Winter cropping continues to regain ground for harvest 2022

Yesterday, Defra released their final estimates for the 2021 UK arable crops. This allows us to look at our Early Bird Survey of planting intentions results at a regional level for the four main crops; wheat barley, oats and oilseed rape (OSR). The results show that on a regional level there are some changes compared to last year.

Table showing planting intentions - UK


Wheat​

The total wheat area is forecast up 1% (15Kha) year-on-year at 1,805Kha, but there are some larger differences in the regional changes.

The East remains the largest wheat growing region and is expected to have the largest absolute increase in wheat area of 15Kha. However, in percentage change terms, the North West region is anticipated to see the biggest planted area change at 15%.

The South West, West Midlands and Yorkshire & the Humber regions are all intending to reduce the planted area. The combined drop in area is expected to be 14Kha.

This is particularly surprising in Yorkshire & the Humber, due to the delivered premium that wheat is obtaining from this region over other areas of the UK.

Other headlines​

  • Total barley area is down 4% year-on-year at 1,107Ka.
  • The winter barley area has risen for harvest 2022, but with regional differences.
  • Spring barley planting intentions are down 8% (58Kha) year-on-year. Almost all regions of the UK anticipate a drop in spring barley plantings for harvest 2022.
  • The UK oat area for harvest 2022 is estimated at 187Kha. This is a 6%, or 13Kha, drawback to last harvest.
  • A rebound in domestic rapeseed production is expected. At 359Kha nationally, it is anticipated to be up from last harvest.
For the full regional breakdown of cropping intentions for the four key crops (wheat, barley, oats and oilseed rape) visit the Early Bird Survey webpage.

This is the first insight into regional cropping for harvest 2022 and could have an impact on regional pricing throughout the 2022/23 marketing year.

It is paramount to stay ahead and use this information to plan strategies to market your commodity.

Be sure to sign up to the Arable Market Specialists outputs as we use this information to give further insight into domestic market implications of this survey and much more!
 

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