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Regenerative Agriculture and Direct Drilling
Regen Ag General Discussion
A significant result
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<blockquote data-quote="Feldspar" data-source="post: 1473002" data-attributes="member: 386"><p>Basically the rational way to proceed in farming is by an informal version of a Bayesian updating method (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference" target="_blank">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference</a>) which allows iterative decision making to be made based upon limited but evolving evidence combined with continually updating prior beliefs. In short, that absolutely does not mean doing nothing / not changing until you have 100% certainty - that would be an absurdly irrational thing to do.</p><p></p><p>This give a rough idea of application of the above in agricultural research, specifically variety trials in the below link. It basically works just as you would like, but takes in research and lay observations in a way outlined by [USER=1095]@RushesToo[/USER] :</p><p></p><p><a href="http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.17.7154&rep=rep1&type=pdf" target="_blank">http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.17.7154&rep=rep1&type=pdf</a></p><p></p><p>Research does not proceed in the simplistic way that you think it does, at least not always. It's just that the more sophisticated methods are beyond the comprehension of nearly all of the farming populace. The belief that existence is the limit of one's own understanding is the problem here.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Feldspar, post: 1473002, member: 386"] Basically the rational way to proceed in farming is by an informal version of a Bayesian updating method ([URL]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference[/URL]) which allows iterative decision making to be made based upon limited but evolving evidence combined with continually updating prior beliefs. In short, that absolutely does not mean doing nothing / not changing until you have 100% certainty - that would be an absurdly irrational thing to do. This give a rough idea of application of the above in agricultural research, specifically variety trials in the below link. It basically works just as you would like, but takes in research and lay observations in a way outlined by [USER=1095]@RushesToo[/USER] : [URL]http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.17.7154&rep=rep1&type=pdf[/URL] Research does not proceed in the simplistic way that you think it does, at least not always. It's just that the more sophisticated methods are beyond the comprehension of nearly all of the farming populace. The belief that existence is the limit of one's own understanding is the problem here. [/QUOTE]
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Regenerative Agriculture and Direct Drilling
Regen Ag General Discussion
A significant result
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