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Arable Farming
Arable Market Commentary
UK wheat price volatility continues
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<blockquote data-quote="AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds" data-source="post: 8097972" data-attributes="member: 142623"><p>Yesterday, UK feed wheat futures followed Paris wheat futures down after the bank holiday. This was due to profit-taking, considering prices are at historic highs. Paris milling wheat (May-22) fell €1.50/t to close at €399.50/t (£331.41/t). New-crop futures (Dec-22) fell €2.00/t to close at €359.25/t (£298.02/t).</p><p></p><p><img src="https://projectblue.blob.core.windows.net/media/Default/Market%20Intelligence/cereals-oilseeds/Grain%20Market%20Daily/2022/04.%20April/20%2004%202022/Price%20graph%2020%2004%202022.PNG" alt="Price series for UK and Paris wheat heading upwards" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p><p></p><p>Chicago wheat (Dec-22) fell $5.33/t from Monday, to close at $404.18/t yesterday (Refinitiv). Though, <a href="https://ahdb.org.uk/news/market-report-19-april-2022" target="_blank">US prices remain supported on poor US winter wheat crop condition scores. These are at a 26-year low</a> (Refinitiv).</p><p></p><p>Yesterday, the United Nations World Food Programme said Ukrainian storage capacity will likely be insufficient for the grain harvest 2022 (despite this being reduced). Ukrainian exports are currently limited to rail movement, resulting in such high stocks from a lack of liquidity of farm sales. With this income needed for harvesting, this could pose a concern for production. We may see a reaction to this news today, though high prices may have factored this in, to some extent.</p><p></p><h3>Maize supply remains tight</h3><p>Yesterday, Chicago maize (Dec-22) fell $1.08/t from Monday, to close at $294.08/t (Refinitiv). <a href="https://ahdb.org.uk/news/us-weather-watching-grain-market-daily?" target="_blank">Price remains elevated after the bank holiday as rains delay US maize planting, with existing worries that Ukrainian maize plantings could be down significantly for harvest 22</a>.</p><p></p><p>Though important to note, this rain now may make extra US planted area of maize more unlikely. However, soil moisture may benefit plants longer term. Something to watch going forward.</p><p></p><h3>How is global price volatility impacting UK price availability?</h3><p>UK feed wheat futures continue to follow global market movements. Global supply and demand are tight across the wider grain complex, and the market is sensitive to any news that may alter this balance. As such, price volatility continues. However, fundamental support remains for prices.</p><p></p><p>You may have noticed that since the beginning of the war between Russia and Ukraine, less AHDB prices have been published. This is because prices need to meet a validation process to ensure accuracy and representation across the market. With global price volatility, and rapidly changing news, this means that understanding where the market is, is difficult. Quotes can vary as a result.</p><p></p><p>We recognise understanding market and price direction is crucial, with high input costs to consider. Each week we look to publish as many accurate prices as we can.</p><p></p><p><strong>Today's Grain Market Daily on the AHDB website - </strong><a href="https://ahdb.org.uk/news/uk-wheat-price-volatility-continues-grain-market-daily" target="_blank"><strong>UK wheat price volatility continues</strong></a></p><p></p><p>For information on price direction make sure to <a href="https://ahdb.org.uk/keeping-in-touch" target="_blank">subscribe to Grain Market Daily and Market Report</a> from our team.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AHDB Cereals and Oilseeds, post: 8097972, member: 142623"] Yesterday, UK feed wheat futures followed Paris wheat futures down after the bank holiday. This was due to profit-taking, considering prices are at historic highs. Paris milling wheat (May-22) fell €1.50/t to close at €399.50/t (£331.41/t). New-crop futures (Dec-22) fell €2.00/t to close at €359.25/t (£298.02/t). [IMG alt="Price series for UK and Paris wheat heading upwards"]https://projectblue.blob.core.windows.net/media/Default/Market%20Intelligence/cereals-oilseeds/Grain%20Market%20Daily/2022/04.%20April/20%2004%202022/Price%20graph%2020%2004%202022.PNG[/IMG] Chicago wheat (Dec-22) fell $5.33/t from Monday, to close at $404.18/t yesterday (Refinitiv). Though, [URL='https://ahdb.org.uk/news/market-report-19-april-2022']US prices remain supported on poor US winter wheat crop condition scores. These are at a 26-year low[/URL] (Refinitiv). Yesterday, the United Nations World Food Programme said Ukrainian storage capacity will likely be insufficient for the grain harvest 2022 (despite this being reduced). Ukrainian exports are currently limited to rail movement, resulting in such high stocks from a lack of liquidity of farm sales. With this income needed for harvesting, this could pose a concern for production. We may see a reaction to this news today, though high prices may have factored this in, to some extent. [HEADING=2]Maize supply remains tight[/HEADING] Yesterday, Chicago maize (Dec-22) fell $1.08/t from Monday, to close at $294.08/t (Refinitiv). [URL='https://ahdb.org.uk/news/us-weather-watching-grain-market-daily?']Price remains elevated after the bank holiday as rains delay US maize planting, with existing worries that Ukrainian maize plantings could be down significantly for harvest 22[/URL]. Though important to note, this rain now may make extra US planted area of maize more unlikely. However, soil moisture may benefit plants longer term. Something to watch going forward. [HEADING=2]How is global price volatility impacting UK price availability?[/HEADING] UK feed wheat futures continue to follow global market movements. Global supply and demand are tight across the wider grain complex, and the market is sensitive to any news that may alter this balance. As such, price volatility continues. However, fundamental support remains for prices. You may have noticed that since the beginning of the war between Russia and Ukraine, less AHDB prices have been published. This is because prices need to meet a validation process to ensure accuracy and representation across the market. With global price volatility, and rapidly changing news, this means that understanding where the market is, is difficult. Quotes can vary as a result. We recognise understanding market and price direction is crucial, with high input costs to consider. Each week we look to publish as many accurate prices as we can. [B]Today's Grain Market Daily on the AHDB website - [/B][URL='https://ahdb.org.uk/news/uk-wheat-price-volatility-continues-grain-market-daily'][B]UK wheat price volatility continues[/B][/URL] For information on price direction make sure to [URL='https://ahdb.org.uk/keeping-in-touch']subscribe to Grain Market Daily and Market Report[/URL] from our team. [/QUOTE]
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UK wheat price volatility continues
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