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Farm Business
Politics, Covid19 and Brexit
Quarantine and idiots
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<blockquote data-quote="Highland Mule" data-source="post: 7102171" data-attributes="member: 33090"><p>What's the basis for your transmission model ("logic")? If it was only just spreading in the past (R was above unity but not hugely so - around 3 at worst I think), and we now have far less frequent and populous social interactions with each other, then it stands to reason that R will be less than it was. The epidemiologists reckon pretty close to unity now, but if your model (logic) suggests much higher if you believe case should be soaring and they're not, then maybe the problem is with it?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Highland Mule, post: 7102171, member: 33090"] What's the basis for your transmission model ("logic")? If it was only just spreading in the past (R was above unity but not hugely so - around 3 at worst I think), and we now have far less frequent and populous social interactions with each other, then it stands to reason that R will be less than it was. The epidemiologists reckon pretty close to unity now, but if your model (logic) suggests much higher if you believe case should be soaring and they're not, then maybe the problem is with it? [/QUOTE]
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Farm Business
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Quarantine and idiots
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