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Farm Business
Politics, Covid19 and Brexit
New Zealand
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<blockquote data-quote="holwellcourtfarm" data-source="post: 6960986" data-attributes="member: 42914"><p>NZ has done spectacularly well in managing the virus. Congratulations.</p><p></p><p>By comparison we have seen a disaster although it could have been worse. Early on there was talk here of up to 500,000 deaths if we did nothing and that 20,000 deaths would be "a good result".</p><p></p><p>It was always going to be so much harder to control here than in NZ though for all the reasons folk have already given. The UK abandoned any effective border controls decades ago, just look at how many illegal immigrants, drugs and firearms arrive here each year! Combine that with the political reality that we will never accept any move towards a police state and any government here would have failed.</p><p></p><p>The big question now is what next?</p><p></p><p>NZ is going to have to reframe the economy and return to a greater reliance on primary industry exports. This is probably Jacinda's Achilles heel. She had made it clear throughout her leadership that she wants to see the NZ economy reduce its reliance on agriculture and horticulture. She now faces an existential crisis of economic reality. I wonder why we've heard nothing from Sir Michael Cullen recently?</p><p></p><p>We are no better though. Our travel, tourism and hospitality sector is almost as proportionally big as that of NZ and is now screaming for the rules to relax, effectively saying that deaths are a price worth paying. Our car industry is facing collapse, commercial landlords are facing a new reality where their income will be decimated and their demand will never recover (many business now realise they don't NEED big offices as home working does actually work). Throw Brexit into the mix and the attempt to negotiate new trade deals whilst we can't even agree internally what we want from them and the future is very uncertain.</p><p></p><p>In both countries the hard bit is about to start: how do you wean the economy off the emergency support without it collapsing?</p><p></p><p>We are living through "interesting times".</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="holwellcourtfarm, post: 6960986, member: 42914"] NZ has done spectacularly well in managing the virus. Congratulations. By comparison we have seen a disaster although it could have been worse. Early on there was talk here of up to 500,000 deaths if we did nothing and that 20,000 deaths would be "a good result". It was always going to be so much harder to control here than in NZ though for all the reasons folk have already given. The UK abandoned any effective border controls decades ago, just look at how many illegal immigrants, drugs and firearms arrive here each year! Combine that with the political reality that we will never accept any move towards a police state and any government here would have failed. The big question now is what next? NZ is going to have to reframe the economy and return to a greater reliance on primary industry exports. This is probably Jacinda's Achilles heel. She had made it clear throughout her leadership that she wants to see the NZ economy reduce its reliance on agriculture and horticulture. She now faces an existential crisis of economic reality. I wonder why we've heard nothing from Sir Michael Cullen recently? We are no better though. Our travel, tourism and hospitality sector is almost as proportionally big as that of NZ and is now screaming for the rules to relax, effectively saying that deaths are a price worth paying. Our car industry is facing collapse, commercial landlords are facing a new reality where their income will be decimated and their demand will never recover (many business now realise they don't NEED big offices as home working does actually work). Throw Brexit into the mix and the attempt to negotiate new trade deals whilst we can't even agree internally what we want from them and the future is very uncertain. In both countries the hard bit is about to start: how do you wean the economy off the emergency support without it collapsing? We are living through "interesting times". [/QUOTE]
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