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Regenerative Agriculture and Direct Drilling
Holistic Farming
Where do we see farming in 50 years?
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<blockquote data-quote="Philip Hedeng" data-source="post: 3238738" data-attributes="member: 40228"><p>This is something I think of a lot lately. Accelerating climate change, not nations, might become the common, and hopefully uniting, "enemy". Whether that will lead to escalating conflicts of resources or a leap of progress by innovation and collaboration remains to be seen. I tend to think of the better, so I'm speculating:</p><p></p><p>- Agriculture and forestry will be more diversified and mixed to maximize carbon sink effects and climate change resilience. The ability to pull carbon from atmosphere combined with food and raw material production will be more recognized by the general population than now. In the history books of 2060, this adaption will be credited as the most crucial change in memory for the survival of mankind.</p><p>- Technology advancement have enabled artificial carbon sink facilities, and pollution from industry will be very low. Biggest pollution problem (already is?) will be from consumers, not producers. Clean energy dominates.</p><p>- A lot of resources goes to mopping up previously polluted areas on the planet. Farmers work closely with authorities to minimize any negative impact from their operations, through mutual collaboration and guidance, not imposed regulations.</p><p>- Feedlots and crowded livestock operations will be less common in favor of pasture/silvopasture. Antibiotics resistance will be one reason. Maybe horse meat will become big business as they are grass fed, but won't release methane. All the stuff about polycropping and perennial cropping will have a big place in agriculture. Food will be labeled by sustainability, and was the big commercial leap of progress for environmentally sound farming practices. </p><p>- Taxes will have to pay for development of new antibiotics. Almost everything we use today will be useless even if the use of antibiotics will fall dramatically in livestock sector coming years.</p><p>- Looking back, people in the 2060's will scratch their heads and wonder how so many could believe all the nonsens that made them vote this way or that way and risk everything that's been accomplished this far. Of course we didn't have a international web of false-news filters to keep people from believing dumb a* headlines on the Internet. Some will still rage at everything they can.</p><p></p><p>I attended a workshop last week about climate change adaption. They'd run a simulation of the coming 100 years using the worst case scenario from IPCC using data from a farm in southern Sweden. Temperature would go up 3 degrees C, much fewer days -5 degrees or colder and more 20+ degree days. Precipitation almost the same. The result said higher yields in almost all crops in the rotation, but a continued decline in soil C. Pests and pathogens not included in the model, nor breeding advancement, so that will impact projected yields. I did not see the projections from farms in Spain, France and other countries further south, but they said that their yields did not look very promising.. worst case scenario being that we continue our pollution of air as we do now. This is geoengineering happening right now, only not to our advantage.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Philip Hedeng, post: 3238738, member: 40228"] This is something I think of a lot lately. Accelerating climate change, not nations, might become the common, and hopefully uniting, "enemy". Whether that will lead to escalating conflicts of resources or a leap of progress by innovation and collaboration remains to be seen. I tend to think of the better, so I'm speculating: - Agriculture and forestry will be more diversified and mixed to maximize carbon sink effects and climate change resilience. The ability to pull carbon from atmosphere combined with food and raw material production will be more recognized by the general population than now. In the history books of 2060, this adaption will be credited as the most crucial change in memory for the survival of mankind. - Technology advancement have enabled artificial carbon sink facilities, and pollution from industry will be very low. Biggest pollution problem (already is?) will be from consumers, not producers. Clean energy dominates. - A lot of resources goes to mopping up previously polluted areas on the planet. Farmers work closely with authorities to minimize any negative impact from their operations, through mutual collaboration and guidance, not imposed regulations. - Feedlots and crowded livestock operations will be less common in favor of pasture/silvopasture. Antibiotics resistance will be one reason. Maybe horse meat will become big business as they are grass fed, but won't release methane. All the stuff about polycropping and perennial cropping will have a big place in agriculture. Food will be labeled by sustainability, and was the big commercial leap of progress for environmentally sound farming practices. - Taxes will have to pay for development of new antibiotics. Almost everything we use today will be useless even if the use of antibiotics will fall dramatically in livestock sector coming years. - Looking back, people in the 2060's will scratch their heads and wonder how so many could believe all the nonsens that made them vote this way or that way and risk everything that's been accomplished this far. Of course we didn't have a international web of false-news filters to keep people from believing dumb a* headlines on the Internet. Some will still rage at everything they can. I attended a workshop last week about climate change adaption. They'd run a simulation of the coming 100 years using the worst case scenario from IPCC using data from a farm in southern Sweden. Temperature would go up 3 degrees C, much fewer days -5 degrees or colder and more 20+ degree days. Precipitation almost the same. The result said higher yields in almost all crops in the rotation, but a continued decline in soil C. Pests and pathogens not included in the model, nor breeding advancement, so that will impact projected yields. I did not see the projections from farms in Spain, France and other countries further south, but they said that their yields did not look very promising.. worst case scenario being that we continue our pollution of air as we do now. This is geoengineering happening right now, only not to our advantage. [/QUOTE]
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Where do we see farming in 50 years?
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