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Farm Business
Politics, Covid19 and Brexit
Biggest Recession since 1706
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<blockquote data-quote="farmerm" data-source="post: 6928467" data-attributes="member: 7195"><p><strong><u><span style="font-size: 26px">4%!!!</span></u></strong> <strong><span style="font-size: 26px">Only 4% of the UK population have been or are infected with Covid19 that is what the Chief Scientific Officer believes, he came out with it at the Covid briefing this evening. </span></strong><span style="font-size: 18px">This is the figure the government are working from.</span><strong><span style="font-size: 18px"> </span> </strong> Even if the scientific data has an error of 100% we are clearly well below 10% so there you have it, black and white.</p><p></p><p>The CSO also said they believe around 130,000 people are currently infected... From that we can do some primary school math... If R is 0.7 and infection period is 4 days we are looking at around another 105 days to pull the number of cases down from 130,0000 to single digits, if R slips to 0.9 its will take 300 days to pull the number of infections down form 130,000 to single figures! Worse still if R cant not be kept below 1 but sits roughly at 1 then we would have to reach a point of herd immunity to exit this. Any R at or above 1 results in a final death toll in the ballpark of 1/2 million given our current death toll represents on 4% of the population having been infected.... With 130,000 infected, 4% having been infected and if R got stuck at 1 we are 1500 days from reaching 50 million infected!!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="farmerm, post: 6928467, member: 7195"] [B][U][SIZE=7]4%!!![/SIZE][/U][/B] [B][SIZE=7]Only 4% of the UK population have been or are infected with Covid19 that is what the Chief Scientific Officer believes, he came out with it at the Covid briefing this evening. [/SIZE][/B][SIZE=5]This is the figure the government are working from.[/SIZE][B][SIZE=5] [/SIZE][SIZE=7] [/SIZE][/B] Even if the scientific data has an error of 100% we are clearly well below 10% so there you have it, black and white. The CSO also said they believe around 130,000 people are currently infected... From that we can do some primary school math... If R is 0.7 and infection period is 4 days we are looking at around another 105 days to pull the number of cases down from 130,0000 to single digits, if R slips to 0.9 its will take 300 days to pull the number of infections down form 130,000 to single figures! Worse still if R cant not be kept below 1 but sits roughly at 1 then we would have to reach a point of herd immunity to exit this. Any R at or above 1 results in a final death toll in the ballpark of 1/2 million given our current death toll represents on 4% of the population having been infected.... With 130,000 infected, 4% having been infected and if R got stuck at 1 we are 1500 days from reaching 50 million infected!! [/QUOTE]
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Biggest Recession since 1706
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