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100,000 pigs to be destroyed
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<blockquote data-quote="JP1" data-source="post: 7776961" data-attributes="member: 54"><p>By Peter Crichton</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p>1st October 2021</p><p> </p><p></p><p> </p><p>Sad to say that the SPP continues on its downward track losing another 0.74p and now stands at 153.57p.</p><p> </p><p>Although the SPP is only down by around 6p/kg when compared with 12 months ago, it is still dropping and feed wheat this time last year was £175/t compared with £188/t today.</p><p> </p><p>With the European average finished pig price quoted at circa 112p, it is easy to see how bargain basement EU pig meat is heading in this direction and undercutting our prices by a country mile for a lower welfare product.</p><p> </p><p>Although some finished pig producers have recently been prepared to move overweight pigs at discounted prices as low as 70p/kg, reports have indicated that unless the shortage of butchery labour can be remedied 150,000 overweight pigs could be culled in the meantime and that there is a 40% labour vacancy rate in the processing sector, which paints a grim picture for the outlook for UK finished pigs between now and the end of the year.</p><p> </p><p>UK weekly contribution prices are still falling with drops of up to 3p on the week in some places and prices are forecast to be anywhere between 130p and143p per kg, but with one of the major players thankfully stood on for a further week.</p><p> </p><p>Regular spot bacon sellers are continuing to feel even more pain than contract sellers, with pigs traded in and around 130p/kg, but the “everything must go” pig price is almost bottomless.</p><p> </p><p>Cull sows have always acted as a useful barometer of European pig meat price trends and with UK exporters dropping their prices yet again by around 4p/kg, a chilly wind continues to blow through this sector and for the first time for many many years, cull sow values are below 30p/kg in some places.</p><p> </p><p>An average cull sow weighing 140kg d/wt is after haulage and deductions coming to little more than £35/head and hardly worth selling.</p><p> </p><p>At least due to a weaker Pound the Euro has strengthened to some extent rising from 85.7p in value a week ago to 86.11p today.</p><p> </p><p>Spot weaner prices continue to tumble with very little interest in this sector, but the latest AHDB 7kg weaner average still looks relatively healthy by comparison at £37.53/head, but sharper falls are forecast in the weeks ahead.</p><p> </p><p>As far as outdoor breeders and straw based finishers are concerned, straw prices are looking more reasonable, but feed costs are continuing to soar putting yet more pressure on COP levels.</p><p> </p><p>The latest available UK futures prices saw feed wheat quoted at £202/t for November delivery and September 2022 contracts are also looking expensive at £187/t.</p><p> </p><p>Ex farm feed wheat prices have shot up over the past 7 days to stand at £188.20/t as against £177.40/t a week ago.</p><p> </p><p>Barely prices are also looking bullish with November feed barley traded at £189/t and for September 2022 at £175/t.</p><p> </p><p>Proteins are little changed with Hipro soya meal worth £365/t for November – January 202 and £336/t for May – October 2022.</p><p> </p><p>Rapemeal is a touch firmer at £265/t for November – January 2022 compared with £248/t a week ago.</p><p> </p><p>And finally, dangerous times ahead for the pig industry despite the NPA Chief Executive Zoe Davies urging the Home Office to re-think its decision not to issue temporary visas for migrant pig meat butchers to ease the current shortage, DEFRA need to wake up and smell the coffee before it is too late.</p><p> </p><p>It is difficult to see what attraction there might be for temporary workers to apply for 3 month visas at this time of year in particular when there are plenty of secure jobs in Europe, which welcomes migrant labour with open arms unlike our Government.</p><p> </p><p>The root of the problem dates back to Brexit, without which free movement of labour would be extended across the board as far as all EU Member countries are concerned, but sadly this no longer includes the UK!</p><p> </p><p>Concern is also rising over the mental pressures being faced across many involved in the pig industry on top of all the other challenges which have to be met one way or the other.</p><p> </p><p>The NPA Claims that Government intervention and support would be the answer, but not according to the politicians who seem to have little interest in the possible demise of much of the UK’s welfare friendly pig industry, unless the situation changes in the near future.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="JP1, post: 7776961, member: 54"] By Peter Crichton 1st October 2021 Sad to say that the SPP continues on its downward track losing another 0.74p and now stands at 153.57p. Although the SPP is only down by around 6p/kg when compared with 12 months ago, it is still dropping and feed wheat this time last year was £175/t compared with £188/t today. With the European average finished pig price quoted at circa 112p, it is easy to see how bargain basement EU pig meat is heading in this direction and undercutting our prices by a country mile for a lower welfare product. Although some finished pig producers have recently been prepared to move overweight pigs at discounted prices as low as 70p/kg, reports have indicated that unless the shortage of butchery labour can be remedied 150,000 overweight pigs could be culled in the meantime and that there is a 40% labour vacancy rate in the processing sector, which paints a grim picture for the outlook for UK finished pigs between now and the end of the year. UK weekly contribution prices are still falling with drops of up to 3p on the week in some places and prices are forecast to be anywhere between 130p and143p per kg, but with one of the major players thankfully stood on for a further week. Regular spot bacon sellers are continuing to feel even more pain than contract sellers, with pigs traded in and around 130p/kg, but the “everything must go” pig price is almost bottomless. Cull sows have always acted as a useful barometer of European pig meat price trends and with UK exporters dropping their prices yet again by around 4p/kg, a chilly wind continues to blow through this sector and for the first time for many many years, cull sow values are below 30p/kg in some places. An average cull sow weighing 140kg d/wt is after haulage and deductions coming to little more than £35/head and hardly worth selling. At least due to a weaker Pound the Euro has strengthened to some extent rising from 85.7p in value a week ago to 86.11p today. Spot weaner prices continue to tumble with very little interest in this sector, but the latest AHDB 7kg weaner average still looks relatively healthy by comparison at £37.53/head, but sharper falls are forecast in the weeks ahead. As far as outdoor breeders and straw based finishers are concerned, straw prices are looking more reasonable, but feed costs are continuing to soar putting yet more pressure on COP levels. The latest available UK futures prices saw feed wheat quoted at £202/t for November delivery and September 2022 contracts are also looking expensive at £187/t. Ex farm feed wheat prices have shot up over the past 7 days to stand at £188.20/t as against £177.40/t a week ago. Barely prices are also looking bullish with November feed barley traded at £189/t and for September 2022 at £175/t. Proteins are little changed with Hipro soya meal worth £365/t for November – January 202 and £336/t for May – October 2022. Rapemeal is a touch firmer at £265/t for November – January 2022 compared with £248/t a week ago. And finally, dangerous times ahead for the pig industry despite the NPA Chief Executive Zoe Davies urging the Home Office to re-think its decision not to issue temporary visas for migrant pig meat butchers to ease the current shortage, DEFRA need to wake up and smell the coffee before it is too late. It is difficult to see what attraction there might be for temporary workers to apply for 3 month visas at this time of year in particular when there are plenty of secure jobs in Europe, which welcomes migrant labour with open arms unlike our Government. The root of the problem dates back to Brexit, without which free movement of labour would be extended across the board as far as all EU Member countries are concerned, but sadly this no longer includes the UK! Concern is also rising over the mental pressures being faced across many involved in the pig industry on top of all the other challenges which have to be met one way or the other. The NPA Claims that Government intervention and support would be the answer, but not according to the politicians who seem to have little interest in the possible demise of much of the UK’s welfare friendly pig industry, unless the situation changes in the near future. [/QUOTE]
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100,000 pigs to be destroyed
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