No deal brexit

I'm all for this as Europe needs us more than we need them. They'll come round after a year and eat humble pie.

A guy called Patrick Minford who's a professors of economics has suggested that a no deal brexit would mean the EU would loose £500 billion and the UK would gain £650 billion. Part of that is the EU paying the UK £433 billion in tariffs and would loose the £28 billion the UK would of paid the EU up to 2020.
I think the uk can survive no deal but it might be rough at first
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
From what I can see this Ireland thing is the problem. As somebody who is none religious then as far as I’m concerned the Irish religious war of the past should be brushed aside and the country made into one. The border is then the Irish Sea.

Religion only came into it later, one of the most celebrated rebels was -

Wolfe Tone, a leading Irish revolutionary figure and one of the founding members of the United Irishmen, and is regarded as the father of Irish republicanism and leader of the 1798 Irish Rebellion.

He was also a Protestant.
 
From what I can see this Ireland thing is the problem. As somebody who is none religious then as far as I’m concerned the Irish religious war of the past should be brushed aside and the country made into one. The border is then the Irish Sea.


The majority of Northern Ireland's business is with mainland UK.

If you put the border on the Irish Sea and placed EU tariffs on the same border that would destroy most of Northern Irelands economy.

Not a very good idea for 1.8 million people living and working in Northern Ireland.
 
Religion only came into it later, one of the most celebrated rebels was -

Wolfe Tone, a leading Irish revolutionary figure and one of the founding members of the United Irishmen, and is regarded as the father of Irish republicanism and leader of the 1798 Irish Rebellion.

He was also a Protestant.

To be honest I’ve got no real idea what the Irish thing was about as it’s never been of interest to me. What I do know now it’s ruining our brexit which I voted for so if brexit means getting rid of Northern Ireland I’d vote for that without hesitation. In fact visiting Southern Ireland has always been better from a tourist point of view.
 
The majority of Northern Ireland's business is with mainland UK.

If you put the border on the Irish Sea and placed EU tariffs on the same border that would destroy most of Northern Irelands economy.

Not a very good idea for 1.8 million people living and working in Northern Ireland.

No it wouldn’t because there wouldn’t be a Northern Ireland. That’s what I’m saying amalgamate them into a single country.
 

Ashtree

Member
Tax receipts up .. available money supply up .. ability to drop general taxation .. Increase in UK goods bought and sold .. further increase in tax take .. increase in feel good factor .. increase in wages .. increase in quality of life .. increase in quality of goods .. increase in health .. increase in mental health .. destruction of our enemies by reducing their GDP.

Your enemies ???
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
To be honest I’ve got no real idea what the Irish thing was about as it’s never been of interest to me. What I do know now it’s ruining our brexit which I voted for so if brexit means getting rid of Northern Ireland I’d vote for that without hesitation. In fact visiting Southern Ireland has always been better from a tourist point of view.

There is, or was, a lot of misinformation and bias on both sides, but no simple answer alas. The Irish on the whole, and irrespective of their religious upbringing, just want a peaceful life.
 

mwj

Member
Location
Illinois USA
Easy.
Those who are stupid enough to keep buying Chinese goods.
Not those buying Uncle Sam goods.


It wood be very simple if those goods existed. If you look at US companies , they import finished goods from low cost producers.


That would be like telling you to buy British farm equipment that is manufactured with all British steel and electronics.
 

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
There is, or was, a lot of misinformation and bias on both sides, but no simple answer alas. The Irish on the whole, and irrespective of their religious upbringing, just want a peaceful life.

Like many situations, spoilt by a noisy minority. I'm with @warksfarmer on where the hard border should be because it's easier to administer but can see why Unionists don't want that.
 
No it wouldn’t because there wouldn’t be a Northern Ireland. That’s what I’m saying amalgamate them into a single country.


Changing the status of Northern Ireland to Ireland would not change the nature of business done.

A company doing business and selling to the UK would still have to do exactly the same .. face import tariffs to the UK .. and be at a competative disadvantage to the extent they may well go out of business.

Any company which benefits from UK state aid .. would find itself having none.
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
Changing the status of Northern Ireland to Ireland would not change the nature of business done.

A company doing business and selling to the UK would still have to do exactly the same .. face import tariffs to the UK .. and be at a competative disadvantage to the extent they may well go out of business.

Any company which benefits from UK state aid .. would find itself having none.

It can get more complex than that. I know of one manufacturer who makes his machines in the south and then sends them up the road to be galvanized before they come back for final assembly. The galvanizing plant is local enough, but on the other side of the border. What's he to pay in the way of tariffs?
 
It can get more complex than that. I know of one manufacturer who makes his machines in the south and then sends them up the road to be galvanized before they come back for final assembly. The galvanizing plant is local enough, but on the other side of the border. What's he to pay in the way of tariffs?


The obligation of the UK is on UK tax Payers and residents.

The same for Ireland.

The EU does not have any obligation IMHO .. and that is where the problem is.

All could and should be sorted via a free trade agreement. Quite easy to do other than the politicians involved. Ordinary people would have sorted it on day 1 and then gone for a pint for the next 2.5 years .. whilst charging expenses of course.
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
An Eirexit and them joining us in a free trade group would make more sense.

The idea is not without its advocates over here, but realistically I can't see it happening. For better or worse the whole Irish establishment has fallen into the arms of the EU and the EU way of thinking. It's probably just laziness on their behalf, but that's the state of play.

Just returning to the point about the United States of Europe. It has often been noted that Sinn Fein are hard set against being under British rule, yet they are more than happy to accept the dominance of the EU, maybe it was just a way out of the impasse without losing face.
 

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