The perfect storm

jondear

Member
Location
Devon
Canada burning up.
Vast areas of the USA in drought.
Germany water logged.
Mice plague in Oz.
Possible El Niño effect 2021.
None existant U.K. stocks of cereals due to poor harvest 20.
Sterling value consistent.

Could be the year to sit on 2021 harvest? £250/t feed wheat base?
Record crops of wheat being cut in Kansas and Nebraska some of Mid west just what I've seen .
 
Canada burning up.
Vast areas of the USA in drought.
Germany water logged.
Mice plague in Oz.
Possible El Niño effect 2021.
None existant U.K. stocks of cereals due to poor harvest 20.
Sterling value consistent.

Could be the year to sit on 2021 harvest? £250/t feed wheat base?
one year you will be right or are you buying wheat futures to cash in after christmas

remember history is full of failures who bet on the grain markets going one way and then the weather had other ideas

2020 was the year to sit on grain very easy to predict it with 100% 20 20 hind sight :)
 

Clive

Staff Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Lichfield
Heard this morning Hovis have been 100% milling wheat from Germany for 12 months , very poor show imo .

wrapped in a union flag wrapper as well !

A32D94AF-4D86-4CB6-91F6-0CD15DBFD7F8.jpeg
 
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Clive

Staff Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Lichfield
The thing to do is have enough grain storage that you are able to choose when you want to sell it and net the price you want. Being able to store the lions share of one harvest whilst taking in another would be a way of giving you huge flexibility when it came to marketing as your hand isn't forced into selling.

storage is the easy bit, Try cashfloweing a few thousand acres without sales for 18 - 24 months !

we held a lot of h20 into h21 and it was worth over £50/ t doing so ……… cash flow was rather stressed at times however
 
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Clive

Staff Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Lichfield
one year you will be right or are you buying wheat futures to cash in after christmas

remember history is full of failures who bet on the grain markets going one way and then the weather had other ideas

2020 was the year to sit on grain very easy to predict it with 100% 20 20 hind sight :)

H20 - 2021was almos5 100% predicable, anyone involved in growing wheat, osr or barley through that autumn winter and then spring drought could surely see official harvest reports / numbers were miles out, the difficult bit is being in a position to do it re cash flow


I would have filled my boots with futures as well as held physical grain had I been able to afford them or the risk
 

Claas launches new line of Liner rakes

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Written by Justin Roberts from Agriland

Claas has just unveiled three completely new four-rotor rakes with working widths of 15m, 13.6m and 12.7m. These maximum spans widths can be adjusted by 3.40 to 4.90m depending on the model,

Claas telescopic arm

The new range has been designed to offer low transport heights, improved ground-contour following by the rotors, and ease of handling, according to Claas.

Adjustable working width​


One major development are the new telescopic arms which extend and retract by means of a three-stage patented system.

This comprises a ‘C’ profile and slide rails, enabling rapid...
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