Hottest ever summer on the way

[Pan mixer]

Some of March has been hot.
"When the sheep seek shade in March then they will seek shelter in June"

 

[Goweresque]

My theory is since Halleys comet in 97 the weather has been appalling give or take a week or 2, certainly last summer was better but we paid for it in autumn /winter

A slightly more obvious reason for a sudden shift in the UK's climate around the late 90s is that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) switched from its cold phase to its warm phase at exactly that time:

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/640px-atlantic_multidecadal_oscillation.png

You can see from that graph that it was almost entirely cold from about 1960 to about 1996/7 when it switched violently to warm. Since then we have a series of excessively wet seasons, often summers. I don't think its a coincidence. The warm phases seem to last from 10-20 years, so I would expect the current style of weather to continue more often than not until c.2020, when one could perhaps expect a cold phase to begin again, or at least to have more neutral values.

 

[Bruce Almighty]

Some of March has been hot.
"When the sheep seek shade in March then they will seek shelter in June"

We've had fog this month
Mom reckons they used to say fog in March=frost in May

 

[roscoe erf]

What we need is more research , at least thats what all the well paid researchers tell us, either that or read the express and the weather will be the opposite

or a one handed expert so they cant say on the other hand

 

[bobk]

So far so good ........

 

[Chris F]

So far so good ........

I have been outside the whole of the last week in Cornwall. Its been glorious, I look like I've been to spain - if only!

 

[RushesToo]

A slightly more obvious reason for a sudden shift in the UK's climate around the late 90s is that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) switched from its cold phase to its warm phase at exactly that time:

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/640px-atlantic_multidecadal_oscillation.png

You can see from that graph that it was almost entirely cold from about 1960 to about 1996/7 when it switched violently to warm. Since then we have a series of excessively wet seasons, often summers. I don't think its a coincidence. The warm phases seem to last from 10-20 years, so I would expect the current style of weather to continue more often than not until c.2020, when one could perhaps expect a cold phase to begin again, or at least to have more neutral values.

Don't forget the Maunder minimum -
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_minimum
This caused the little ice age [loads died as the weather failed]

Loads of things cause the climate to change, the oceans move slowly, as do any effects of CO2 - a period on no sun spots, they each cause oscillations, and their interaction is not simple. There are loads of people [often younger] and with better brains than you an I working on this, and their prediction timescales range from months to centuries. Our fathers were also good, but the value is in the synthesis of all the data sources. To check maths this needs to be done as best can be by mapping readings to observations in previous times and checking predications.

Personally I call it magic until someone comes up with a better explanation.

 

[bobk]

It all kicks off......................... 21st June

 

[Barleycorn]

Hopefully I'll be at Stonehenge to see the start! Makes a change, usually no decent sun on the Solstice.

 

[bobk]

Piece of pish this weather forecasting ........ for more info call me 09014563256 calls cost loads and I probably won't answer but you'll still be charged

17th february I started this thread ......... who's the daddy

 

[7610 super q]

Piece of pish this weather forecasting ........ for more info call me 09014563256 calls cost loads and I probably won't answer but you'll still be charged

17th february I started this thread ......... who's the daddy

But it's drizzling.....................

 

[Yale]

But it's drizzling.....................

Sounds quite refreshing compared to the heat here.

 

[Wombat]

Keep it coming its perfect, another 8 weeks at least

 

[joe soapy]

Any body know how to do a rain dance?
Even the crows are sat in fields panting

 

[holywell farmer]

Any body know how to do a rain dance?
Even the crows are sat in fields panting

am in open field on pipeline work with no shade at the moment, praying rest of week is going cool down a bit,

 

[Kinburn1919]

26 degrees in Northern Scotland yesterday... About 10 degrees today... Welcome to Scotland

 

[devonshire farmer]

26 degrees in Northern Scotland yesterday... About 10 degrees today... Welcome to Scotland

32 down here today if my temp gauge is correct!

 

[Goweresque]

I don't know what all the fuss is about. We've all had such a belly full of cold and damp summers we've forgotten what they should actually be like. High 20s and low 30s is hardly out of the ordinary, looking back. I remember in the summer of 1990, I went to Cheltenham cricket festival, it was so hot you just dripped sweat sat still. A few days later Cheltenham set a (then) record temperature for the UK of 37.1C.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/aug1990

 

[Wombat]

It was perfect today, hot but with a nice breeze. Keep it coming, screw this cold wet crap. We have 6 months of that, don't need it in summer.

 

[grumpy]

26 degrees in Northern Scotland yesterday... About 10 degrees today... Welcome to Scotland

hello i reckon your my cousin,hows fergie doing?