Your wheat yield predictions

[Devon James]

Too late for most if not all the wheat here. All rain will do now here is finish off the winter barley and maybe give the spring barley a bit longer.

Our winter barley is only a few days from crimping. Looks a tad wet for the next three. Barley will be more horizontal than vertical I think!

 

[4course]

Looking at my wheat ears where it was thick there are plenty of heads 3grains per spikelet 18 per ear
In fields Where the crop looked too thin slugs in the autumn the are many spikelets with 4or 5 grains ands heads have 25 spiklets per head

Not bothering to calculate yield as when you count grains per m2 always get yields of 10 to 15 tonnes per ha may be doing a lot more samples would in crease accuracy but as the pollster find the degree of accuracy low my gut feeling says average yield or better because the weather for heavy land has been favourable

generally thinner crops produce bigger ears and all things being equal bolder grain , the holy grail has to be getting crops with more stems to do the same, its how we do it and is it possible cost effectively, from my youth ( early 1970s) can remember a lot of work done on the totally different systems of professer laloux (low seedrates) and the oppossite schleswig holstein (high seed rate) and at that time seem to recall it was a pay your money and make your choice scenario, but now with varieties that can be sown earlier with less tillers therefore more main stems and better equipment for precision fertilizer application and the armoury of crop protection and foliar feeds we should be able to increase yields but seems as if we havnt in general . it must be possible to lift yields as we have been on a plateau for years

 

[Spud]

Crops here look ok really, hoping for 9t/ha on the wheat, pleased we got the N on early this year. w barley the best its looked for a few years, should do 8t/ha. S barley good for the dry spring, similar with the s oats. Spring beans struggled in the dry, their nowt flash, winters look far better. Beet filling in now, at last, spuds roaring on great guns just now.

 

[yellow belly]

early n this year has helped with my crops but notill often looks greener later anyway
there is quite a variation between varietys ,cultivation n rates and soil so some crops look to be dying off but are filled fully
thin soil always shows in late june and is the first to be harvested

 

[Bossfarmer]

think its number of ears/sq m x grains/ear x tgw x 10000 problem is different years make more difference easily get 6.5 million ears/ha but some years 4.5 will yield better as bigger grains and more/ear reckon the biggest influence on yield from now to harvest is tgw which needs grainfill ,sun, K , and no disease or delayed harvest

tgw?

 

[Bossfarmer]

View attachment 541040
Costello first wheat on some good ground. What's the yield on this going to be?

is this milling or feed wheat? I think its important to state that when saying your yield estimates as the milling wheat will have had a lot more fert

 

[e3120]

tgw?

Take 2 seconds and google "tgw", then realise the need to be more specific and try "tgw wheat". After TFF, the answer is result 2.

 

[APJ]

is this milling or feed wheat? I think its important to state that when saying your yield estimates as the milling wheat will have had a lot more fert

Costello being a group 4 wheat will always be feed.

 

[franklin]

Found this, what is the cause?
View attachment 541096
[/ATTACH]

Mechanical damage?

 

[warksfarmer]

Heavy soils looking good for 9-10t/ha whilst lighter soils probably 7.5-8t/ha but dying off by the day. Spring crops looking good though.

 

[Mr Charisma]

Oh dear this thread came up to soon ,,,,,,,, wheats on.light ground all but burnt up in the last 3 days ,,,,, all of a sudden 7.5 ton / acre might be acceptable , shame we had little or no rain last week !!!!!

 

[Hooch]

7.5 t/ac is very acceptable here

 

[Brisel]

I've given up counting grain/ear and ears/m2 as there will usually be 20-50% yield variation within the bigger fields. I'm sticking close to my long term averages;

9.2 t/ha wheat just below average
6.5 t/ha spring barley just above average
3.6 t/ha osr just above average
4 t/ha spring beans on budget (no comparison but looking promising)
1-1.5 t/ha spring linseed well below budget (drought and only last year for comparison)

 

[Brisel]

Oh dear this thread came up to soon ,,,,,,,, wheats on.light ground all but burnt up in the last 3 days ,,,,, all of a sudden 7.5 ton / acre might be acceptable , shame we had little or no rain last week !!!!!

7.5 t/ac is very acceptable here

Did you mean t/HA??

 

[Feldspar]

I've given up counting grain/ear and ears/m2 as there will usually be 20-50% yield variation within the bigger fields. I'm sticking close to my long term averages;

9.2 t/ha wheat just below average
6.5 t/ha spring barley just above average
3.6 t/ha osr just above average
4 t/ha spring beans on budget (no comparison but looking promising)
1-1.5 t/ha spring linseed well below budget (drought and only last year for comparison)

Any adjustments for Claydon drilling vs more tillage in the old system?

 

[Brisel]

Any adjustments for Claydon drilling vs more tillage in the old system?

No. Of course I'd like to see everything this season thrash all previous records but the same gravel patches are showing up drought damage that do so under ploughing or min till. I'm happy enough that establishment cost less and I've killed less earthworms than usual. How about yours?

 

[shakerator]

Oh dear this thread came up to soon ,,,,,,,, wheats on.light ground all but burnt up in the last 3 days ,,,,, all of a sudden 7.5 ton / acre might be acceptable , shame we had little or no rain last week !!!!!

The grains in my burnt off wheat are full and plump, I think we've had enough sun for something decent.

Heavy land yields with no blackgrass could be very special this year

 

[4course]

The grains in my burnt off wheat are full and plump, I think we've had enough sun for something decent.

Heavy land yields with no blackgrass could be very special this year

ive just had a walk round and rubbed some out,still green plump grain, think it could well be a tale of a year with high variations dependent on your location and rainfall timing of which weve had 2 big rain events lately that have saved the day ,certainly the fields that had early n look particularly well but we are not there yet .Seems the further north you go the better crops look particularly on heavy land

 

[texelburger]

Had a good walk round our crops yesterday and on our lighter patches ,that have burnt off,im not too confident.Grains are not going to be very plump.On our better ground i think we could have a average yield,although there are a few white heads which is hard to tell if its eyespot or fusarium.OSR ,we have one poor patch suffering from clubroot ,one ok and one that looks well.Spring Oats look ok but shorter than normal.
Sticking my neck out i would say wheat yields will be down between 10 to 20 %,OSR impossible to tell but down a little and Oats down 5 to 10 %.

 

[Mr Charisma]

Did you mean t/HA??

Yup.