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Farm Business
Politics, Covid19 and Brexit
Quarantine and idiots
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<blockquote data-quote="Highland Mule" data-source="post: 7102230" data-attributes="member: 33090"><p>I agree it's not as well respected as it was, but it still is respected by a silent majority. Very few church services, football matches, some pubs but not on the scale of before, cafes and restaurants have fewer tables and big gaps, no theatres, concerts, gyms, etc. people working from home so no office groups. That all helps to stop a small spread becoming a larger one, even if things aren't perfect. In February, I worked on a site with many thousands of others. Last week I saw and spoke to fewer than a dozen.</p><p></p><p>They want to get as much of the country moving as they can, but also keep the R number close to but below 1. That's a tricky thing to model but I suspect it went from ~5 to <<1 and is now back to ~1, although I understand there's little data to back that up as a theory. I'd say that they are opening things gradually and keeping an eye on it, plus refining the transmission models all the time to get a better prediction. I read somewhere (probably the early SAGE minutes) that the expectation and modelling was based on 50% compliance with lockdown. I'd say it was far better than that at the start, and is probably at least that good.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Highland Mule, post: 7102230, member: 33090"] I agree it's not as well respected as it was, but it still is respected by a silent majority. Very few church services, football matches, some pubs but not on the scale of before, cafes and restaurants have fewer tables and big gaps, no theatres, concerts, gyms, etc. people working from home so no office groups. That all helps to stop a small spread becoming a larger one, even if things aren't perfect. In February, I worked on a site with many thousands of others. Last week I saw and spoke to fewer than a dozen. They want to get as much of the country moving as they can, but also keep the R number close to but below 1. That's a tricky thing to model but I suspect it went from ~5 to <<1 and is now back to ~1, although I understand there's little data to back that up as a theory. I'd say that they are opening things gradually and keeping an eye on it, plus refining the transmission models all the time to get a better prediction. I read somewhere (probably the early SAGE minutes) that the expectation and modelling was based on 50% compliance with lockdown. I'd say it was far better than that at the start, and is probably at least that good. [/QUOTE]
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