish as above then you will get the likes of the above comments..

Where did you get the information to back your ( wild ) claims above??

The cattle that make the most money are E grade steers at 410 kilo's.. assured or NON assured.. it makes NO difference..
 

Baker9

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
N Ireland BT47
Very few large scale slaughter houses now so actually the power is in farmers/ plants hands and not the supermarkets..

The power is in the hands of the multiples as something like 30% of all household spending a few years ago was in Tescos alone, they have such a massive share of the market that they control it. On the other hand if there were only half a dozen beef producers they could control the market. Farmers will only have power in the market if they act together but getting farmers to agree that would be like trying to herd cats.
The power is only in the farmers hands if they decide not to supply beef to the processors under these new rules and they also make sure there are no alternative supply routes.
When the market is concentrated in the hands of a few people then cartels are easily formed to control the market.
 
Let's see whether GUTH (Gone Up The Hill) can take it as well as dish it out.

He said I had written a "pack of lies" and that non-spec, non-assured cattle, were not deducted 70p.

He has of course not read what I said - which was that feeders sending in loads of supermarket specification cattle to one of the 18 or so big processing sites which serve supermarkets and account for around 65 per cent of the GB prime cattle kill would be deducted anything between 30p-70p - and in some cases offered no payment at all - if a non-assured animal was included in the delivery.

This information was passed on by a long standing, and trusted source, who in the 25 years or more that I have known him will have sold more than half a million cattle on behalf of his clients - which I suspect is one to two more than GUTH will have done.

It is not a pack of lies, it is not propaganda, and it has no hidden agenda. Its aim is to inform feeders from all part of the UK about the industry they work in and help them keep in touch with what is happening.

There will be some outlets for non-assured cattle but there will not be many and I would be very surprised if they were paying top whack.

My point is that supermarkets will not accept beef taken of non-assured cattle and so processors who have taken out supermarket contracts will not include non-assured beef in their deliveries either.

I would have thought it was good news that the multiples were concentrating on UK-origin backed by farm assurance - and that only around 18 per cent of beef imported from the RoI was moving through at multiple retail level.

I do not expect everyone to agree with my summary. But I would like to read some good counter-arguments the reasons instead of being showered with baseless and vindictive accusations.
 

Old Boar

Member
Location
West Wales
How about the counter argument that the average consumer buying beef in the supermarket only looks at price, and not any farm assurance certification?
When were you last in the supermarket watching people buying beef? They look at the price first, last and then make their choice about which lump of meat.
If you ask the supermarket customer what farm assurance means, they would look at you as if you had two heads.
I would have thought ensuring the label stated the country of origin of the live animal was more important - not that it is "British" because it happened to have been cut here, and somehow got the RT sticker somewhere along the way, even if it was horse originally.
 

kmo

Member
Location
E. Wales
Just curious to know.
What is the percentage of British finished cattle that end up on a Supermarket shelf?
And what percentage end up in destinations that don't need farm assurance, catering, ready meals small butchers etc?
 
I do write a Newsletter, Spin Cycle. It's not a secret, its flagged up in the last paragraph of all my articles Farming Forum articles, including the one under discussion - so it's hardly a concession that has been wrung out of me.

I do however pride myself on being independent - which is why claims that I write propaganda, presumably on someone else's behalf, don't really please me.

I think the supermarkets want more Red Tractor assurance on cattle so that if the supply chain fouls up, and serious questions are asked about the provenance of the beef they handle they can always say they demand that their beef is taken only from farm assured animals and so they are a victim of supply chain ineptness - and the fault was not their own.

What do you think?
 

topground

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
North Somerset.
@Robert Forster
Mr Forster, can you tell me what there is to stop Red Tractor decreeing that cattle cannot go through a livestock market and remain assured once they have sufficient numbers signed up to WLA?
They have arbitrarily decided that they will not accept more than 4 moves in NI.
 
Last edited:
Just curious to know.
What is the percentage of British finished cattle that end up on a Supermarket shelf?
And what percentage end up in destinations that don't need farm assurance, catering, ready meals small butchers etc?

Its a good question. I asked it myself recently and could not find a precise answer.

However we know that within Great Britain there are 18 big abattoirs that handle around 65 per cent of prime cattle and that because all of them will have at least one supermarket customer most, if not all, of these cattle will be farm assured.

Not all of this assured beef will be sold retail. Big slaughterers need three types of customer, a multiple, a burger manufacturer like McDonalds or Burger King and either a secondary wholesaler or a cash and carry. so they are never left holding large volumes of a single carcase part that is hard to sell.

This means that most burger mince will have been taken off assured cattle and a large proportion moving through the secondary wholesale system will too.

In addition to this very few big finishers, those able to direct regular consignments to regular customers. will be without farm assurance cover otherwise their options would be too narrow.

On this basis I would guess that at least 95 per cent of prime cattle are assured but if anyone can put up a more accurate figure I would be very pleased to see it.
 
Last edited:

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 103 40.6%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 93 36.6%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 39 15.4%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 5 2.0%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 3 1.2%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 11 4.3%

May Event: The most profitable farm diversification strategy 2024 - Mobile Data Centres

  • 1,438
  • 27
With just a internet connection and a plug socket you too can join over 70 farms currently earning up to £1.27 ppkw ~ 201% ROI

Register Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-mo...2024-mobile-data-centres-tickets-871045770347

Tuesday, May 21 · 10am - 2pm GMT+1

Location: Village Hotel Bury, Rochdale Road, Bury, BL9 7BQ

The Farming Forum has teamed up with the award winning hardware manufacturer Easy Compute to bring you an educational talk about how AI and blockchain technology is helping farmers to diversify their land.

Over the past 7 years, Easy Compute have been working with farmers, agricultural businesses, and renewable energy farms all across the UK to help turn leftover space into mini data centres. With...
Top